Live Tulane Green Wave season win totals, American Conference title odds, and College Football Playoff longshot markets tracked across prediction markets.
TulaneThe Tulane Green Wave are one of the more actively traded Group of Five programs in college football prediction markets, a function of a New Orleans private school that has rebuilt itself into a genuine playoff threat. Founded in 1893 and playing out of Yulman Stadium in the American Conference, Tulane reached the 12-team College Football Playoff for the first time in 2025, the kind of result that pulls a mid-major onto futures boards usually reserved for power-conference brands. The durable swing factors on Tulane's price are roster turnover through the transfer portal and a coaching transition, with the program's ceiling set by a Group of Five path that runs through the conference title rather than a national one. The live odds for every contract sit on the board above; the analysis below covers what those numbers mean.
Prominently, Tulane is priced as a Group of Five team, not a national title contender, and the market reflects that structure cleanly. The realistic ceiling on most boards is the American Conference championship and the single Playoff bid that the highest-ranked Group of Five champion earns, not the national crown that runs through the SEC and Big Ten. That distinction is why Tulane's season-win-total and conference-title markets carry far more volume than any national-championship contract, which trades as a deep longshot. Traders price the Green Wave against the conference field, with North Texas, Memphis, Army, and Navy as the durable competitive set. For the current number, the live board above is the source of truth.
The American Conference is where Tulane's value is actually decided, and the program has made the title game in three straight seasons, winning it in 2022 and 2025. That recent run is the structural reason the market treats Tulane as a perennial conference contender rather than a one-year story. The race tends to price on roster strength and quarterback play more than early-season results, because a Group of Five schedule offers fewer marquee data points than a power-conference slate. Tulane finished 11-2 in 2025, won the conference, and the season-long question each year is whether the Green Wave can hold serve against North Texas and Memphis while surviving a non-conference test or two.
Three durable factors keep Tulane on the board. First, the program's resurgence is a genuine narrative: a private New Orleans school reaching the Playoff is the kind of story that generates trading interest well beyond its market size. Second, the 2026 coaching transition is a live variable, with Jon Sumrall leaving for Florida after the 2025 Playoff run and Tulane promoting Will Hall to lead the program. Coaching change is one of the most reliable repricing events in college football futures. Third, the transfer portal makes Group of Five rosters volatile year to year, so each offseason resets the win-total line materially. Forward catalysts include spring transfer movement and the preseason conference poll. The live board reflects where the price sits today.
Tulane carries deeper history than its modern Group of Five label suggests. The program won the inaugural Sugar Bowl in 1935 and counts 11 conference championships across five leagues, including three SEC titles in the 1930s and 1940s. The modern era's signature moment came in the 2023 Cotton Bowl, when Tulane beat USC 46-45 in a New Year's Six bowl, the win that announced the program's return to relevance. The 2025 Playoff berth, capped by a 34-21 American Conference Championship win over North Texas, extended that trajectory and is why the market now weights Tulane as a credible conference favorite rather than a longshot each season.
As of June 2026, Tulane finished the 2025 season 11-2, won the American Conference championship 34-21 over North Texas, and reached the College Football Playoff for the first time. The Green Wave lost 41-10 to Ole Miss in the first round on December 20, 2025.
Tulane's markets trade as Group of Five futures, so liquidity is thinner than power-conference programs and books can vary on season-win and conference-title lines. Where two platforms list the same contract, compare both for the better number; the live board above shows current prices.
Coverage includes season win totals, American Conference championship odds, College Football Playoff bid markets, and any national-title longshot contracts when active. Markets are most liquid from preseason through the conference championship window each fall.
Tulane won the American Conference championship in 2025, beating North Texas 34-21, its second American title after 2022. The program has 11 conference championships overall across five leagues, including the inaugural 1935 Sugar Bowl win.
The Group of Five structure is the durable driver: Tulane's ceiling is a conference title and a single Playoff bid, not a national championship. Year to year, transfer-portal roster turnover and the 2026 coaching change under Will Hall reprice the win-total line most.