Economics10 ThresholdsFutures

China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026

Current Leader

China GDP growth in Q2 20262%

$178K volume10 thresholdsPolymarket13d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Market line5· the 50% crossing

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board10 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

>4.2Kalshi

95%95%5%

>4.4Kalshi

94%94%6%

>4.6lineKalshi

74%74%26%

>4.8Kalshi

76%76%24%

>5.0Kalshi

95%95%5%

>5.4Kalshi

24%24%76%

>5.6Kalshi

92%92%8%

>5.8Kalshi

94%94%6%

>6.0Kalshi

92%92%8%

>6.1Polymarket

0%0%100%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Jul 10

We Are Here

Jul 10

Resolution

Jul 22

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Economics10 ThresholdsFutures

China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026

Current Leader

China GDP growth in Q2 20262%

$178K volume10 thresholdsPolymarket13d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Market line5· the 50% crossing

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board10 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

>4.2Kalshi

95%95%5%

>4.4Kalshi

94%94%6%

>4.6lineKalshi

74%74%26%

>4.8Kalshi

76%76%24%

>5.0Kalshi

95%95%5%

>5.4Kalshi

24%24%76%

>5.6Kalshi

92%92%8%

>5.8Kalshi

94%94%6%

>6.0Kalshi

92%92%8%

>6.1Polymarket

0%0%100%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Jul 10

We Are Here

Jul 10

Resolution

Jul 22

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.