# Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2026?

**Yes: 5% on Kalshi.**

## Key facts

- Resolution date: January 1, 2027
- Status: trading
- Lifetime volume: $3K

## Prices by venue

Each venue's own price, in percent. "Cheaper" is the venue where that side costs less to buy.

| Outcome | Kalshi (Yes) | Polymarket (Yes) | Cheaper Yes | Kalshi (No) | Polymarket (No) | Cheaper No |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 5% | — | — | 99% | — | — |

## Sources

- Kalshi: KXFEDCUT-31DEC28

Source: Prediction Genius; Kalshi and Polymarket prices (quote time not reported). https://predictiongenius.io/markets/fed-rate-cut-next-2026dec31