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    © 2026 Prediction Genius. All rights reserved.

    Informational content about prediction markets only. Not financial, investment, or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk.

    News & Analysis

    Prediction market analysis from Genius editors and contributors

    Featured
    sportsDeep Analysis

    Ballon d'Or 2026: The Market Is Paying for Goals in a Trophy Vote

    Ballon d'Or 2026 is decided October 26 in London. Kane leads a 20-name board with $44.4M traded, but the Champions League and World Cup went elsewhere.

    GS
    Genius Staff
    ·September 14, 2026·27d ago

    Latest

    53 articles
    sportsDeep
    Super Bowl LXI: A Full Week of Football Barely Moved a 32-Team Board
    Super Bowl LXI odds after NFL Week 1: 15 of 16 games are final, and 20 of the 32 teams on a $161M board closed the week exactly where they opened.
    Genius Staff·27d ago
    sportsDeep
    Jaguars Win Total 2026: The 13-4 Came Without a Healthy Receiver Room
    Jaguars Win Total 2026: Jacksonville went 13-4 with a +138 differential and the NFL's best run defense. A 17-rung Kalshi ladder holds $34.8K in volume.
    Genius Staff·Sep 1
    sportsDeep
    Buccaneers Win Total 2026: A +7 Turnover Year Produced an 8-9 Team
    Buccaneers Win Total 2026 is a 17-rung Kalshi ladder. Tampa Bay went 8-9 with the NFL's sixth-best turnover margin and lost Mike Evans to San Francisco.
    Genius Staff·Sep 1

