Dodgers vs Yankees Prediction Market Odds, July 18, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Dodgers | -1.5 39%40% | O 8.5 53%52% | 52%51% | 52% Kalshi |
â–¶Yankees | +1.5 61%60% | U 8.5 47%48% | 49%50% | 50% Polymarket |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Los Angeles Dodgers | -1.5 | O 8.5 | 52% Kalshi | |
â–¶New York Yankees | +1.5 | U 8.5 | 50% Polymarket |
The market is treating game 2 in the Bronx as a genuine coin flip: the Dodgers (62-36) trade at 52c on Kalshi and 51c on Polymarket against the Yankees (54-43), and the line has not moved since it listed, even after Los Angeles took Friday's opener 2-1. The pitching matchup explains the hesitation, Emmet Sheehan (4-6, 4.81 ERA) against Ryan Weathers (3-7, 4.15 ERA), two starters the market prices for a total near nine runs. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is 8:08 PM ET on July 18, 2026, with roughly $21.8K traded across both platforms; the live board above carries the current prices.
The books refuse to pick a side in this one. The Dodgers sit at 52c on Kalshi and 51c on Polymarket, the Yankees at 49c and 50c, a 1c gap between platforms that amounts to no disagreement at all. Friday's series opener went to Los Angeles 2-1, exactly the kind of one-run game this board is priced for, and the game 2 line did not budge on the result.
Dodgers vs Yankees Market Context
The Dodgers arrive at 62-36 with a 31-17 record away from Dodger Stadium, and that road form is the backbone of the 52c price. The Yankees are 54-43 overall but carry an inverted split: 23-21 at Yankee Stadium against 31-22 on the road. A team that has been better away from home all season is getting no home-field premium from the market, and at 49c on Kalshi, New York is priced as a slim home underdog.
The pitching matchup is why nobody is paying up for either side. Emmet Sheehan (4-6, 4.81 ERA) starts for Los Angeles against Ryan Weathers (3-7, 4.15 ERA), per ESPN's probables. Neither carries an ERA under 4.00, and Polymarket's strikeout props frame both as middling swing-and-miss options: over 3.5 strikeouts trades at 62c for Weathers and 61c for Sheehan, with the 4.5 lines at 55c and 54c.
The derivative lines complete the close-game picture. Kalshi prices Dodgers -1.5 at 39c and Yankees -1.5 at 33c, so a one-run margin in either direction is the modal outcome. On the total, over 8.5 runs trades at 52c on Kalshi and 53c on Polymarket while over 9.5 sits at 41c, centering the implied total right around nine runs, a number that reads as a bet against the starters rather than the lineups. A first-inning run prices Yes at 54c on Kalshi.
The movement story is that there is none. Since the board listed Friday evening, the Dodgers' Kalshi price has printed 52c on every snapshot and Polymarket has held 51c throughout, so a completed game 1 result changed nothing about how the market handicaps game 2. With both books within 1c on both sides of the moneyline, there is no cross-platform value spot on the winner market tonight.
The props carry the star power. Shohei Ohtani, hitting .290 with 22 home runs, trades at 42c on Polymarket to homer, the highest home run price on the board. Ben Rice, who leads the Yankees at .282 with 29 home runs and 68 RBI, is right behind at 40c. Andy Pages, with a team-leading 66 RBI for Los Angeles, anchors the middle of the Dodger lineup behind Ohtani.
When the Dodgers vs Yankees Market Resolves
The market resolves Saturday night, July 18, 2026, when the game at Yankee Stadium goes final. First pitch is 8:08 PM ET. The moneyline settles to the winning team with extra innings counting, run lines settle on the final margin, and totals settle on the combined final score, all per the official MLB result on both Kalshi and Polymarket.
Key Dodgers vs Yankees Catalysts
- The pitching matchup: Sheehan (4.81 ERA) against Weathers (4.15 ERA) is the reason the total centers near nine runs.
- Dodgers road form: Los Angeles is 31-17 on the road, the record underneath the 52c price.
- The Yankees' inverted split: 23-21 at home against 31-22 on the road, priced a 49c home underdog.
- A flat line: the Dodgers printed 52c on Kalshi on every snapshot since listing; Friday's 2-1 result moved nothing.
- The home run props: Ohtani (22 HR) at 42c and Rice (29 HR) at 40c on Polymarket.
- Close-game shape: both run lines under 40c and a first-inning run at 54c on Kalshi.
Related Dodgers vs Yankees Markets
The opener is in the books: the July 17 game 1 board settled on the Dodgers' 2-1 win. The bigger stakes run through October: the 2026 World Series market prices both of these teams among the contenders, while the NL West market and the AL East market track each club's division race. The full slate of baseball boards lives on the MLB hub.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game scheduled for Saturday, July 18, 2026 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, first pitch 8:08 PM ET, with extra innings counting toward the result. Run line contracts settle on the final margin of victory and totals contracts on the combined final score, per the official MLB result. Winning contracts pay $1 per share and the opposite side resolves to $0. Kalshi and Polymarket settle when the game goes final; if the game is postponed or suspended, each platform applies its published rescheduling rules.
Key Factors
- Emmet Sheehan (4-6, 4.81 ERA) vs Ryan Weathers (3-7, 4.15 ERA) drives a total priced near nine runs
- Dodgers road form: 31-17 away from Dodger Stadium behind the 52c price
- Yankees are 23-21 at home vs 31-22 on the road, priced a 49c home underdog
- Kalshi and Polymarket sit within 1c on both sides of the moneyline
- Line held flat at 52c on Kalshi since listing, unmoved by the Dodgers' 2-1 game 1 win
- Ohtani (22 HR) at 42c and Ben Rice (29 HR) at 40c on Polymarket home run props
What are the Dodgers vs Yankees odds for July 18, 2026?
As of July 18, 2026, the Dodgers trade at 52c on Kalshi and 51c on Polymarket, with the Yankees at 49c and 50c. The market prices game 2 as a coin flip, roughly 52% implied probability for Los Angeles.
Who is favored in Dodgers vs Yankees game 2?
The Dodgers are a slim favorite at 51.5c averaged across platforms, about a 52% implied win probability, with the Yankees at 49.5c. Both books sit within 1c of each other on July 18, 2026.
Who are the starting pitchers for Dodgers vs Yankees on July 18?
Emmet Sheehan (4-6, 4.81 ERA) starts for Los Angeles against Ryan Weathers (3-7, 4.15 ERA) for New York, per ESPN's probable starters.
Where can I trade the Dodgers vs Yankees market?
The moneyline trades on both Kalshi and Polymarket. Kalshi also lists run lines, totals, first-five-inning markets, and a first-inning-run market at 54c; Polymarket carries strikeout and home run props on this game.
When does the Dodgers vs Yankees market resolve?
When the game goes final on Saturday night, July 18, 2026. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is 8:08 PM ET, and the moneyline settles to the winner with extra innings counting.
What do the spread and total say about Dodgers vs Yankees?
Kalshi prices Dodgers -1.5 at 39c and Yankees -1.5 at 33c, and over 8.5 total runs trades at 52c, so the market expects a close game with about nine combined runs on July 18, 2026.