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Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Live Odds | Prediction Genius
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Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in t...
Politics
13 Candidates
Futures
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Current Leader
Ronaldo Caiado
17%
Renan Santos at 16%
(+1pt lead)
$4.5M volume
13 candidates
Polymarket, Kalshi
86d until resolution
Chart
Leaderboard
Analysis
Timeline
%
US
DEC
¢
Price History
Top candidates over time
Leaderboard
13 candidates · 2 platforms
#
Candidate
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best
1
Ronaldo Caiado
17%
6%
17%
▸
2
Renan Santos
7%
16%
16%
▸
3
Flávio Bolsonaro
7%
11%
11%
▸
4
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
10%
10%
10%
▸
5
Fernando Haddad
1%
6%
6%
▸
Show All 13 Candidates
Analysis
Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.
Timeline
Market Created
Jul 10
We Are Here
Jul 10
Resolution
Oct 4
⚠
Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.
Market Overview
Total Volume
$4.5M
Candidates
13
Platforms
Polymarket, Kalshi
Days Left
86
Leader
Ronaldo Caiado
Leader Spread
1pt
Resolution
October 4, 2026
Resolves In
85
DAYS
17
HRS
25
MIN
October 4, 2026
Top Movers
7D
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3% → 10%
↑ +7%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Will Renan Santos finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
62% → 68%
↑ +6%
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8% → 4%
↓ -4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
74% → 78%
↑ +4%
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11% → 7%
↓ -4%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
66% → 62%
↓ -4%
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