| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Southern | -1.5 — | O 45.5 — | 100% | 100% Polymarket |
Citadel | +1.5 — | U 45.5 — | 0%0% | — |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Charleston Southern | -1.5 — | O 45.5 — | 100% | 100% Polymarket |
The Citadel | +1.5 — | U 45.5 — | 0%0% | — |
The Citadel hosts Charleston Southern at Johnson Hagood Stadium on Saturday, September 12, 2026 with the board sitting on a coin flip, and the two resumes could not look more different. The Bulldogs are 1-1 after rushing for 268 yards in a 43-41 win at FBS Charlotte, while the Buccaneers are 0-2 and were shut out 31-0 at Georgia Southern the same afternoon, gaining 117 total yards. The live board above carries the current price on every leg, and the market is treating home field as close to the entire edge in a nonconference game that kicks off at 6:00 PM ET on ESPN+.
Two FCS programs that opened the season in opposite directions meet in Charleston on Saturday, and the board cannot separate them. The Citadel is 1-1 and just won 43-41 at FBS Charlotte. Charleston Southern is 0-2 and was shut out 31-0 at Georgia Southern the same afternoon. The moneyline sits inside a 3c gap, and the only edge the market hands the home side is worth about a point and a half. Kickoff is 6:00 PM ET at Johnson Hagood Stadium on ESPN+, a nonconference game per the ESPN listing.
The Citadel is the 52c side on the board as of September 11, 2026, with Charleston Southern at 49c. That is close to a true coin flip, and it is a defensible price even after the Bulldogs won at Charlotte. The Citadel gained 400 yards in that game, rushed for 268 and turned the ball over zero times, with Gavin Garcia carrying 21 times for 137 yards and 3 touchdowns. Charlotte still outgained them 538 to 400 and threw for 322 yards. The margin came from the turnover column, where The Citadel forced two interceptions and gave the ball away none. A week earlier the same defense surrendered 42 points in a 42-14 loss at Wofford. Two games in, The Citadel has allowed 83 points and scored 57.
Charleston Southern's problem is simpler and harder to fix. The Buccaneers have scored 17 points in two games and have been outscored 51-17. They lost 20-17 at Lindenwood on August 27 with 315 total yards and two giveaways, then managed 117 total yards at Georgia Southern on September 5, including 8 rushing yards for the afternoon and a 5-of-18 day on third down. Lek Powell went 6-of-20 for 69 yards in that game after opening the season 18-of-32 for 208 yards and 2 touchdowns against Lindenwood. Saturday is Charleston Southern's third straight road game, and the home opener does not arrive until September 19.
The head-to-head history here is one recent game and it was decided by a point. The Citadel won 22-21 at Charleston Southern on August 31, 2024. The teams did not meet in 2025, a season The Citadel finished 4-8 and Charleston Southern finished 5-7. Neither team carries a national ranking entering Week 2.
The spread market prices this as a pick'em with a nudge toward the home team. The Citadel at -2.5 trades at 46c and Charleston Southern at -1.5 trades at 47c, and the sportsbook number on the ESPN listing is The Citadel -1.5. On the total, the O/U 46.5 rung sits at 48c, the 42.5 rung at 60c and the 50.5 rung at 40c, which brackets an expected combined score right around 46. The sportsbook total on the same listing is 45.5, so the board and the book land on the same number.
The total is the more interesting read. Charleston Southern has scored 17 points across two games. For a 46-point total to land, the market needs The Citadel's ground game to be the version that ran for 268 yards at Charlotte rather than the one Wofford held to 14, and it needs Charleston Southern to score more in one afternoon than it has managed in the previous two combined. The alternate rungs price that as roughly a coin flip.
On movement, the board's own snapshot counter reports zero ticks, so the series comes from the per-line price history instead. Across the capture window running from the afternoon of September 10 to midday September 11, The Citadel's moneyline held a 49c to 53c band and finished at 52c. Charleston Southern ranged 47c to 52c and sits at 49c. The Charleston Southern -1.5 spread leg is the noisy one, swinging between 31c and 49c inside that same day, which reads as a thin book rather than a directional move. Board lifetime volume is about $3.0K, so single prints on the alternate spread and total rungs deserve caution. The NCAA football board carries the rest of the Week 2 slate for comparison.
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game at Johnson Hagood Stadium on Saturday, September 12, 2026, scheduled for 6:00 PM ET. Spread legs settle against the final margin and total legs settle against the combined final score, overtime included, under each platform's rules. Winning contracts pay $1 per share and losing contracts pay $0. Settlement follows the official final on the scheduled date; a postponement pushes settlement to the rescheduled completion, and a cancellation voids per platform rules.
The Citadel's schedule gives this board several natural comparisons. East Tennessee State at North Carolina prices a Southern Conference opponent The Citadel hosts on October 10, and Bucknell at VMI covers the Keydets, who host The Citadel on November 14. Samford at Tennessee Tech carries Tennessee Tech, which visits Johnson Hagood Stadium on October 24. For the full Week 2 board across every game, start at the NCAA football hub.
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game at Johnson Hagood Stadium in Charleston, South Carolina on Saturday, September 12, 2026, scheduled for 6:00 PM ET. Spread contracts settle against the final margin and total contracts settle against the combined final score, with overtime included under each platform's rules. Winning contracts pay $1 per share and losing contracts resolve to $0. Settlement follows the official final result on the scheduled date. If the game is postponed, settlement moves to the rescheduled completion; if it is canceled outright or not completed, contracts void per each platform's published rules.
As of September 11, 2026 the board has The Citadel at 52c and Charleston Southern at 49c on the moneyline, effectively a pick'em for the September 12 kickoff. The live board above shows the current price on every leg.
The Citadel is the narrow favorite at 52c, an implied 52% chance of winning, with Charleston Southern at 49c. The spread market agrees, pricing The Citadel at -1.5 on the ESPN sportsbook listing.
The Citadel -2.5 trades at 46c and Charleston Southern -1.5 trades at 47c. On the total, the O/U 46.5 rung sits at 48c while the 42.5 rung is 60c and the 50.5 rung is 40c, bracketing a combined score near 46 against a sportsbook total of 45.5.
Prediction Genius aggregates Kalshi and Polymarket quotes into the single board above, with one row per moneyline, spread and total leg. Board lifetime volume is about $3.0K, so the alternate rungs are thin.
It resolves on the official final of the September 12, 2026 game at Johnson Hagood Stadium, scheduled for 6:00 PM ET on ESPN+. Winning contracts pay $1 per share and losing contracts pay $0.
Whether The Citadel's ground game travels from the 268-yard performance at Charlotte, and whether Charleston Southern's offense answers after 117 total yards and a 5-of-18 third-down day at Georgia Southern. Those two questions decide both the moneyline and a total priced near 46.