Track Toronto Maple Leafs offseason prediction markets, including the Auston Matthews future and next general manager race, across the platforms covered by Prediction Genius.
Canadiens| 48-24 |
| 3 |
 Bruins | 45-27 | 9 |
 Senators | 44-27 | 10 |
 Red Wings | 41-31 | 17 |
 Panthers | 40-38 | 25 |
| Maple Leafs | 32-36 | 31 |
The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of the most heavily traded teams in NHL prediction markets, a function of a marquee Original Six franchise in the league's largest media market. Their 2025-26 season is over: Toronto finished 32-36-14 for 78 points as of June 4, 2026, missing the playoffs for the first time in a decade and closing on a losing skid. That collapse pushed market attention off the ice and onto the offseason, where the highest-traffic Leafs contracts now ask whether Auston Matthews stays or moves and who runs hockey operations next. The durable swing factor on these markets is roster and front-office construction, not any single game. The live odds for every contract sit on the board above.
With the Toronto Maple Leafs eliminated and the Stanley Cup Final between Vegas and Carolina still being decided, the team's tradeable markets have shifted entirely to the offseason. There is no clean next-season championship future trading with real liquidity yet, so the board's signal lives in the personnel markets instead. Those contracts price two questions traders care about: whether the core that produced a decade of regular-season success but only one playoff series win in that span gets broken up, and who takes over a front office under pressure after another early exit. The structural read is a franchise at a crossroads, with the market treating roster continuity as the live variable rather than assuming it. For the current price on each contract, see the live board above.
The most-watched Leafs offseason market asks where Auston Matthews plays next. Matthews is the franchise cornerstone, a former Hart Trophy winner and the most prolific goal-scorer Toronto has rostered in a generation, which is exactly why his future commands volume. The board's favorite outcome remains that he stays with Toronto or retires rather than forcing a move, a reflection of his contract status and the cost any rival would pay to acquire him. The durable driver here is leverage: as long as Matthews is signed and central to the rebuild-or-reload decision, the market prices continuity as the base case. A trade request or a public signal would move this contract fast. The exact price sits on the live board above.
The second cluster of Leafs offseason markets covers who runs the front office next. After back-to-back disappointing finishes, the next general manager contract draws steady interest because the hire shapes every downstream decision: whether to trade Matthews or William Nylander, how to spend cap space, and how aggressively to retool. The market structure is a multi-candidate field where probability concentrates on a small set of internal and external names. This is a low-volume, high-narrative market, the kind that moves on reporting rather than results, so the board reacts quickly to leaks and press availability. The live odds for the field are shown above.
Toronto is heavily traded for reasons that survive any single season: the largest Canadian market, a rabid national audience, and a star core whose every move is a story. The durable swing factors right now are the Matthews decision, the general manager hire, and how the front office handles Mitch Marner and Nylander against the salary cap. The forward catalysts are dated and concrete: the NHL Draft and the July 1 free agency window, both of which will reprice the offseason markets as moves land. Reference the live board above for where each contract sits today.
The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 13 Stanley Cups, tied for the second-most in NHL history, but the last came in 1967, the longest active championship drought in the league. That drought is the gravitational fact behind every Leafs market: a franchise with championship pedigree and championship spending that has not converted in nearly six decades. The 2025-26 miss, the first playoff absence in ten years, deepens that narrative and is the structural reason the offseason personnel markets carry weight. The market weights the current roster against a history that assumes contention but has not delivered a title since 1967.
As of June 4, 2026, the most-traded Leafs offseason market is Auston Matthews's next team, where the board's favorite is that he stays with Toronto or retires, priced near 14c on Kalshi. The next general manager field and live odds sit on the board above.
Toronto's offseason markets, including the Matthews future and the next general manager race, currently trade with the deepest book on Kalshi, while broader NHL futures appear across multiple platforms. Spreads tighten as volume builds toward the draft and free agency.
Prediction Genius tracks Toronto Maple Leafs offseason and futures markets, including Auston Matthews's next team, the next general manager field, and league-wide Stanley Cup futures once next-season contracts open. Coverage spans every platform we aggregate.
The Toronto Maple Leafs last won the Stanley Cup in 1967. That 13th title remains their most recent, and the gap since is the longest active championship drought in the NHL, nearly six decades and counting.
The biggest durable factor is core-roster and front-office construction. With a 32-36-14 finish in 2025-26 and a playoff miss, the market prices whether Toronto keeps Auston Matthews and its core intact or breaks it up, a decision shaped by the new general manager.
