What the world's prediction markets think will happen across sports, politics, crypto, and breaking news. Compare prices side-by-side.
Every % is the chance the market gives it. When two exchanges trade the same market we show both side by side — k Kalshi, p Polymarket.
Prediction Genius reads every major prediction market so you don't have to keep five tabs open to do it. When a market prices an outcome at 60%, that is not a pundit's guess. It is what traders are paying real money to be right about, and it moves the second the news does. We turn that into one clean number for every event worth watching, from the next election to tonight's game.
The edge is the comparison. Kalshi and Polymarket often price the same question at different odds. Say one has a candidate at 25c while the other has the same outcome at 31c. That 6c gap is telling you something. We match those markets across platforms and put both prices side by side, so you can see who agrees, who doesn't, and which way the money is moving.
Browse politics, sports, crypto, and economics markets, or pull up every active market ranked by volume. No account, no betting. Just the odds, and the story they are telling.
A prediction market is an exchange where people trade on what happens next. An election, a game, a Fed decision, a Bitcoin price level. Because traders put real money behind their opinions, the price of a contract doubles as a live probability. A market trading at 62% means the crowd, on average, gives that outcome a 62% chance. Prediction Genius reads that number for you across every platform.
Straight from the exchanges. We pull live data from the major prediction markets, Kalshi and Polymarket, and match the same real-world question across both. When both platforms trade a market, we show each price side by side so you can see exactly where they line up and where they split.
What the world's prediction markets think will happen across sports, politics, crypto, and breaking news. Compare prices side-by-side.
Every % is the chance the market gives it. Where two exchanges trade the same market we show both — k Kalshi, p Polymarket.
Neither one wins every time. They price the same events with different traders, different fees, and different liquidity, so their odds drift apart and snap back together. That disagreement is the signal. A wide gap between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same question usually marks where the market is least sure, and that is exactly the spot worth a closer look.
Real money. Every percentage on the site comes from a market where traders have cash at risk, not a poll or a talking head. That is what makes market prices sharper than surveys. Being wrong costs you, so the price stays honest.
Constantly. The busiest markets refresh about every minute and the full board rebuilds every few minutes, so you are looking at where the markets are trading right now, not last week's snapshot. We store the history too, so you can see how an outcome's odds have moved over days and weeks.