The Los Angeles Angels finished the 2026 regular season 62-100, the first 100-loss season in franchise history. Kalshi settled its 55 and 60-win rungs Yes and every rung from 65 to 85 wins No. The 65-win rung died on September 23 in a 7-3 loss to the Athletics, and Polymarket's over-72.5 line had resolved Under after closing on September 9.
Resolved September 23, 2026.
The Los Angeles Angels needed to win their last five games to reach 65 and lost the first of them, 7-3 to the Athletics on September 23. That loss left them at 60-98 with four games to play, settled the top live rung of the Angels 2026 win total ladder No, and finished the market's long slide from a preseason median near 70 wins. On June 30, with the Angels at 36-50, Kalshi's 65-win contract was still quoted at 75.5%.
Los Angeles finished 62-100, fifth in the AL West and 19 games behind Houston. The Angels scored 655 runs, second-fewest in the majors, and allowed 752, for a -97 run differential. They were 34-47 at home and 28-53 on the road. The 100th loss came in the final game, 7-3 at Seattle on September 27, and it gave the franchise its first 100-loss season; the previous high was 99 losses in 2024. Final standings are from the MLB Stats API.
Kalshi listed seven at-least-N rungs, from 55 to 85 wins:
| Kalshi rung | Result | Settled (ET) |
| 55+ wins | Yes | Sep 9, after win No. 55 on Sep 8 |
| 60+ wins | Yes | Sep 20, after win No. 60 on Sep 19 |
| 75+, 80+ and 85+ wins | No | Sep 8, after loss No. 90 on Sep 7 |
| 70+ wins | No | Sep 13, after loss No. 93 that afternoon |
| 65+ wins | No | Sep 24, 2:06 a.m., after loss No. 98 on Sep 23 |
Polymarket listed one Angels line, over or under 72.5 wins. Loss No. 90 on September 7 made 73 wins impossible, and the line closed at 1:49 p.m. ET on September 9 and resolved Under. Every contract fits a final total of 62, so the venues agree. The Kalshi ladder traded about 115K contracts, with about 44K on the 65-win rung and 43K on the 70-win rung. The Polymarket line traded under $1K.
The Angels were 11-11 on April 18 and never got back to .500. They went 9-17 in April and lost seven straight from April 24 to May 1. Each later collapse moved the ladder:
The Angels then won two in Seattle and lost the last two.
The preseason market expected a 70-win team. On March 25, the eve of Opening Day, Kalshi's 70-win rung closed at 46%, which put the median just under 70. Polymarket set its line at 72.5. The 65-win rung had a 62% bid and an 83% offer that night, too wide to read.
| Kalshi checkpoint (ET) | Angels record | 65+ wins |
| Jun 30, noon | 36-50 | 75.5% |
| Jul 31, noon | 42-67 | 40.5% |
| Aug 24, noon (30 days out) | 52-79 | 44.5% |
| Aug 31, noon | 52-85 | 26.5% |
| Sep 13, noon | 56-92 | 14.5% |
| Sep 17, noon (one week out) | 58-94 | 7.5% |
| Sep 21, noon | 60-96 | 6.5% |
| Sep 23, noon | 60-97 | 1% |
Prices are bid/ask midpoints; most of these hours had no trade. All rows use noon ET because Angels night games on the West Coast run past Kalshi's midnight ET close.
In late June the market still priced a team on pace for about 68 wins to clear 65 three times in four. The July collapse cut the price almost in half, A 7-4 run from August 11 to 22 lifted it back to 44.5% by August 24, and the second seven-game skid then cut it to 26.5%. From there the contract never recovered. The ladder overrated Los Angeles by about eight wins in March, and the Polymarket line by more than ten.
Houston won the AL West on the final day at 81-81, recorded on the 2026 AL West market. The Athletics, who closed out the Angels' 65-win rung, finished 64-98 on their own 2026 win total market, and Seattle, the Angels' final opponent, finished 76-86 on the Mariners 2026 win total market. The 2026 AL pennant market is still live with the Rays and Guardians in the ALCS.
No 2027 win-total ladder is listed on Kalshi or Polymarket as of October 16, 2026. Kalshi opened the 2026 ladder on December 16, 2025, about three months before Opening Day. The Los Angeles Angels hub collects every live Angels board.
Kalshi's ladder asked whether the Los Angeles Angels would win at least N games (55, 60, 65, 70, 75, 80 or 85) in the 2026 regular season; each rung resolved Yes at N or more wins, ties did not count as wins, and postseason games did not count. Polymarket's line resolved Over if the Angels won more than 72.5 regular-season games, resolved Under early if that became statistically impossible, named official MLB standings as the source, and would have resolved 50-50 if the season were cancelled, left incomplete or postponed past November 30, 2026. Kalshi settled each rung as it was decided, the 65-win rung No at 2:06 a.m. ET on September 24, 2026, and the 60-win rung Yes at 3:06 a.m. ET on September 20; Polymarket closed its line at 1:49 p.m. ET on September 9, 2026, and resolved it Under.
The Los Angeles Angels finished the 2026 regular season 62-100, fifth in the AL West. It was the first 100-loss season in franchise history; the previous high was 99 losses in 2024.
Kalshi settled its 55 and 60-win rungs Yes and its 65 through 85-win rungs No, with the 65-win rung settling at 2:06 a.m. ET on September 24, 2026. Polymarket's over-72.5 line closed on September 9 and resolved Under.
Kalshi's 65-win contract was quoted at 75.5% at noon ET on June 30 with the Angels at 36-50, at 26.5% on August 31 and at 7.5% on September 17, a week before it settled.
A 6-17 July and seven straight losses from August 23 to 30 left Los Angeles needing a late surge, and after an 8-0 loss on September 20 it needed five wins in six games. It lost 9-7 and 7-3 to the Athletics on September 22 and 23.
Not yet. Neither Kalshi nor Polymarket lists a 2027 win-total ladder as of October 16, 2026; Kalshi opened the 2026 ladder on December 16, 2025.