The Bitcoin July 2026 high ladder resolved with one upside rung paying. Bitcoin crossed $65,000 on July 14 and peaked at $66,924 on Coinbase on July 21, about $576 short of the $67,500 strike. Kalshi and Polymarket both settled $65,000 Yes and every rung from $67,500 up No, with the last rungs finalizing on August 1, 2026.
Resolved August 1, 2026.
Bitcoin's July 2026 high was $66,923.95 on Coinbase Exchange, set around 10 AM ET on July 21, about $576 short of the $67,500 rung. The $65,000 rung paid on both venues in mid-July, and every rung from $67,500 to $100,000 settled No. The $67,500 line, the ladder's near-the-money strike, traded as high as 79% on Polymarket on the day of the peak.
Kalshi ran the ladder as its KXBTCMAXMON series, eight rungs from above $65,000 to above $82,500, listed at 12:04 PM ET on July 1. The $65,000 rung finalized Yes at 3:10 AM ET on July 15, with Kalshi recording a trimmed-mean value of $65,184.68 at the crossing. The other seven rungs finalized No at 11:10 AM ET on August 1, 2026. The ladder traded about 4.23M contracts, and 1.80M of those were on the $67,500 rung alone.
Polymarket's "What price will Bitcoin hit in July?" event drew $25.0M, with $15.2M on upside rungs and $9.8M on dip rungs. Its full-month $62,500 rung resolved Yes at 4:31 PM ET on July 3, and its full-month $65,000 rung followed at 6:34 PM ET on July 14. The rungs from $67,500 through $100,000 settled No shortly after midnight ET on August 1. Polymarket also relisted the $65,000 line four times, from July 16, 23, 28 and 30, plus a $62,500 relist from July 13. Each relist counts only trading after its listing, and all five resolved Yes.
Bitcoin entered July near $58,500 after a 20% June slide, so the month was a recovery story. Daily Coinbase candles show the path:
After July 23, no daily high topped $65,800, so the $67,500 rung spent the last week decaying to zero.
The engine's daily closes for the rungs that decided the month:
| Date | Polymarket $65,000 | Kalshi $65,000 | Polymarket $67,500 | Kalshi $67,500 | Polymarket $70,000 |
| Jul 3 | 73% | 71% | 45% | 41% | 26% |
| Jul 13 | 58% | 53% | 30% | 28% | 14% |
| Jul 14 | 100% | 98% | 59% | 53% | 28% |
| Jul 21 | settled Yes | settled Yes | 79% | 74% | 36% |
| Jul 24 | settled Yes | settled Yes | 24% | no data | 6% |
| Jul 30 | settled Yes | settled Yes | 1% | no data | 0% |
The ladder read July well. On July 3 the market made $65,000 the favorite at 73% and put the $67,500 line near a coin flip, and the high landed between those two strikes. The $67,500 rung was the expensive miss: it closed at 79% on Polymarket and 74% on Kalshi on July 21, the day Bitcoin came within $576 of it. The engine's history for the Kalshi $67,500 leg ends on July 21.
Kalshi priced each shared rung a few points below Polymarket all month. That fits the venues' rules: Kalshi settles on a trimmed mean of the CF Benchmarks index, which damps brief spikes, while Polymarket settles on any single Binance one-minute high. Both venues settled every shared rung the same way.
July followed the Bitcoin June 2026 high ladder, where the month's top printed in the first hour of June 1 and no full-month upside rung paid. Across both months, Bitcoin never returned to $72,500 after the morning of June 1.
The full-year boards are still open. The How High Will Bitcoin Get in 2026 odds and the Bitcoin 2026 low ladder settle on the calendar year, and the Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 board prices where it closes. The Bitcoin $100K market tracks the six-figure question, and the crypto markets hub lists every live crypto board.
Each rung is a separate one-touch contract on Bitcoin's highest price in July 2026. On Kalshi (KXBTCMAXMON), a rung resolved Yes if, at any minute after the market was issued and through 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026, a trimmed mean of the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real Time Index (minute-by-minute values with the top and bottom 20% removed) was above the strike; if CF Benchmarks data was unavailable, affected strikes resolve No. On Polymarket, a rung resolved Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle during July (12:00 AM ET July 1 through 11:59 PM ET July 31) had a High at or above the strike; relisted rungs marked "from" a July date count only price action after their listing. Each Yes rung pays $1 per share and each No rung pays $0. Settlement: Kalshi finalized the $65,000 rung Yes at 3:10 AM ET on July 15 and the seven rungs from $67,500 to $82,500 No at 11:10 AM ET on August 1, 2026; Polymarket resolved $62,500 Yes on July 3, $65,000 Yes on July 14, and $67,500 through $100,000 No shortly after midnight ET on August 1, 2026.
Bitcoin's July 2026 high was $66,923.95 on Coinbase Exchange, set on July 21. That cleared the $65,000 rung and missed the $67,500 rung by about $576.
Kalshi finalized its $65,000 rung Yes on July 15 and the seven rungs from $67,500 to $82,500 No on August 1, 2026. Polymarket resolved $65,000 Yes on July 14 and every rung from $67,500 to $100,000 No on August 1.
On July 3, Polymarket priced $65,000 at 73% and $67,500 at 45%. On July 21 the $67,500 rung closed at 79% on Polymarket and 74% on Kalshi, then fell to 24% by July 24 and 1% by July 30.
Bitcoin broke above $65,000 on July 14 and peaked at $66,924 on July 21. It never traded above $66,300 after July 22 and closed July 31 at $62,826.
The full-year 2026 Bitcoin high and low ladders and the end-of-2026 Bitcoin price board remain open and settle after December 31, 2026.