Commanders vs Eagles Prediction Market Odds, September 13, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Commanders | +5.5 50%51% | O 45.5 46%45% | 32%32% | 32% Kalshi |
â–¶Eagles | -5.5 50%49% | U 45.5 54%55% | 68%55% | 68% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Washington Commanders | +5.5 | O 45.5 | 32% Kalshi | |
â–¶Philadelphia Eagles | -5.5 | U 45.5 | 68% Kalshi |
Philadelphia is the moneyline favorite in this Week 1 NFC East opener, trading at 68.5c across both books as of September 5, 2026 (69c Kalshi, 68c Polymarket) against 32.5c for Washington. The Eagles went 11-6 and won the division in 2025 before losing 23-19 to San Francisco in the wild card round, while the Commanders fell to 5-12 with Jayden Daniels available for only 7 of 17 games. The board has drawn roughly $186K in cumulative volume and now carries a full spread ladder and a total alongside the moneyline, so use the live board above for current prices.
Washington opens the 2026 season at Lincoln Financial Field on September 13 with a 4:25 PM ET kickoff on FOX, and the prediction market has Philadelphia as a clear but not overwhelming favorite. The Eagles trade at 68.5c on the moneyline as of September 5, 2026 (69c Kalshi, 68c Polymarket) against 32.5c for the Commanders (32c Kalshi, 33c Polymarket). The board carries roughly $186K in cumulative volume across the two platforms, and the spread ladder prices Philadelphia at about five points.
Commanders vs Eagles Market Context
Philadelphia finished 11-6 in 2025 and won the NFC East, outscoring opponents 379 to 325 and taking the No. 3 seed. The season ended at home in the wild card round, a 23-19 loss to San Francisco on January 11, 2026. Jalen Hurts played all 17 regular-season games, throwing for 3,224 yards with 25 touchdowns against 6 interceptions on a 98.5 rating, and adding 421 rushing yards with 8 scores. Saquon Barkley carried 280 times for 1,140 yards and 7 touchdowns.
The receiver room is the variable. A.J. Brown is now on New England's roster, which leaves DeVonta Smith (77 catches, 1,008 yards, 4 touchdowns in 2025) as the primary target alongside Hollywood Brown, Dontayvion Wicks and rookie Makai Lemon, the No. 20 pick in the 2026 draft. Nick Sirianni returns as head coach and Dallas Goedert is still the starting tight end, so Week 1 is the first real look at whether the passing game absorbs the lost volume.
Washington is the reason this is not priced as a blowout. Jayden Daniels appeared in only 7 of 17 games in 2025, throwing for 1,262 yards with 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and the Commanders went 2-5 in those games and 5-12 overall with a minus-95 point differential and a 2-6 home record. Terry McLaurin was limited to 10 games (38 catches, 582 yards). Two seasons earlier the same core went 12-5 and reached the NFC Championship Game, where Philadelphia won 55-23. Dan Quinn returns as head coach with a reworked front seven that now includes Odafe Oweh, K'Lavon Chaisson and Charles Omenihu, and Washington spent the No. 7 pick in the 2026 draft on linebacker Sonny Styles. Stefon Diggs, who caught 85 passes for 1,013 yards in 2025, joins McLaurin on the perimeter. The Commanders team hub tracks how that turnover prices into their markets.
The head-to-head history argues for the 32.5c side being live. The two teams split in 2025: Philadelphia won 29-18 at Washington in Week 16, then Washington won 24-17 at Lincoln Financial Field in Week 18 on January 4, 2026. The most recent game in this building went to the underdog.
The spread ladder carries the sharper read. Philadelphia -4.5 trades at 52c and Philadelphia -5.5 at 48.5c, and those are the two heaviest rungs on the board at about $14.6K and $14.8K, so the market's real number is Eagles by roughly five. The total sits between 44.5 and 45.5: over 44.5 is a coin flip at 50c, over 45.5 prices at 46c on about $6.6K, and over 47.5 falls to 40.5c. Cross-platform disagreement is minimal. Kalshi and Polymarket are 1c apart on both moneyline sides and match exactly on Philadelphia -3.5 (55c) and on the 45.5 total (46c), so there is no divergence worth acting on here.
Snapshot history on this board is still shallow. Across the roughly six hours of captures on the evening of September 4, the Eagles moneyline held between 68c and 69c on Kalshi, the Commanders side held between 32c and 33c on Polymarket, and the Philadelphia -5.5 rung oscillated in a 48c to 50c band. That is a settled line over the window we have, not a moving one, and no claim about earlier drift is supportable from this board. The passing-yards prop ladders posted for both Hurts and Daniels carry no prices and no volume yet.
