Washington is in. The Mystics clinched a 2026 WNBA playoff berth with a 105-100 win at Portland on August 23, 2026, and the contract was determined Yes the next day. At 22-15 with seven games left in a 15-team league that takes eight, the yes/no question is finished and the live board above reflects it. The $24.5K of lifetime volume here is now waiting on settlement. What is still open is the seed.
Washington spent the summer priced as a coin flip on this board and ended the argument in one night. The Mystics won 105-100 in Portland on August 23, 2026, moved to 22-15, and locked one of the eight postseason spots. The contract was determined Yes on August 24, 2026. What follows is the math the clinch rests on, and the one thing this team still has to play for.
The WNBA seeds its field 1 through 8 by record across the whole league with no conference split, so the only question that ever mattered for Washington was whether eight teams could finish ahead of them. Seven can: Minnesota at 31-7, Las Vegas at 26-13, Golden State at 25-11, Indiana at 25-14, Atlanta at 24-13, New York at 23-15, and Dallas at 22-16. No eighth team can get there.
The Portland game is why. The win pushed Washington to 22 wins, which sets a worst case of 22-22 even if the Mystics lose all seven remaining games. The same night dropped Portland to 15-22 and a best case of 22-22. Washington took the season series 2-1 (a 124-123 win in June, a 75-56 home loss in July, then 105-100 in Portland), the two teams do not meet again, and the head-to-head tiebreaker decides a 22-22 tie in Washington's favor. Chicago, the next team down at 15-23, cannot reach 22 wins at all. Every path closed at once.
The eighth spot in the field is still unsettled, and it is no longer Washington's problem. Dallas and Portland are the two playoff-qualifier contracts on the platform still trading live.
Washington sits seventh in the league-wide order at 22-15, half a game behind New York at 23-15 and half a game clear of Dallas at 22-16. That half game decides the first-round draw. The bracket pairs the top seed with the eighth, and the top seed is Minnesota at 31-7 with a +337 point differential. Falling to eighth means opening against that team. Holding seventh or climbing to sixth means opening against anyone else.
The schedule sets up for holding. Washington's last seven games come against opponents with a combined 103-159 record: two trips to Phoenix at 13-24, one at Los Angeles at 13-24, a home-and-home with Chicago at 15-23, a home date with Connecticut at 9-27, and one real test at Indiana at 25-14. The league also pauses after August, so the final four games land in a compressed September stretch that ends at home against Chicago.
The caution is the number that has followed this team all year. The Mystics carry a -19 point differential, scoring 82.6 per game and allowing 83.1, which is a .500 profile on a team sitting seven games over. They have earned it in the margins: 12-5 in games decided by 5 points or fewer and 6-2 in games decided by 3 or fewer, with four blowout losses (109-77 at Atlanta, 86-64 at New York, 92-69 at Dallas, and the 75-56 home loss to Portland) accounting for most of the negative margin. Shakira Austin anchors it at 17.0 points and 9.6 rebounds a game on 48.5% shooting, Sonia Citron adds 16.9 points and 4.2 assists, and Kiki Iriafen is at 15.2 and 9.3 on 50.9%. Austin's 31-point, 10-rebound night in Portland closed the berth herself.
The contract was determined Yes on August 24, 2026, so the outcome is set and only settlement remains. The 2026 regular season ends September 24, 2026, and the listed expiration on this contract runs to November 1, 2026, which is an outer bound rather than the expected payout date. A determined yes pays $1 per share once the platform finalizes, and the no side goes to zero. Nothing Washington does after the regular season, including a first-round exit, changes the settlement.
The last playoff spot is the trade that is still live: the Dallas Wings playoff market and the Portland Fire playoff market are the two qualifier contracts still open. The Mystics win total board prices whether this group reaches 25 regular-season wins, which takes three more from the final seven. At the other end of the standings, the WNBA No. 1 seed market prices Minnesota's grip on the top line, and the WNBA Finals market carries the title odds for the team an eighth seed would draw in round one. Team context lives on the Washington Mystics hub, and the wider slate sits on the sports hub.
Resolves Yes because the Washington Mystics qualified for the 2026 WNBA postseason, which was locked by their 105-100 win at Portland on August 23, 2026, and the contract was determined Yes on August 24, 2026. Eight of the league's fifteen teams reach the playoffs, seeded 1 through 8 by regular-season record across the whole league with no conference split, and head-to-head record is the first tiebreaker. The 2026 regular season ends September 24, 2026, and the listed contract expiration runs to November 1, 2026. A determined yes pays $1 per share on settlement and the no side pays nothing. The seed Washington ends up with, and anything that happens once the postseason begins, has no effect on this contract.
The board sits at 100c after Washington clinched a postseason berth with a 105-100 win at Portland on August 23, 2026. The contract was determined Yes the following day, so the price reflects a settled outcome rather than a live race.
It was determined Yes on August 24, 2026 and now waits on platform settlement. The 2026 regular season ends September 24, 2026, and the listed contract expiration runs to November 1, 2026.
It trades on Kalshi as a single yes/no on 2026 WNBA postseason qualification, with roughly $24.5K in lifetime volume and no Polymarket counterpart on the same question.
Washington is seventh in the league-wide order at 22-15, half a game behind New York at 23-15 and half a game ahead of Dallas at 22-16. The eighth seed opens the postseason against Minnesota at 31-7.
The seed line is the live question: the September trip to Indiana at 25-14 is the only remaining game against a winning team, and the Dallas and Portland qualifier contracts still decide who takes the final spot in the eight-team field.