| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist | +0.5 — | O 0.5 — | 0% | — |
Lafayette | -0.5 — | U 0.5 — | 100%100% | 100% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist | +0.5 — | O 0.5 — | 0% | — |
Lafayette | -0.5 — | U 0.5 — | 100%100% | 100% Kalshi |
Lafayette hosts Marist at Fisher Stadium at 12:30 PM ET on September 12, 2026, and the board makes the Leopards roughly an 81% favorite as of September 11. That is a mid-sized favorite rather than a blowout number, and it sits on a thin book: the full game board carries about $1.4K in lifetime volume, nearly all of it on the two moneyline legs. Lafayette is 0-1 after a 56-7 loss at UConn, Marist is 1-1, and the live board above carries the current price on every spread and total rung.
Marist vs Lafayette odds open Week 2 with the Leopards at roughly 81% and the Red Foxes at 20%, on a board holding about $1.4K in lifetime volume. Kickoff is 12:30 PM ET Saturday, September 12, 2026, at Fisher Stadium in Easton, Pennsylvania, streaming on ESPN+. Lafayette went 8-4 in 2025 and Marist went 5-7, but neither arrives with much 2026 evidence: Lafayette has played exactly one game and Marist has played two.
Lafayette prices at 81 on Kalshi and 80 on Polymarket, with the board average at 80.5 and Marist at 20. The moneyline is the only part of this board with real money behind it. The Lafayette leg has taken about $1.1K in lifetime volume and the Marist leg about $91, while every spread, total, half and player prop rung reads $0. Read the ladder numbers as marked quotes, not as price discovery, and do not build a case on a rung nobody has traded.
Across the roughly 24 hours of snapshots this board holds, from midday September 10 through midday September 11, Lafayette has traded in a 77% to 82% band on Kalshi and sits at 81%. The same leg held between 78% and 81% on Polymarket. Marist opened that window at 21% and sits at 20%. Nothing in the captured window qualifies as a move: the number this game opened with is the number it still has, and there is no snapshot history before September 10 to compare against.
Lafayette's only 2026 result is a 56-7 loss at UConn on September 5, an FBS road trip that produced 209 total yards against 671 allowed and 6 conversions on 18 third downs. Daniel Lipovski led the passing game there, going 16 of 33 for 102 yards, and the leading rusher gained 28 yards on 6 carries. The scheduled opener at Georgetown on August 27 was canceled, so Saturday is the Leopards' home opener and their first FCS opponent of the season. The 2025 Patriot League team that went 8-4 beat Holy Cross 21-13, scored 59 on Colgate and won at Richmond 35-28 before losing the Lehigh rivalry game 42-32, so the UConn scoreline is one data point against a much larger body of work.
Marist is 1-1 with a 22-21 loss at New Haven on August 28 and a 27-18 win over Franklin Pierce on September 4. Those two results point in opposite directions. The Red Foxes managed 160 total yards and 6 first downs in the loss, then put up 382 yards with 179 on the ground and converted 7 of 10 third downs in the win, giving away 2 turnovers along the way. New Haven is a Northeast Conference program and Franklin Pierce is a Division II program, so neither game is a clean read on what a Patriot League road trip looks like. Marist finished 5-7 in the Pioneer Football League in 2025.
The spread ladder is the more precise statement of what this market thinks. Lafayette -9.5 prices at 57, -10.5 at 53, -13.5 at 48 and -14.5 at 44, which puts the market's midpoint near 11 points. The total ladder lines up the same way: 44.5 prices at 56, 46.5 at 51, 47.5 at 49 and 48.5 at 46, implying a number around 47. Both ladders are internally consistent, which is the main thing you can say for them, because both carry $0 in lifetime volume.
A moneyline near 81% and a spread near 11 points are the same statement made twice. This market expects Lafayette to win by a touchdown and a half, not to bury anyone, and it is pricing Marist as a live underdog rather than a body bag. The volume split supports that reading in a quiet way: roughly $1.1K of the $1.2K sitting on the two moneyline legs is on the favorite, so there is no lottery-ticket pile on the underdog leg to discount. The Lafayette board from the UConn trip is the useful contrast, since that one priced a genuine mismatch and this one does not.
The market resolves on the final score of the game played Saturday, September 12, 2026, at Fisher Stadium. The moneyline pays the team that wins the game outright, with the losing side settling at zero. Spread rungs settle on the final margin of victory, so Lafayette -10.5 pays only if the Leopards win by 11 or more, and total rungs settle on combined points scored by both teams. Both platforms settle once the game is official, typically within hours of the final whistle. A postponement past the scheduled date, a cancellation, or a game called before it becomes official falls to each venue's own void and rescheduling rules, which is not a remote concern here given Lafayette's Week 1 game against Georgetown was canceled outright.
The rest of the Patriot League is on the same Saturday board. Bucknell at VMI and Lehigh hosting William & Mary both price league teams Lafayette meets later in the fall, and the Lehigh board is worth tracking all season given the rivalry game closes Lafayette's schedule on November 21. On the Marist side, Drake at Northern Iowa and Stetson vs Bethune-Cookman both feature Pioneer Football League opponents the Red Foxes face in October. The full slate of live college boards sits on the NCAA football hub.
This market resolves on the final score of the Marist at Lafayette game scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026, at 12:30 PM ET at Fisher Stadium in Easton, Pennsylvania. The moneyline contract for the winning team pays $1 per share and the losing team's contract settles at $0; there is no draw outcome in college football, since overtime decides tied games. Spread contracts settle on the final margin of victory, so Lafayette -10.5 pays only if Lafayette wins by 11 points or more. Total contracts settle on the combined points scored by both teams, including any overtime scoring. Both venues settle after the game is declared official, typically within hours of the final whistle. If the game is postponed past the scheduled date, canceled, or abandoned before reaching official status, each platform applies its own void and rescheduling rules rather than grading on a partial score.
As of September 11, 2026, Lafayette is the favorite at 81 on Kalshi and 80 on Polymarket, with Marist at 20. The live board above carries the current price, which moves as the game approaches.
It resolves on the final score of the game played Saturday, September 12, 2026, with a 12:30 PM ET kickoff at Fisher Stadium in Easton, Pennsylvania. Both venues settle once the game is official.
The game board aggregates Kalshi and Polymarket pricing across the moneyline, the spread ladder and the total ladder. The moneyline is the only segment carrying meaningful volume, at roughly $1.2K of the board's $1.4K lifetime total.
Lafayette is favored at roughly 81% implied as of September 11, 2026, and the spread ladder puts the expected margin near 11 points with a total near 47. Lafayette is 0-1 and Marist is 1-1 entering Week 2.
Watch whether Lafayette's offense looks anything like the unit that went 8-4 in 2025 rather than the one that gained 209 yards at UConn, and watch the spread ladder for movement, since every rung carries $0 in lifetime volume and shifts on small orders.