    All Articles

    49 more
    Bills Win Total 2026: The Ladder Never Priced the Coaching Change
    sportsGenius Staff·Sep 1
    Panthers Win Total 2026: Carolina's 8-9 Was Borrowed, Not Earned
    sportsGenius Staff·Sep 1
    Colts Win Total 2026: The Ladder Prices the 8-9, Not the 8-2
    sportsGenius Staff·Sep 1
    Packers Win Total 2026: The Easy Games Come at the Wrong Time
    sportsGenius Staff·Sep 1
    Chargers Win Total 2026: The 11-6 Was a 6-2 Record in One-Score Games
    sportsGenius Staff·Sep 1
    Ravens Win Total 2026: Baltimore Went 6-7 With Lamar Jackson Healthy
    sportsGenius Staff·Sep 1
    Titans Win Total 2026: Tennessee Spent $246M and Skipped the Offensive Line
    sportsGenius Staff·Sep 1
    Chiefs Win Total 2026: The Ladder Overpays for the Twelfth Win
    sportsGenius Staff·Sep 1
    Lions Win Total 2026: Detroit's 9-8 Was a 12-Win Season
    sportsGenius Staff·Sep 1
    Bengals Win Total 2026: The Ladder Is Priced for 17 Burrow Games
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Commanders Win Total 2026: Washington's Turnover Year Was the Floor
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Jets Win Total 2026: Five Wins Is the Number, Not Six
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Falcons Win Total 2026: Atlanta Lost 16 Sacks and Gained a Quarterback Competition
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Rams Win Total 2026: The Floor Is the Rung Nobody Priced
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Steelers Win Total 2026: The Market Never Bought the 10-7
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Broncos Win Total 2026: Denver Earned the Haircut, Not Third Place
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Eagles Win Total 2026: The Top of the Ladder Is Stale
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Texans Win Total 2026: The Ladder Is Pricing Away the AFC's Best Defense
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    49ers Win Total 2026: Ten Wins Undersells a Full Purdy Season
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Raiders Win Total 2026: The Market Is Asking a 3-14 Team to Double
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Patriots Win Total 2026: The Schedule Excuse Does Not Hold Up
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Dolphins Win Total 2026: The Market Has Miami Below the 3-14 Jets
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Seahawks Win Total 2026: The Market Made the Rams the NFC West Favorite
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Giants Win Total 2026: The 4-13 Record Lied and the Ladder Still Has It Wrong
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Vikings Win Total 2026: Nine Wins Was the Floor, Not the Ceiling
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Cowboys Win Total 2026: Ten Wins Is Too Many
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Bears Win Total 2026: The Ladder Is Still a Win Too High
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Cardinals Win Total 2026: Arizona's 3-14 Record Understates a Five-Win Team
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Browns Win Total 2026: Six Wins Is the Cheap Rung on This Ladder
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 27
    Saints Win Total 2026: Buy Both Tails, Not the 8.4
    sportsEric Pauly·Aug 12
    NFC East 2026: Dallas and Philadelphia Up Top, Washington Is the Fade
    sportsEric Pauly·Aug 12
    AFC East 2026: Buffalo Is the Chalk I Do Not Trust, New England Is the Value
    sportsEric Pauly·Aug 12
    AFC West 2026: The Chargers Are the Pick, Not the Chiefs Coming Off 6-11
    sportsEric Pauly·Aug 11
    AFC North 2026: Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson Are Both on Fraud Watch
    sportsEric Pauly·Aug 11
    MLB Trade Deadline Odds: The Market Bought Boston and Sold Philadelphia
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 4
    AL West 2026 Odds: Houston Flipped the Division in Seven Days
    sportsGenius Staff·Aug 3
    Spain World Cup Odds: The Favorite's Case in the 2026 Final
    sportsGenius Staff·Jul 16
    Argentina World Cup Odds: The Underdog Is the Value in the 2026 Final
    sportsGenius Staff·Jul 16
    Brewers World Series Odds Held Flat Through the McCullers Trade
    sportsGenius Staff·Jul 15
    Home Run Derby 2026 Pick: Junior Caminero Is the Value Over Schwarber
    sportsGenius Staff·Jul 13
    World Cup 2026 Winner: Fade France and Buy the Field
    sportsGenius Staff·Jul 10
    World Cup 2026 Winner: France Is the Standout as the Bracket Thins to Eight
    sportsGenius Staff·Jul 6
    World Cup Golden Ball 2026: Messi Is the Runaway Favorite Again
    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    World Cup Young Player Award 2026: Lamine Yamal Leads a 17-Name Field
    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    World Cup Most Goals 2026: Argentina and France Split the Lead
    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    World Cup Golden Glove 2026: Emiliano Martinez Leads a Wide-Open Keeper Race
    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    World Cup Golden Boot 2026: Messi Is the Favorite the Market Trusts
    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    World Cup 2026 Continent Odds: Europe, South America, and Nothing Else Close
    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    World Cup 2026 Winner: France Is the Market's Top Pick in a 48-Team Field
    sportsGenius Staff·Jun 28
    Top Markets
    SPORFIFA World Cup Winner 2026$5419.6MPOLI2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee$1526.6MPOLI2028 US Presidential Election$787.6MPOLI2028 Republican Presidential Nominee$779.9MSPORSpain vs Argentina$491.5MSPORThe Open Championship Winner$318.4MSPORFrance vs Spain$311.4MSPOREngland vs Argentina$308.4M
    Editor's Picks
    1Ballon d'Or 2026: The Market Is Paying for Goals in a Trophy Vote2French Presidential Election 2027: The Market Is Underpricing Le Pen3Super Bowl LXI: A Full Week of Football Barely Moved a 32-Team Board4Jaguars Win Total 2026: The 13-4 Came Without a Healthy Receiver Room5Buccaneers Win Total 2026: A +7 Turnover Year Produced an 8-9 Team
    Latest from Eric Pauly
    EP
    Eric Pauly
    Founder, Prediction Genius
    Saints Win Total 2026: Buy Both Tails, Not the 8.4
    NFC East 2026: Dallas and Philadelphia Up Top, Washington Is the Fade
    AFC East 2026: Buffalo Is the Chalk I Do Not Trust, New England Is the Value
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