Live odds across IPOs, corporate actions, real estate, equity indexes, and single-stock markets tracked across prediction markets.
Finance prediction markets aggregate 949 active contracts as of June 5, 2026, spread across five subcategories that price the corporate and capital-markets calendar in real time. IPOs lead by a wide margin with 527 contracts, followed by corporate-action markets at 221, real estate at 96, equity indexes at 74, and single stocks at 31. These contracts ask whether a company files or prices an offering by a deadline, whether a merger or acquisition closes, where an index settles on a given date, and whether a named milestone clears. Most resolve against public filings, exchange listings, or closing prints on a scheduled date, which makes the board a structured ledger of forward expectations. The live top-markets widget above shows where each contract prices today.
The finance board is anchored by its IPO subcategory, which carries 527 of the 949 active contracts and is consistently the deepest pool on the page. These markets ask whether a specific company files, prices, or begins trading by a stated deadline, and they resolve against the exchange listing record. Corporate-action markets are the second pillar at 221 contracts, covering mergers, acquisitions, spinoffs, and named company milestones that resolve when a deal closes or a regulator signs off. Real estate adds 96 contracts tracking housing and property-market thresholds, equity indexes hold 74 contracts on levels for benchmarks like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and single-stock markets round out the set at 31. No single subcategory dominates the editorial here because each resolves on a different mechanism. The live board above shows current pricing for every contract type.
Finance contracts reprice around scheduled and unscheduled corporate catalysts rather than a single recurring data release. IPO markets move when a company files an S-1, sets a price range, or postpones an offering, and a single regulatory filing can swing a contract sharply. Corporate-action markets reprice on deal announcements, antitrust reviews, and shareholder votes, where a regulator's signal can reset implied probability in hours. Index and single-stock markets track earnings, guidance, and macro surprises that hit the broader tape. The durable pattern is that finance moves on filings, deal news, and listings, not on a fixed weekly calendar. The live movers widget above surfaces the current biggest moves and exact cents on each contract.
Prediction markets turn corporate-finance questions into binary contracts with a single implied probability, which is harder to read from analyst estimates or news coverage alone. A finance contract states an explicit resolution rule, such as a listing by a date or a deal closing by a quarter, so the price is a clean read on the crowd's expectation rather than a directional opinion. Cross-platform price discovery lets traders compare where an IPO or merger contract sits across major prediction market platforms, and real-time updates mean the board reflects new filings and deal news as they break. Where economics markets price the macro backdrop of rates and inflation, finance markets price the company-level and capital-markets events that sit on top of it.
Prediction Genius aggregates 949 active finance contracts across five subcategories as of June 5, 2026: IPOs (527), corporate actions like mergers and acquisitions (221), real estate (96), equity indexes (74), and single stocks (31). Coverage spans the corporate and capital-markets calendar end to end.
IPO contracts structurally carry the most depth, with 527 active markets asking whether companies file, price, or list by a deadline. Corporate-action markets on mergers and acquisitions are the next-deepest tier at 221 contracts. The live board above shows current pricing and volume for each.
Resolution depends on the contract type. IPO markets settle against the exchange listing record, corporate-action markets resolve when a deal closes or a regulator approves it, index markets settle on a closing print at a stated date, and stock markets resolve against a price threshold on a set day.
As of June 5, 2026, the IPO subcategory leads the finance board with 527 active contracts, the single largest pool on the page. For the exact top contract, its current price, and volume, check the live top-markets widget above, which refreshes as new filings and listings hit.
Prices can diverge across platforms because of different resolution wording, deeper books on one venue, and tighter spreads on another. IPO and merger contracts in particular hinge on precise deadline and close-by-date language. The live board above shows current spreads; compare a contract directly before trading.