When the Commanders vs Eagles Market Resolves
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game, scheduled for 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13, 2026 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. Spread rungs settle against the final margin and total rungs against combined points scored, overtime included. The winning contract pays $1 per share and the losing side settles at zero. Kalshi and Polymarket each settle once the result is official. If the game is postponed past a platform's resolution window, canceled, or otherwise voided, settlement follows that platform's published game-market rules.
Key Commanders vs Eagles Factors
Daniels availability: Washington went 12-5 and reached the NFC title game in 2024 with a healthy Jayden Daniels and 5-12 in 2025 with him in only 7 games, which is the single largest swing on the 32.5c Commanders price.
Eagles receiver turnover: A.J. Brown is on New England's roster now, putting the volume on DeVonta Smith (1,008 yards in 2025) plus Hollywood Brown, Dontayvion Wicks and No. 20 pick Makai Lemon.
Washington front seven: Odafe Oweh, K'Lavon Chaisson, Charles Omenihu and No. 7 pick Sonny Styles are the additions tasked with pressuring Hurts, who took 32 sacks in 2025.
The five-point number: Philadelphia -4.5 at 52c and -5.5 at 48.5c hold about $29K of the board's spread volume between them, so the market is straddling a five-point margin rather than a comfortable one.
Books agree: Kalshi and Polymarket sit within 1c on both moneyline sides and match on the 45.5 total, so the 68.5c favorite has a genuine two-venue price behind it rather than a single-book quote.
Last meeting in this building: Washington won 24-17 at Lincoln Financial Field on January 4, 2026, after Philadelphia had taken the Week 16 game 29-18.
Related NFL Markets
Compare this opener against the rest of the slate on the NFL prediction markets hub and the Eagles team hub. The division stakes price out on the 2026 NFC East market, and the season-long read on Philadelphia lives on the Super Bowl LXI champion board.
Resolution Criteria
Resolves to the team that wins the game between the Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles, scheduled for 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13, 2026 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The winning-team moneyline contract pays $1 per share and the losing side settles at zero, based on the final score including overtime. Spread contracts settle against the final margin and total contracts against combined points scored. Both Kalshi and Polymarket list this game, and each settles on its own book once the result is official. If the game is postponed past a platform's resolution window, canceled, or otherwise voided, the market resolves per that platform's published game-market rules.
Key Factors
- Jayden Daniels availability: 7 of 17 games played in 2025 (1,262 passing yards, 8 TD, 3 INT), 2-5 team record in those games
- Eagles receiver turnover after A.J. Brown's move to New England, with DeVonta Smith (1,008 yards) now the primary target
- Washington's reworked front seven (Odafe Oweh, K'Lavon Chaisson, Charles Omenihu, No. 7 pick Sonny Styles) against a Hurts line that allowed 32 sacks in 2025
- The five-point spread question: Philadelphia -4.5 at 52c and -5.5 at 48.5c carry roughly $29K between them
- Kalshi and Polymarket within 1c on both moneyline sides, so the favorite price is corroborated across two venues
- Washington won the most recent meeting at Lincoln Financial Field 24-17 on January 4, 2026
What are the current Commanders vs Eagles odds?
As of September 5, 2026, Philadelphia is the 68.5c moneyline favorite (69c on Kalshi, 68c on Polymarket) and Washington trades at 32.5c (32c Kalshi, 33c Polymarket). The live board above carries the latest prices.
Where can I trade the Commanders vs Eagles market?
Both Kalshi and Polymarket list the September 13, 2026 game. Kalshi runs the deeper ladder with spread rungs and totals, and the combined board has taken roughly $186K in cumulative volume.
Who is favored in Commanders vs Eagles?
Philadelphia, at 68.5c, an implied win probability near 69% before the books' vig. The Eagles went 11-6 and won the NFC East in 2025 while Washington finished 5-12.
What is the spread and total for Commanders vs Eagles?
The spread ladder centers on Philadelphia by five: Philadelphia -4.5 trades at 52c and Philadelphia -5.5 at 48.5c as of September 5, 2026. The total sits near 45, with over 44.5 at 50c and over 45.5 at 46c.
When does the Commanders vs Eagles market resolve?
It resolves on the final score of the 4:25 PM ET kickoff on Sunday, September 13, 2026 at Lincoln Financial Field. Contracts settle on Kalshi and Polymarket once the game is official.