| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶WEBB | — | — | 16% | 16% Kalshi |
▶Peay | — | — | 86% | 86% Kalshi |
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Austin Peay is the 86c favorite over Gardner-Webb on Kalshi for Thursday night's FCS opener at Fortera Stadium, with Gardner-Webb at 16c and no Polymarket counterpart listed on the board. Both teams finished 7-5 in 2025, but Austin Peay outscored its schedule by 7.8 points per game while Gardner-Webb was outscored by 2.3, and that gap is what the 86c price and the 14.5-point sportsbook spread are both reading. Lifetime volume is about $1.9K across the two legs, thin for a college board and split roughly four-to-one toward the favorite.
Austin Peay hosts Gardner-Webb at Fortera Stadium in Clarksville, Tennessee on Thursday, August 27, 2026, with kickoff at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+ according to the ESPN scoreboard for that date. The Governors are the heavy side on Kalshi at 86c and Gardner-Webb sits at 16c. The board is Kalshi-only: no Polymarket contract has been listed on this game, so every price on the page comes from one exchange and there is no cross-platform check on it. Lifetime volume across both legs is about $1.9K, thin for a Week 1 FCS game, and still a live two-sided book rather than a placeholder.
The board carries one market type, moneyline, with a single binary contract per team and no spread or total leg listed on the exchange. Austin Peay was quoted at 86c at midday on August 26, 2026, with Gardner-Webb at 16c. The two legs sum to 102c, which is Kalshi's normal two-binary structure rather than a pricing error, and it is a tighter pair than the retail market: the DraftKings prices carried on the ESPN scoreboard for this game are Austin Peay -760 and Gardner-Webb +492, implying 88.4% and 16.9% for a 105.3% pair. On implied probability alone the exchange is the cheaper entry on either side, which is a function of the vig rather than a disagreement about the game.
Volume is concentrated on the favorite. The Austin Peay contract holds roughly $1.6K of lifetime volume against $387 on Gardner-Webb, a four-to-one split that tracks the price. Both legs report a book-sourced price rather than a derived one, so the 86c and the 16c are coming off live quotes and not off a stale midpoint. At this size a single retail-scale order moves the quote a cent, so treat any intraday tick here as noise until it repeats.
The snapshot series supports a narrow move and nothing more. Captures on the Austin Peay leg start at 87c on August 25, 2026, peak at 88c that evening, and sit at 86c by midday on August 26. Gardner-Webb ran the mirror image, opening the series at 14c, trading down to 12c, and settling back at 16c. That is a two-cent drift toward the underdog inside a 24-hour window. The board carries no captures earlier than August 25, 2026, so there is no opening-number baseline on this page and no basis for a week-long movement claim. More context on the league board sits on the NCAA football hub.
Neither team has a 2026 record. ESPN lists both at 0-0 because this is the first game of the year for each, so there is no standings position to cite yet. The usable history is 2025, and on the top line it is a tie: Austin Peay finished 7-5 and Gardner-Webb finished 7-5, each across twelve regular-season games.
The scoring profiles are where they split. Austin Peay scored 421 points in 2025, 35.1 per game, and allowed 328, or 27.3 per game. Gardner-Webb scored 330, 27.5 per game, and allowed 357, or 29.8 per game. That is a margin of plus 7.8 points per game for the Governors against minus 2.3 for the Runnin' Bulldogs, a ten-point per-game separation that a 14.5-point home spread reads as roughly fair.
The schedules point the same way. Austin Peay opened 2025 at Middle Tennessee and won 34-14 on the road against an FBS opponent, then lost 28-6 at Georgia. Gardner-Webb's two comparable tests split hard: a 52-45 win at Western Carolina to open, and a 59-12 loss at Georgia Tech. Both teams closed badly. Austin Peay lost 45-44 in overtime at Tarleton State in its finale, and Gardner-Webb lost 29-24 at home to Western Illinois in its own.
The head-to-head is one-sided and old enough to discount. Austin Peay beat Gardner-Webb 41-14 in Clarksville on October 14, 2023, the only meeting between the two in ESPN's 2022 through 2025 schedule data. ESPN's 2026 staff listings show Jeff Faris at Austin Peay and Kris McCullough at Gardner-Webb.
The DraftKings total of 58.5 on the ESPN scoreboard lands just under what last year's numbers imply. Blending each team's own scoring rate with the other team's points allowed puts Austin Peay near 32 and Gardner-Webb near 27, a combined 59.8. The number is a point and a half below the naive 2025 carryover, which is the standard opening-week haircut for two offenses that have not played a snap since November.
The market settles on the official final result of the Gardner-Webb at Austin Peay game scheduled for August 27, 2026. Each moneyline contract pays $1 per share if that team wins the game and $0 if it does not. Kalshi's stated rules keep the market open and settle on the official final if the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the scheduled start, and resolve it to a fair price if the game is cancelled or does not start inside that window. The listed close is August 29, 2026, with early settlement triggered once a winner is declared.
Season-long college football boards give this game its context. The college football national champion market and the conference champion board price the FBS side of the sport that Austin Peay and Gardner-Webb played into in 2025 at Middle Tennessee and Georgia Tech. The coach of the year market tracks the sideline names, and the full slate of live college games and futures sits on the NCAA football league hub and the broader football hub.
The market settles on the official final result of the Gardner-Webb at Austin Peay college football game scheduled for August 27, 2026 at Fortera Stadium in Clarksville, Tennessee, with a 7:00 PM ET kickoff. Each team's moneyline contract pays $1 per share if that team wins the game and $0 if it does not, so exactly one of the two contracts settles at $1. Under Kalshi's stated rules, a game that is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start keeps the market open and settles on the official final; a game that is cancelled or does not start within that 48-hour window resolves to a fair price. The listed close is August 29, 2026, and the market can close early once a winner is declared.
As of midday on August 26, 2026, Austin Peay trades at 86c on Kalshi and Gardner-Webb at 16c. Kalshi is the only exchange listing this game, so there is no Polymarket price alongside it.
It settles on the final result of the game at Fortera Stadium on August 27, 2026, with kickoff at 7:00 PM ET. The listed close is August 29, 2026, and the market can settle early once a winner is declared.
Kalshi only, under the event ticker KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG27WEBBPEAY, with one binary contract per team. Polymarket has not listed this game, so the board runs one-sided.
Austin Peay, at 86c on Kalshi, an 86% implied probability. DraftKings prices on the ESPN scoreboard have the Governors at -760 and laying 14.5 points, which implies 88.4%.
Volume. The two legs together hold about $1.9K, so late money on a Week 1 FCS game moves the quote more than any news will. The Austin Peay leg has already drifted from 87c on August 25, 2026 to 86c.