| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶CIT | +4.5 73% | O 36.5 57% | 27% | 27% Kalshi |
â–¶WOF | -4.5 27% | U 36.5 43% | 75% | 75% Kalshi |
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Wofford is the 75c moneyline favorite over The Citadel on Kalshi, an implied 74% after the 102c two-sided vig, with the spread board pricing Wofford -7.5 at 54c and the total pivoting around 45.5. Wofford closed 2025 at 6-6 (5-3 Southern Conference) and won the last meeting 16-14 in Charleston; The Citadel finished 4-8 (3-5). The board is Kalshi-only and carries roughly $3.2K in lifetime volume, so read the live board above for current prices and treat the outer spread rungs as quotes rather than signals.
The Citadel opens its 2026 season at Wofford on Saturday, August 29, a Southern Conference game at Gibbs Stadium in Spartanburg, South Carolina, with a 6:00 PM ET start per ESPN's scoreboard and an ESPN+ broadcast. The Kalshi ticker for this game encodes only the date, not the time, so ESPN is the source for kickoff here. Both teams enter 0-0. This is the first week of the season, so there are no 2026 records and no standings position for either program yet; every number below is either a live board price or a 2025 final.
Wofford is the favorite at 75c against The Citadel at 27c. The two sides sum to 102c, the normal two-sided book vig, which puts Wofford's vig-adjusted win probability near 74% and The Citadel's near 26%. Volume is concentrated on the favorite: the Wofford moneyline leg carries about $2.8K in lifetime volume against roughly $420 on The Citadel, out of about $3.2K across the whole board. That is a thin book by design for an FCS opener, not a broken one, and it explains why the ladder around the core numbers is wide.
This board trades on Kalshi only. Polymarket has not listed a counterpart on this game, so there is no cross-platform comparison to make here and no second price to check the Kalshi number against. On an FCS Southern Conference opener that is the expected shape, and a single-book price is still a real price. It simply carries less consensus weight than a two-book number on an FBS game.
The snapshot series the board carries only reaches back about 23 hours, so any movement read is scoped to that window. Inside it, Wofford's moneyline was quoted at 79c at the first capture on Tuesday afternoon, traded up to 84c, and has come back down to 75c. The Citadel moved the other way in a much tighter range, 26c to 27c with a low of 25c. So the favorite has given back about 4c from the first observed capture and 9c off its high, while the underdog has barely moved. Do not read that as a full-week market drift; it is a day of two-way quoting on a light book.
On the spread, Wofford -7.5 at 54c is the rung that matters. It is priced near a coin flip, which is the market saying 7.5 is close to the honest number. The Citadel -4.5 sits at 27c. Most other rungs on the ladder return no price at all, and the ones that do are not internally consistent: Wofford -27.5 is quoted at 35c on two cents of lifetime volume, which is a placeholder quote in a wide market, not a genuine 35% chance of a four-touchdown Wofford win. Take the -7.5 rung and ignore the tails.
The total board pivots at 45.5, where the over is quoted 51c. Over 24.5 sits at 83c, Over 36.5 at 57c, and Over 66.5 at 18c. The over on 24.5 moved from 76c to 83c over the same 23-hour window, touching 84c, which is the most decisive move anywhere on this board. Set 45.5 against last season: Wofford's 12 games in 2025 averaged 40.1 combined points, The Citadel's averaged 47.3, and the two of them played to 30 combined points in November. The market has split the difference between the two teams' 2025 scoring environments and landed above the number their own meeting produced.
Wofford went 6-6 overall and 5-3 in the Southern Conference, 4-2 at Gibbs Stadium. The record understates the team: five of its six losses came by four points or fewer (15-16 at South Carolina State, 10-14 to Richmond, 21-22 at Mercer, 21-23 to Western Carolina, 10-14 at East Tennessee State), and the only blowout was 6-38 at FBS Virginia Tech. Wofford scored 22.8 points per game and allowed 17.3, a plus-67 point differential, and closed 4-1 over its last five with a 52-10 win at VMI and a 35-13 win over Chattanooga. Shawn Watson returns as head coach.
