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US
Dec
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Extreme Events
Dec 31
How many confirmed VEI 4+ volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
1
E0
exactly 0
69%
2
E1
exactly 1
16%
3
E2
exactly 2
4%
+3 more candidates
across 1 platform
P 69%
$1.2M Β· 6 mkts
View Market β
Extreme Events
Dec 31
Magnitude 7.0+ Earthquakes Worldwide in 2026
1
B1
between 14 and 16
45%
2
B1
between 17 and 19
28%
3
B1
between 11 and 13
16%
+2 more candidates
across 1 platform
P 45%
$1.0M Β· 5 mkts
View Market β
Climate
Jan 1
2026
1
2
2026
55%
2
2
2026
53%
K 54%
across 2 platforms
P 55%
$833K Β· 2 mkts
View Market β
Extreme Events
Dec 31
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%
Yes β
99%
No β
across 1 platform
P 1%
$789K Β· 1 mkts
View Market β
Extreme Events
Dec 31
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
26%
Yes β
74%
No β
across 1 platform
P 26%
$336K Β· 1 mkts
View Market β
Weather
Dec 31
Natural Disaster in 2026?
23%
Yes β
78%
No β
across 1 platform
P 23%
$233K Β· 1 mkts
View Market β
Most Popular
Extreme Events
How many confirmed VEI 4+ volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
$1.2M
Extreme Events
Magnitude 7.0+ Earthquakes Worldwide in 2026
$1.0M
Climate
2026
$833K
Extreme Events
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$789K
Extreme Events
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$336K
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