Politics3 ThresholdsFutures

National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

Current Leader

0 French Senate seats after the 2026 election28%

1 French Senate seats after the 2026 election at 20%(+8pt lead)

$45K volume3 thresholdsPolymarket124d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board3 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

<10linePolymarket

17%17%83%

<56Polymarket

2%2%98%

<117Polymarket

2%2%98%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Aug 29

We Are Here

Aug 29

Resolution

Dec 31

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$45K

Candidates4

PlatformsPolymarket

Days Left124

Leader0 French Senate seats after the 2026 election

Leader Spread8pt

ResolutionDecember 31, 2026

Resolves In

123

DAYS

HRS

MIN

December 31, 2026

Top Movers7D

Will Les Républicains hold 117-120 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

9% → 22%

↑ +13%

Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

25% → 13%

↓ -12%

Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

21% → 9%

↓ -12%

Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?

47% → 35%

↓ -12%

Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

17% → 7%

↓ -10%

Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

24% → 34%

↑ +10%

National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

Current Leader

0 French Senate seats after the 2026 election28%

1 French Senate seats after the 2026 election at 20%(+8pt lead)

$45K volume3 thresholdsPolymarket124d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board3 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

<10linePolymarket

17%17%83%

<56Polymarket

2%2%98%

<117Polymarket

2%2%98%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Aug 29

We Are Here

Aug 29

Resolution

Dec 31

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$45K

Candidates4

PlatformsPolymarket

Days Left124

Leader0 French Senate seats after the 2026 election

Leader Spread8pt

ResolutionDecember 31, 2026

Resolves In

123

DAYS

HRS

MIN

December 31, 2026

Top Movers7D

Will Les Républicains hold 117-120 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

9% → 22%

↑ +13%

Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

25% → 13%

↓ -12%

Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

21% → 9%

↓ -12%

Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?

47% → 35%

↓ -12%

Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

17% → 7%

↓ -10%

Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

24% → 34%

↑ +10%