The Citadel finished 4-8 and 3-5 in conference, scoring 20.5 per game and allowing 26.8 for a minus-76 differential. The profile is volatile rather than uniformly bad: four wins came by 11, 18, 24, and 27 points (40-13 at Samford, 28-10 at Chattanooga, 38-14 over Valparaiso, 35-24 over VMI), while three of the losses were shutouts (0-38 to North Dakota State, 0-38 to Mercer, 0-49 at Ole Miss). The Bulldogs also lost their final two games by a combined four points, 14-16 to Wofford and 26-28 at East Tennessee State. ESPN's 2026 staff listing returns Maurice Drayton, the same head coach it lists for 2025.
The head-to-head is the single most relevant prior here. Wofford won 16-14 in Charleston on November 15, 2025, a two-point game in a 30-point environment. The market now asks Wofford to win by more than a touchdown at home. That is a real step up from what the last meeting produced, and it is the specific thing the -7.5 rung at 54c is pricing.
The market resolves on the final score of the game at Gibbs Stadium on Saturday, August 29, 2026, scheduled for 6:00 PM ET. The moneyline pays the team that wins the game, the spread contracts settle against the final margin, and the total contracts settle against combined points scored, overtime included per Kalshi's rules. A postponement moves settlement to the rescheduled date; a cancellation voids the contracts under platform rules.
Spread accuracy at 7.5: Wofford -7.5 is priced 54c, effectively a coin flip, and it is the only spread rung with a credible two-way quote.
The Citadel's scoring floor: three shutouts in 2025 against 20.5 points per game overall is the widest variance on the board and the reason the 27c underdog price is not lower.
Total at 45.5: Wofford's 2025 games averaged 40.1 combined points and The Citadel's 47.3; the over on 24.5 has already climbed from 76c to 83c.
Single-book pricing: with no Polymarket counterpart, there is no second price to confirm the Kalshi number, so the outer spread and total rungs should be read as quotes.
Wofford's close-game record: six of 12 games in 2025 were decided by four points or fewer, and Wofford lost five of them.
Week 1 information vacuum: neither team has a 2026 snap on tape, so the first quarter of live play is likely to move this board more than anything priced into it now.
The futures board around college football is where the season-long money sits: the college football national champion market and the conference champion board both trade far deeper than any single FCS opener, and the Heisman Trophy market prices the individual side of the same season. For the full slate of game boards as the season opens, the NCAA football hub carries every listed game with live Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side.
Resolves on the final score of The Citadel at Wofford, played at Gibbs Stadium in Spartanburg, South Carolina on Saturday, August 29, 2026, scheduled for 6:00 PM ET. The moneyline contract pays $1 per share on the team that wins the game and $0 on the other side. Spread contracts settle against the final margin of victory, and total contracts settle against combined points scored by both teams, with overtime included per Kalshi's published rules. If the game is postponed, settlement follows the rescheduled date; if the game is canceled outright and not replayed, the contracts void under platform-specific rules. Kalshi is the only platform listing this game, so its official settlement source governs.
As of August 26, 2026, Wofford is the 75c moneyline favorite on Kalshi and The Citadel is 27c. The two sides sum to 102c, so Wofford's vig-adjusted probability is about 74%.
Wofford, at home in Spartanburg. The spread board prices Wofford -7.5 at 54c, close to a coin flip, which is the market's read that 7.5 is near the fair number.
Kalshi only. Polymarket has not listed a counterpart on this game, which is common for FCS Southern Conference matchups, so there is no cross-platform price comparison available here.
On the final score Saturday, August 29, 2026, with a scheduled 6:00 PM ET kickoff at Gibbs Stadium. Moneyline pays the winner, spread settles on margin, and the total settles on combined points.
The total pivots at 45.5, where the over is quoted 51c. For reference, Wofford's 2025 games averaged 40.1 combined points, The Citadel's averaged 47.3, and their November meeting produced 30.
Whether Wofford's moneyline holds 75c after slipping from an observed high of 84c, and whether the over on 24.5 keeps climbing after moving from 76c to 83c. Neither team has 2026 tape, so opening-drive results should move this board fast.