| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Elon | -28.5 — | O 0.5 — | 100%100% | 100% Kalshi |
Davidson | +28.5 — | U 0.5 — | 0% | — |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Elon | -28.5 — | O 0.5 — | 100%100% | 100% Kalshi |
Davidson | +28.5 — | U 0.5 — | 0% | — |
Elon vs Davidson is priced as a decided game on the September 5, 2026 FCS slate, and the results behind it back that up. Elon opened with a 42-7 home win over Glenville State on August 27; Davidson lost 41-35 at home to Concord the same afternoon and went 2-9 last season with a 211-to-420 scoring margin. The Kalshi-only board carries roughly $18.3K in lifetime volume across two moneyline legs and settles once the game goes final at Richardson Stadium. Current prices are on the live board above.
Elon vs Davidson is a Week 1 FCS game between two North Carolina programs arriving from opposite directions. Elon, a scholarship Coastal Athletic Association member, opened the season with a 42-7 home win over Glenville State on August 27. Davidson, a non-scholarship Pioneer Football League member, lost 41-35 at home to Concord that same day. Neither opponent carries a Division I conference affiliation, which is the cleanest way to read the gap: one team beat a non-Division I visitor by 35 points and the other lost to one. Kickoff is 6:00 PM ET Saturday, September 5, 2026 at Richardson Stadium in Davidson, North Carolina, streaming on ESPN+. Elon's own schedule listing and ESPN agree on the time.
As of September 2, 2026 the board prices Elon at 97c and Davidson at 4c on the moneyline, an implied 97% for the visitor. Those two legs sum to 101, which is the exchange charging its own spread across two separate books rather than a pricing error, so there is no free number sitting between them. This is a Kalshi-only board with no Polymarket leg, so there is no cross-platform read here and nothing on the page should be called a consensus. Lifetime volume is about $18.3K, split $12.3K on the Elon leg and $6.1K on the Davidson leg.
Snapshot history is thin but consistent. Elon's leg printed 97 on every capture in the window running from late on September 1 through the early hours of September 2. Davidson's leg ticked from 3 to 4 in the early morning of September 2 and has held 4 through the most recent capture that afternoon. The market opened this game as decided and has kept it there. A one-cent move on the underdog leg is noise on a book this size, not information.
The 2025 seasons explain the price better than the openers do. Elon finished 5-6 with 290 points scored and 290 allowed, a genuinely average CAA team that also drew an FBS payday at Duke. Davidson finished 2-9 and was outscored 211 to 420, an average deficit of roughly 19 points per game, with six losses by 24 points or more. That is a talent and depth gap the Pioneer League's non-scholarship model does not close in one offseason.
Personnel from the openers points the same way. Elon quarterback Brady Stober went 16 of 26 for 254 yards and 2 touchdowns, and running back Jimmyll Williams carried 17 times for 77 yards and 2 scores, an efficient split that did not require the quarterback to carry the game. Davidson's Casey Bullock did carry it, going 29 of 54 for 241 yards with 3 touchdowns and 1 interception while adding 14 carries for 81 yards and a score. Fifty-four attempts for 241 yards is 4.5 yards per throw, and receiver Jacary Lightsey's 10 catches for 65 yards is the same story from the other side. Volume without efficiency is what a team does when it is behind.
The honest read on a 97/4 board is that the tradeable question is the 4c leg, not the 97c one. Davidson did score 35 points at home in the opener, so the offense functions; the defense that allowed 41 to a non-Division I opponent is the reason the number is 4 and not 12. Buying the favorite at 97c risks 97 to make 3, which is a bet on Elon losing to nobody rather than a bet on Elon. The Rhode Island vs Temple board is the more useful Elon-adjacent market, since Rhode Island is Elon's September 12 opponent and beat Elon 34-20 last November.
The market resolves on the final score of the game at Richardson Stadium on Saturday, September 5, 2026, with a 6:00 PM ET scheduled kickoff. The winning team's contract pays $1 per share and the losing team's contract goes to $0. Kalshi settles the two legs of event KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05ELONDAV once the game is official. There is no draw outcome in college football, and overtime counts toward the final result. A postponement moves settlement to the rescheduled date under Kalshi's rules; a cancellation voids.
Elon's next board is the September 12 trip to Rhode Island, which faces Temple this week. Davidson's next two Division I tests are already trading: VMI plays at Virginia Tech this Saturday before visiting Richardson Stadium on September 19, and Drake plays at Montana before its September 26 Pioneer League date in Davidson. Every college board on the slate, FBS and FCS, is priced side by side on the NCAA football hub.
Resolves to the team that wins the Elon at Davidson game at Richardson Stadium in Davidson, North Carolina on Saturday, September 5, 2026, scheduled for a 6:00 PM ET kickoff and streaming on ESPN+. The winning team's contract pays $1 per share and the other team's contract resolves to $0. Overtime counts toward the official final score and college football has no draw outcome, so exactly one leg pays. Kalshi settles both legs of event KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05ELONDAV from the official final score once the game is complete. If the game is postponed, settlement follows the rescheduled date; if it is canceled outright, the contracts void under platform rules.
As of September 2, 2026 Kalshi prices Elon at 97c and Davidson at 4c on the moneyline, an implied 97% for Elon. The two legs sum to 101, which is the exchange spread across two separate books.
Kalshi only, under event KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05ELONDAV. There is no Polymarket leg on this game, so the price on the board is a single-venue price rather than a cross-platform consensus. Lifetime volume is about $18.3K.
Elon, at an implied 97%. Elon is a scholarship Coastal Athletic Association program that opened with a 42-7 win over Glenville State, while Davidson plays in the non-scholarship Pioneer Football League, went 2-9 last season with a 211-to-420 scoring margin, and lost its opener 41-35 at home to Concord.
It resolves on the final score of the Saturday, September 5, 2026 game at Richardson Stadium, kickoff 6:00 PM ET on ESPN+. Kalshi settles both legs once the game is official, and overtime counts toward the final.
No. The board carries only the two moneyline legs, with no spread, total, or player props listed. On a market priced this far apart the moneyline is the only expression available, so watch the 4c underdog leg for movement rather than the favorite.
Whether Davidson's underdog leg drifts off 4c in the final 24 hours, and any Elon starter availability news. Elon visits Rhode Island on September 12 and Stanford on October 17, so an early lead here likely means shortened snaps for the starters.