Will GTA 6 cost $100 or more? The market's answer is a firm no. Rockstar priced the standard edition at $79.99 when pre-orders opened on June 25, 2026, and the Polymarket contract tracking the $100.00 threshold prices Yes as an extreme long shot on the live board above. The market has drawn more than $350K in cumulative volume and resolves once the launch-day price is on the record, no later than February 28, 2027.
The question ran for years and the market now has a decisive answer: no. Rockstar Games priced the Grand Theft Auto VI standard edition at $79.99 when pre-orders opened on June 25, 2026, which is $20.01 below the $100.00 threshold this Polymarket contract tracks. The live board above shows Yes priced as an extreme long shot. The market has drawn more than $350K in cumulative volume and resolves no later than February 28, 2027, once the game's launch-day price is on the record.
Speculation that Rockstar would push AAA pricing to $100 ran for years before the announcement, and the search volume behind this question reflected it. The answer arrived on June 25, 2026, when pre-orders opened: $79.99 for the standard edition and $99.99 for the Ultimate Edition. Even the top-tier Ultimate Edition stops a cent short of $100, and under this contract's rules it never mattered anyway. Resolution reads the lowest-priced version that includes the full standard game, which is the $79.99 standard edition.
The announced price still made history in one direction. GTA 6 is the first Rockstar release priced above the $70 base that has governed AAA launches, a real escalation that stopped well short of the three-digit sticker the market was asking about.
So why does the contract still trade at all? Because nothing resolves until launch. The market reads the Microsoft Store and PlayStation Store listings on the first official day of US release, currently November 19, 2026 on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S. The only remaining path to Yes is Rockstar repricing the standard edition at $100.00 or more before release day. A launch at the announced price resolves No. A slip past February 28, 2027 also resolves No under the deadline clause; traders handicapping schedule risk on its own terms trade the separate GTA 6 delay market. Every remaining branch except a pre-launch price hike lands on No, and the live board above prices the contract accordingly.
The market resolves on the pre-tax US price of the GTA 6 standard edition as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of release in the United States. If the two storefronts differ, the lower price governs, and resolution always reads the cheapest version that contains the full standard game. With launch set for November 19, 2026, that is the expected settlement date. If the game is not released by February 28, 2027, the contract resolves No.
The pricing question is settled in all but the formal sense, but GTA 6 headlines several other boards. The game is the name to beat on the 2026 Game of the Year market, where traders handicap the industry's biggest award race. The video game release calendar market tracks which major titles actually ship in 2026, the same schedule risk that feeds this contract's delay clause. For the full board across releases, awards, and esports, browse the gaming prediction markets hub.
Resolves Yes if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI launches at $100.00 or more, measured by the pre-tax US price listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of release in the United States. If the two storefronts list different prices, the lower price governs. Resolution reads the lowest-priced version that includes the full standard game, excluding DLC and bundle editions. If GTA 6 is not released, or its release is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, the market resolves No. The primary resolution source is the Microsoft Store and PlayStation Store listings, supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting.
As of July 17, 2026, Yes trades at 2c and No at 98c on Polymarket, an implied probability of roughly 2% that the standard edition launches at $100.00 or more. The board has traded roughly $358K in cumulative volume.
Rockstar confirmed pricing on June 25, 2026 when pre-orders opened: $79.99 for the standard edition and $99.99 for the Ultimate Edition. GTA 6 launches November 19, 2026 on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S.
On release day, currently November 19, 2026, when the standard edition's pre-tax US price is read from the Microsoft Store and PlayStation Store. If the game is not released by February 28, 2027, the market resolves No.
The contract trades on Polymarket, where it has drawn roughly $358K in cumulative volume. This is a single-book board with no cross-platform pair.
Two things: any Rockstar pricing revision ahead of the November 19, 2026 launch, the only remaining path to Yes, and delay news, since a slip past February 28, 2027 resolves the market No.