News & Analysis
Prediction market analysis from Genius editors and contributors
sportsDeep Analysis
World Cup 2026 Winner: France Is the Standout at 33.5c as the Bracket Thins
World Cup 2026 winner odds: France leads at 33.5c, Argentina 17.5c, England 14c, Spain 13c across Kalshi and Polymarket in a $2.19B market.
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Genius StaffLatest
8 articlessportsDeep
World Cup Golden Ball 2026: Messi Is the 40c Favorite
World Cup Golden Ball 2026 odds: Messi leads at 40c, Mbappe second at 21c across Kalshi and Polymarket. Full top-eight breakdown on $2.4M in volume.
Genius Staff·11d ago
sportsDeep
World Cup Young Player Award 2026: Lamine Yamal Leads at 39c
World Cup Young Player Award 2026 odds: Lamine Yamal leads at 39c on Kalshi, with Desire Doue at 26c and Alex Freeman at 23c chasing across a $143K board.
Genius Staff·11d ago