The Open Championship Winner market is golf's deepest futures board, with roughly 115 golfers priced across about $2.8M in cumulative volume. Scottie Scheffler is the clear chalk, with Rory McIlroy, Tommy Fleetwood, and Jon Rahm leading the chase tier and the long tail stretching down to triple-digit names trading in low single-cent territory. The live board above ranks every contender's current cross-platform price. The market resolves after the final round on July 19, 2026.
Golf's oldest major produces the widest futures board of the year. With roughly 115 golfers priced, The Open Championship Winner market is a single-favorite race sitting on top of an enormous long tail, and the structure tells you everything about how an open-field major prices. One golfer carries real conviction, a handful share the chase tier, and more than a hundred names sit in lottery-ticket territory where a links-golf bounce or a Sunday charge is the entire thesis.
Scottie Scheffler is the chalk on The Open Championship Winner board, and the market gives him a clear gap on the rest of the field. He is the only golfer priced as a genuine favorite, which is consistent with how he has been valued across every major futures market this season. In a 156-player field, a single-digit-to-mid-teens implied probability for one golfer is as much conviction as the market ever shows for a major, and Scheffler is carrying it here.
Rory McIlroy sits in the next slot down as the most-backed name behind Scheffler. McIlroy's Open Championship pricing has always carried an extra layer of demand from his ties to links golf and the home-nations crowd, and that shows up in the volume his contract pulls. He is the bridge between the lone favorite and the chase tier, priced above the pack but a clear step behind Scheffler. The live board above shows exactly where that gap sits today.
Below the top two, The Open Championship Winner market flattens into a dense chase tier. Tommy Fleetwood and Jon Rahm lead this group, with Fleetwood drawing the same links-comfort premium that lifts McIlroy and Rahm priced as the kind of all-surface talent who is live at any major. Just behind them sits a cluster that includes Ludvig Aberg, Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Viktor Hovland, Matt Fitzpatrick, Cameron Young, and Bryson DeChambeau, most of them packed into a tight few-cents band where the difference between names is a rounding error.
That compression is the defining feature of the board. Once you drop past the favorites, dozens of golfers trade within a cent or two of each other, and the field itself becomes the story. More than a hundred names fill out the long tail, from established major winners trading at low single cents to journeymen and links specialists priced as pure lottery tickets. In a tournament where weather and the bounce of a firm fairway can scramble a leaderboard in an afternoon, that deep field is doing real work. The live board above ranks every one of them; the names beyond the top handful are best read as the field rather than individual plays.
The Open Championship is a 72-hole stroke-play major contested over four rounds. The market resolves to the golfer with the lowest total score after the final round on July 19, 2026. If two or more golfers are tied after 72 holes, the championship is decided by a playoff under the rules of the host body, and the market resolves to the playoff winner. There is no shared resolution: one contract pays, every other golfer's contract settles at zero.
For more cross-platform futures coverage, compare the board above with the ATP Grand Slam 2026 odds for another individual-sport title race priced across a deep field. Team-sport futures fans can track the La Liga 2026-27 champion odds for a season-long title market. Browse the full sports prediction markets hub for every live board, and see more curation from the Genius Staff analysis desk.
Resolves to the golfer who wins The Open Championship on July 19, 2026, determined by the lowest total score across all 72 holes of stroke play. If two or more golfers are tied after the final round, the championship is decided by a playoff under the host body's rules and the market resolves to the playoff winner. Each golfer contract pays $1 per share if that golfer wins; every other contract resolves to $0. If the championship is canceled, shortened, or voided, the market resolves per platform-specific rules.
Scottie Scheffler is the favorite on the Kalshi board, with Rory McIlroy second and Tommy Fleetwood and Jon Rahm leading a deep chase tier across roughly 115 priced golfers. The live board above shows current prices for every contender.
It resolves after the final round on July 19, 2026, to the golfer with the lowest total score over 72 holes. A tie after regulation is decided by a playoff, and the market resolves to the playoff winner.
The market currently trades on Kalshi, where about $2.8M in cumulative volume is spread across roughly 115 golfer contracts. The board above lists each golfer's live price.
Scottie Scheffler is the clear favorite and the only golfer priced as genuine chalk, with Rory McIlroy the most-backed name behind him and Tommy Fleetwood and Jon Rahm anchoring the chase tier.
Watch Scheffler's pre-tournament form, the links course and weather conditions, and how morning versus afternoon tee-time draws split the field, since those factors move the board fastest in the run-up to July 19, 2026.