# Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

**Cut 25 bps: 2% on Kalshi.** (as of Nov 14, 2026, 1:29 AM ET)

## Key facts

- Resolution date: January 1, 2027
- Status: trading
- Lifetime volume: $724K
- Prices as of: Nov 14, 2026, 1:29 AM ET

## Prices by venue

Each venue's own price, in percent. "Cheaper" is the venue where that side costs less to buy.

| Outcome | Kalshi (Yes) | Polymarket (Yes) | Cheaper Yes | Kalshi (No) | Polymarket (No) | Cheaper No |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Cut 25 bps | 2% | — | — | 99.6% | — | — |

## Sources

- Kalshi: KXLARGECUT-26

Source: Prediction Genius; Kalshi and Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 2026, 1:29 AM ET. https://predictiongenius.io/markets/fed-rate-cut-2026