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US
Dec
Β’
Extreme Events
Dec 31
Magnitude 7.0+ Earthquakes Worldwide in 2026
1
B1
between 14 and 16
51%
2
B1
between 17 and 19
35%
3
B1
between 11 and 13
4%
+1 more candidates
across 1 platform
P 51%
$1.5M Β· 4 mkts
View Market β
Climate
Jan 1
2026
1
2
2026
92%
2
2
2026
80%
K 82%
across 2 platforms
P 92%
$1.2M Β· 2 mkts
View Market β
Extreme Events
Dec 31
How many confirmed VEI 4+ volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
1
E1
exactly 1
34%
2
E3
exactly 3
19%
3
E0
exactly 0
17%
+3 more candidates
across 1 platform
P 34%
$1.2M Β· 6 mkts
View Market β
Extreme Events
Dec 31
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%
Yes β
99%
No β
across 1 platform
P 1%
$835K Β· 1 mkts
View Market β
Extreme Events
Dec 31
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
5%
Yes β
95%
No β
across 1 platform
P 5%
$352K Β· 1 mkts
View Market β
Weather
Dec 31
Natural Disaster in 2026?
5%
Yes β
95%
No β
across 1 platform
P 5%
$254K Β· 1 mkts
View Market β
Most Popular
Extreme Events
Magnitude 7.0+ Earthquakes Worldwide in 2026
$1.5M
Climate
2026
$1.2M
Extreme Events
How many confirmed VEI 4+ volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
$1.2M
Extreme Events
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$835K
Extreme Events
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$352K
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