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    Informational content about prediction markets only. Not financial, investment, or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk.

    News & Analysis

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    Featured
    economicsDeep Analysis

    Fed Rate Decision September 2026: The Hike Bid Just Lost 10c

    Fed Rate Decision September 2026 odds: hold trades 66c on Kalshi and 67c on Polymarket after July CPI cooled to 3.3%. A 25bps hike is still live at 33c.

    GS
    Genius Staff
    ·August 12, 2026·12d ago

    Latest

    2 articles
    economicsDeep
    Fed Rate Decision July 2026: The Hold Is Chalk Even With the Iran Truce
    Fed Rate Decision July 2026: prediction markets price a hold at 78c into Wednesday's FOMC. The Iran truce pulls WTI near $83 and cools the rate-hike case.
    Genius Staff·28d ago
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    1Saints Win Total 2026: Buy Both Tails, Not the 8.42Fed Rate Decision September 2026: The Hike Bid Just Lost 10c32026 Balance of Power: The House Is Priced, the Senate Is a Coin Flip4NFC East 2026: Dallas and Philadelphia Up Top, Washington Is the Fade5AFC East 2026: Buffalo Is the Chalk I Do Not Trust at 56.5c
    Latest from Eric Pauly
    EP
    Eric Pauly
    Founder, Prediction Genius
    Saints Win Total 2026: Buy Both Tails, Not the 8.4
    NFC East 2026: Dallas and Philadelphia Up Top, Washington Is the Fade
    AFC East 2026: Buffalo Is the Chalk I Do Not Trust at 56.5c
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