| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶BRY | — | — | 65% | 65% Kalshi |
▶STNH | — | — | 39% | 39% Kalshi |
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No total (o/u) lines available.
Bryant is the 65c road favorite over Stonehill on Kalshi for the August 29, 2026 season opener at W.B. Mason Stadium, with Stonehill at 39c. The number has been sliding toward the home team: Bryant has come off 69c and Stonehill has climbed from 31c across the captures on file, and $39.95 of the board's $51.95 lifetime volume sits on the Stonehill contract. Bryant went 3-9 in 2025 and Stonehill went 4-8, and their one common opponent favors the underdog.
Bryant vs Stonehill is the season opener for both programs, kicking off Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET at W.B. Mason Stadium in North Easton, Massachusetts, with the home broadcast on NEC Front Row. Bryant is the road favorite at 65c on Kalshi and Stonehill sits at 39c. This is one of the thinnest boards on the Week 1 FCS slate: $51.95 in lifetime volume across the two moneyline contracts, all of it on a single book. Neither team has a 2026 record yet, so the only evidence the price has is 2025 form and the two schedules that follow.
Bryant finished 2025 at 3-9, including 1-7 against CAA opponents, scoring 270 points and allowing 364 across twelve games (22.5 per game scored, 30.3 allowed). The three wins were a 27-26 result at UMass, a 42-6 win over Bentley and a 27-24 win at Albany, and the closest loss was 50-48 in double overtime at Campbell. That profile is a team that could score in bursts and could not stop anyone: seven of the nine losses came by 10 points or more.
Stonehill finished 2025 at 4-8, including 3-5 against NEC opponents, scoring 181 points and allowing 277 (15.1 per game scored, 23.1 allowed). The four wins were 13-10 at Maine, 10-3 over LIU, 22-15 at Mercyhurst and 20-10 over Saint Francis. Stonehill scored 22 or fewer in every one of those wins and three of the four were decided by seven points or less. This is a low-total, defense-first team that wins ugly or does not win.
The two programs share a 2025 opponent, and it is the most useful data point on the board. Stonehill went to Maine on September 13, 2025 and won 13-10. Bryant hosted Maine on October 4, 2025 and lost 34-14. One common opponent is a small sample, but it cuts directly against a 65c road favorite, and the price has been moving in that direction.
Kalshi listed this game on August 18, 2026, though the snapshot series on this board only reaches back to August 25, so any movement read is scoped to those captures. Across them Bryant has come down from 69c to 65c, trading in a 62c to 69c band, while Stonehill has gone the other way from 31c to 39c in a 30c to 42c band. The order flow tells the same story: of the $51.95 in lifetime volume, $39.95 sits on the Stonehill contract against $12 on Bryant. At this size that is a read on where a handful of small tickets landed, not a market verdict, and the board is thin rather than broken.
There is no second venue to compare against. Polymarket carries no market on this game, so the board is single-book with no cross-platform spread, and it lists a moneyline only, no spread and no total. The two Kalshi contracts sum to 104c, which is ordinary two-sided pricing on an exchange book; normalized, that is roughly 62.5% Bryant and 37.5% Stonehill. For reference, the sportsbook line ESPN carries for this game is Bryant -4.5 with a total of 44.5 and a moneyline of -191 on Bryant against +152 on Stonehill, an implied 65.6% favorite. The exchange and the sportsbook are reading this game the same way, which is worth knowing on a board this small.
Structure matters more than usual here because both schedules get hard immediately. Bryant plays its first three games away from home, at Stonehill, then at Army, then at Hampton, and does not host anyone until Princeton on September 19, 2026. Stonehill's opener is its only home date until Duquesne on October 17, 2026: after Saturday the Skyhawks travel to New Haven, New Hampshire, UMass and Ohio in four consecutive weeks. This is a non-conference game, with Bryant in CAA Football and Stonehill in the NEC, and it is the most winnable September date on either calendar. The two have not played each other in any season from 2022 through 2025 in ESPN's schedule records, so the market has no recent head-to-head to lean on.
The Bryant vs Stonehill market resolves to the team that wins the game on August 29, 2026. Each team contract pays $1 per share if that team wins and $0 if it loses, and there is no draw outcome because college football overtime produces a winner. Kalshi's scheduled close is August 31, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, but the early close condition expires the market once a winner is declared, so settlement normally lands within hours of the final whistle. If the game is postponed and begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market stays open and settles on the official final result. If it is cancelled or has not started within 48 hours, Kalshi resolves the market to a fair price.
Common-opponent evidence: Stonehill won 13-10 at Maine in 2025 while Bryant lost 34-14 to Maine at home, the strongest single argument against the 65c favorite.
Board depth: $51.95 in lifetime volume across both contracts means one modest order moves this price several cents, so treat any single tick with care.
Money split: $39.95 of the lifetime volume is on Stonehill against $12 on Bryant, and Stonehill has climbed from 31c to 39c across the captures on file.
Scoring profile mismatch: Bryant averaged 22.5 points and allowed 30.3 in 2025, while Stonehill averaged 15.1 and allowed 23.1, a gap that argues for a low total in an opener between two teams with new personnel.
Home-field and schedule pressure: Stonehill plays this game at W.B. Mason Stadium and then goes on the road for four straight weeks including trips to UMass and Ohio, while Bryant opens with three consecutive road games.
No second book: Polymarket lists no market here, so there is no cross-platform price to check the Kalshi number against, and the board carries no spread or total leg.
Stonehill's conference slate is priced elsewhere on the same weekend: Robert Morris vs Wagner is an all-NEC opener, and Central Connecticut vs South Dakota prices another NEC team Stonehill hosts in November. On the Bryant side, Monmouth vs Tennessee Tech and Rhode Island vs Merrimack cover two CAA opponents on Bryant's back half. The full board for the weekend, including every FCS opener carrying a live price, is on the NCAA football hub.
Resolves to the team that wins the Bryant at Stonehill college football game scheduled for August 29, 2026 at W.B. Mason Stadium in North Easton, Massachusetts. Each team contract pays $1 per share if that team wins and $0 otherwise, and there is no draw outcome because college football overtime produces a winner. Kalshi's scheduled close is August 31, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, but the market carries an early close condition that expires it once a winner is declared, so settlement normally occurs within hours of the final. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and settles on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or has not started within 48 hours of the original start, Kalshi resolves it to a fair price. The game trades on Kalshi only; Polymarket lists no market on it.
As of August 26, 2026, Kalshi prices Bryant at 65c and Stonehill at 39c on the moneyline. Bryant opened the captured series at 69c and Stonehill at 31c, so the market has moved about 8c toward the home underdog.
Bryant is the favorite at 65c, roughly a 62.5% implied win probability once the two contracts are normalized against their 104c sum. The sportsbook line ESPN carries agrees, listing Bryant at -4.5 and -191 on the moneyline.
Kalshi only. The event ticker is KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29BRYSTNH and it carries a moneyline on each team. Polymarket lists no market on this game, so there is no cross-platform price to compare.
It settles on the result of the game on August 29, 2026, which kicks off at 6:00 PM ET at W.B. Mason Stadium. Kalshi's scheduled close is August 31, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, but the market expires early once a winner is declared.
Watch whether the Stonehill contract holds above the 39c it reached from 31c, since $39.95 of the board's $51.95 lifetime volume is on that side. On a book this thin, a single order of a few hundred contracts moves the price several cents.