The Golden State Warriors won the 2026 NBA Summer League championship, beating the Memphis Grizzlies 94-90 in the Las Vegas final on July 19, 2026. Golden State trailed by 10 points entering the fourth quarter and won that quarter 28-14, led by No. 11 pick Yaxel Lendeborg with 21 points and 10 rebounds. Kalshi, the only venue with a tournament-winner market, settled Golden State Yes that night.
Resolved July 19, 2026.
The Golden State Warriors are the 2026 NBA Summer League champions. They beat the Memphis Grizzlies 94-90 in the Las Vegas final on Sunday, July 19, after trailing by 10 points going into the fourth quarter. Memphis was the favorite at about 62% on Kalshi at noon ET that day, with Golden State at 40%.
Memphis led 76-66 after three quarters and by as many as 12 points overall, according to NBA.com. Golden State won the fourth quarter 28-14. Yaxel Lendeborg, the No. 11 pick in the 2026 draft, scored 9 of his 21 points in that quarter. That included a personal 7-0 run in under 90 seconds that put the Warriors ahead for good. He finished with 10 rebounds and was named MVP of the championship game. Deivon Smith added 21 points and 9 rebounds, LJ Cryer had 15 points, 6 assists and 4 three-pointers, and Will Richard scored 13. For Memphis, No. 3 pick Cameron Boozer had 19 points and 8 rebounds, and Cedric Coward scored 19 on 5-of-5 shooting from three.
Kalshi closed its 30-team market at 10:55 pm ET on July 19 and settled it at 11:00 pm ET. Golden State resolved Yes and the other 29 teams resolved No. Polymarket did not list a tournament-winner market for the 2026 Summer League. It traded individual Las Vegas games, the final included, as standalone contracts. The Kalshi event drew about 318,700 contracts across its 30 markets.
Golden State played six games in 11 days. Scores and dates are from ESPN.
| Date | Opponent | Result |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Dallas | W 101-90 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Oklahoma City | W 104-79 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Memphis | L 85-106 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | New York | W 87-77 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | LA Lakers (semifinal) | W 92-88 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Memphis (final) | W 94-90 |
The 21-point loss to Memphis on July 14 was the low point. Golden State answered with an 87-77 win over the Knicks on July 16, which put the Warriors into the four-team semifinal round. Two days later they held off the Lakers 92-88.
Memphis took the other route to the final. The Grizzlies went 3-1 in group play: a 97-96 win over Chicago, a 96-88 loss to Dallas, the 106-85 rout of Golden State and a 96-64 win over Atlanta. They entered the semifinals as the No. 2 seed, beat Houston 101-90, and led the whole event at 97.6 points per game (NBA.com). Boozer and Coward each scored 19 in the final, but Memphis managed only 14 points in the fourth quarter.
Kalshi's book was thin for most of the tournament. The table uses Kalshi's midnight ET closes plus a noon reading on the day of the final. Where the last trade sat outside the bid and ask, the bid/ask midpoint is shown and marked "about".
| Kalshi (ET) | Warriors | Grizzlies | Favorite at the time |
| Jul 13 close (Warriors 2-0) | 19% | about 4% | Warriors |
| Jul 14 close (after the Memphis loss) | about 2% | about 3% | Atlanta, about 45% |
| Jul 16 close (semifinal field set) | 17% | about 32% | Memphis |
| Jul 18 close (after the semifinals) | about 38% | 60% | Memphis |
| Jul 19, noon (day of the final) | 40% | 62% | Memphis |
The market wrote Golden State off after July 14. A team that went on to win its next three games, and the title, was priced at about 2% that night. Once the semifinal field was set, Memphis was the favorite at every checkpoint. The Lakers, Golden State's semifinal opponent, traded near 30% on July 16, about level with Memphis.
The market got the final wrong. Memphis held its 60% to 62% price through tip-off, and the Warriors still won. Trading was heaviest at the end: about 20,300 contracts changed hands on the Warriors contract during the day of the final.
There is no 2027 NBA Summer League champion market yet, so the follow-on boards are about the players and the season. Lendeborg also won the tournament's overall MVP award on July 21. That board settled separately: see the 2026 NBA Summer League MVP result. Lendeborg and Boozer both trade on the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year odds board, which resolves after the regular season.
For the two finalists' NBA seasons, see the Golden State Warriors 2026-27 playoff odds and the Memphis Grizzlies 2026-27 playoff odds. The 2026-27 NBA champion odds cover the title itself. More boards are on the NBA hub.
Resolved to the team that won the 2026 NBA Summer League championship game in Las Vegas. Under Kalshi's rule, a team's contract resolved Yes if that team won the 2026 Pro Basketball Summer League championship, and every other team contract resolved No. Each contract paid $1 per share on a Yes. The tournament ran from July 9 to July 19, 2026. The top four teams after four games advanced to the semifinals, and the two semifinal winners met in the final. Kalshi was the only platform carrying the market. It closed the market at 10:55 pm ET on July 19, 2026 and settled it at 11:00 pm ET, with Golden State Yes and all 29 other teams No.
The Golden State Warriors won it, beating the Memphis Grizzlies 94-90 in the championship game in Las Vegas on July 19, 2026. Yaxel Lendeborg led them with 21 points and 10 rebounds and was named MVP of the championship game.
Kalshi closed the market at 10:55 pm ET on July 19, 2026 and settled it at 11:00 pm ET, with Golden State Yes and all 29 other teams No. Polymarket did not list a tournament-winner market.
At noon ET on July 19, Kalshi had Memphis at 62% and Golden State at 40%. After the Warriors lost to Memphis 106-85 on July 14, the market had them at about 2%.
A fourth-quarter comeback. Golden State trailed 76-66 after three quarters and won the fourth 28-14, with Lendeborg scoring 9 of his 21 points in it.
No 2027 Summer League champion market is listed yet. Lendeborg won the Summer League MVP award on July 21, 2026, and he and Cameron Boozer now trade on the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year board, which resolves after the regular season.