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    © 2026 Prediction Genius. All rights reserved.

    Informational content about prediction markets only. Not financial, investment, or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk.

    News & Analysis

    Prediction market analysis from Genius editors and contributors

    Featured
    sportsDeep Analysis

    Saints Win Total 2026: Buy Both Tails, Not the 8.4

    Saints Win Total 2026 sits at 8.4 wins on Kalshi, with over 10 at 29c and under 6.5 near 20c. Eric Pauly's pick is both tails, not the crowded middle.

    EP
    Eric Pauly
    ·August 12, 2026·12d ago

    Latest

    43 articles
    economicsDeep
    Fed Rate Decision September 2026: The Hike Bid Just Lost 10c
    Fed Rate Decision September 2026 odds: hold trades 66c on Kalshi and 67c on Polymarket after July CPI cooled to 3.3%. A 25bps hike is still live at 33c.
    Genius Staff·12d ago
    politicsDeep
    2026 Balance of Power: The House Is Priced, the Senate Is a Coin Flip
    2026 Balance of Power odds price the House at 87.5c Democratic and the Senate at a 52c dead heat. Live Kalshi and Polymarket prices on a $19.1M board.
    Genius Staff·12d ago
    sportsDeep
    NFC East 2026: Dallas and Philadelphia Up Top, Washington Is the Fade
    NFC East 2026 odds: Philadelphia 39.5c, Dallas 32c on Kalshi and Polymarket. Why Washington at 16c is the fade and the Giants at 14.5c are worth watching.
    Eric Pauly·12d ago

    Sports·

    View all 20 →
    AFC East 2026: Buffalo Is the Chalk I Do Not Trust at 56.5c
    Eric Pauly·12d ago
    AFC West 2026: The Chargers Are the Pick at 32.5c, Not the Chiefs at 34c
    Eric Pauly·13d ago
    AFC North 2026: Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson Are Both on Fraud Watch
    Eric Pauly·13d ago
    MLB Trade Deadline Odds: The Market Bought Boston and Sold Philadelphia
    Genius Staff·20d ago

    Politics·

    View all 15 →
    US-Iran War Odds: Traders Aren't Buying Trump's 'Good Talks'
    Genius Staff·28d ago
    Next Israeli PM Odds: The Market Has Eisenkot Passing Netanyahu
    Genius Staff·Jul 9
    Brazil 2026 Election: The Books Agree on Lula, Not on His Challenger
    Genius Staff·Jul 6
    2028 Presidential Election Odds: Vance Leads, But Nobody Clears 20c
    Genius Staff·Jul 1

    Crypto·

    View all 5 →
    Bitcoin Price 2027: The Market Says BTC Lands Under $70K
    Genius Staff·Jun 28
    XRP June 2026 Price Ladder Has Settled at the Floor
    Genius Staff·Jun 28
    Dogecoin Price 2026: The Market Is Pricing a Long Shot at 11c
    Genius Staff·Jun 28
    Ethereum Price 2027: The Market Is Betting on a Flat-to-Down Year
    Genius Staff·Jun 28

    Economics·

    View all 2 →
    Fed Rate Decision July 2026: The Hold Is Chalk Even With the Iran Truce
    Genius Staff·28d ago

    All Articles

    26 more
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    sportsGenius Staff·21d ago
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    sportsGenius Staff·Jul 16
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    sportsGenius Staff·Jul 6
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    politicsGenius Staff·Jun 28
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    Venezuela Leadership 2026: Maduro at 76c Is the Market's Verdict
    politicsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    French Presidential Election Odds: Bardella Leads a Wide-Open Field at 30c
    politicsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    US Iran War 2027: The Market Prices an Invasion at 14c, Not the Headlines
    politicsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    2026 Senate Control Odds: Why Republicans Are Favored While the Polls Say Otherwise
    politicsGenius Staff·Jun 28
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    politicsGenius Staff·Jun 28
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    politicsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    2028 Democratic Nominee Odds: Newsom Leads a Wide-Open Field at 24c
    politicsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    2028 Republican Nominee Odds: Vance Leads at 42c, Rubio Is the Spread
    politicsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    World Cup Golden Ball 2026: Messi Is the 40c Favorite
    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
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    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
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    cryptoGenius Staff·Jun 28
    World Cup Most Goals 2026: Argentina and France Split the Lead at 31c and 30c
    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    World Cup Golden Glove 2026: Emiliano Martinez Leads a Wide-Open Keeper Race
    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    World Cup Golden Boot 2026: Messi Is the 53c Favorite the Market Trusts
    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    World Cup 2026 Continent Odds: Europe at 64c, South America at 29c, and Nothing Else Close
    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    World Cup 2026 Winner: France at 24c Is the Market's Top Pick
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    Top Markets
    POLI2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee$1443.4MPOLI2028 US Presidential Election$754.0MPOLI2028 Republican Presidential Nominee$735.5MSPORSpain vs Argentina$354.0MSPORFIFA World Cup Winner 2026$321.1MSPORNorway vs England$261.1MSPORFrance vs England$237.3MSPORFrance vs Spain$225.0M
    Editor's Picks
    1Saints Win Total 2026: Buy Both Tails, Not the 8.42Fed Rate Decision September 2026: The Hike Bid Just Lost 10c32026 Balance of Power: The House Is Priced, the Senate Is a Coin Flip4NFC East 2026: Dallas and Philadelphia Up Top, Washington Is the Fade5AFC East 2026: Buffalo Is the Chalk I Do Not Trust at 56.5c
    Latest from Eric Pauly
    EP
    Eric Pauly
    Founder, Prediction Genius
    Saints Win Total 2026: Buy Both Tails, Not the 8.4
    NFC East 2026: Dallas and Philadelphia Up Top, Washington Is the Fade
    AFC East 2026: Buffalo Is the Chalk I Do Not Trust at 56.5c
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