# Number of Fed Rate Hikes in 2026

**Leading outcome: exactly 2 Fed rate hikes in 2026 at 90% on Kalshi.** (as of Nov 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET)

## Key facts

- Resolution date: January 3, 2027
- Status: trading
- Lifetime volume: $514K
- Prices as of: Nov 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET (some quotes have not updated recently)

## Prices by venue

Each venue's own price, in percent. "Cheaper" is the venue where that side costs less to buy.

| Outcome | Kalshi (Yes) | Polymarket (Yes) | Cheaper Yes | Kalshi (No) | Polymarket (No) | Cheaper No |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| exactly 2 Fed rate hikes in 2026 | 90% | — | — | 11% | — | — |
| exactly 1 Fed rate hike in 2026 | 4% | — | — | 97% | — | — |
| exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026 | 4% | — | — | 98% | — | — |
| at least 4 Fed rate hikes in 2026 | 2% | — | — | 98% | — | — |

## Sources

- Kalshi: KXRATEHIKE-2026

Source: Prediction Genius; Kalshi and Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET. Some quotes have not updated recently. https://predictiongenius.io/markets/fed-rate-hike-count-2026