Live odds across AI milestones, biotech approvals, space launches, and big-tech platform markets tracked across prediction markets.
Tech prediction markets aggregate 327 active contracts as of June 5, 2026 across four subcategories, with AI the deepest at 166 markets ahead of biotech at 91, space at 39, and platform markets at 31. Coverage spans frontier-model capability and AGI-timeline contracts, FDA drug-approval and clinical-trial outcomes, rocket-launch and crewed-mission milestones, and big-tech product, leadership, and antitrust questions. Each contract resolves against a verifiable real-world event, a benchmark result, a regulatory decision, a confirmed launch, or a shipped product, rather than against opinion. The live top-markets and movers widgets above show where every contract prices today and which moved most over the past day.
Artificial intelligence is consistently the deepest tech subcategory on the board, carrying 166 active contracts that ask whether a named lab ships a model by a date, whether a benchmark score is cleared, and how AGI-timeline questions resolve as labs publish results. Biotech follows with 91 markets structured around FDA approval decisions, clinical-trial readouts, and drug-launch milestones, each resolving on a published regulatory action or trial result. Space contributes 39 contracts covering orbital and crewed-mission launches, vehicle-certification milestones, and program schedules. The tech-platforms set adds 31 markets on big-tech product releases, executive transitions, and antitrust rulings. The live board above shows current pricing across all four; the durable structure is the spread of capability, regulatory, and launch questions, not any single day's cents.
Tech contracts reprice on scheduled and unscheduled catalysts alike. AI markets jump on model-release announcements, benchmark publications, and lab roadmap changes; biotech markets gap on FDA decision dates, PDUFA deadlines, and trial-data disclosures; space markets move on launch windows, scrubs, and mission outcomes; platform markets shift on earnings, product keynotes, and court rulings. Because many of these catalysts have known calendar dates, the board often prices a question for weeks before a single event resolves it in hours. The live movers widget above surfaces the current biggest moves and exact cents; the durable point is that tech's catalyst classes are well defined, which is what makes the questions tradeable.
Prediction markets translate diffuse tech speculation into a single implied probability that updates in real time as news lands. A binary contract on whether a model ships, a drug clears the FDA, or a rocket reaches orbit forces a number where press coverage offers only narrative. Because the same question often trades on more than one platform, cross-platform price discovery exposes where the market disagrees and where spreads are widest. Contracts resolve against objective, checkable outcomes, a benchmark result, a regulatory filing, a confirmed launch, so the settlement is auditable rather than a matter of interpretation. For traders and researchers tracking AI, biotech, space, and big-tech, that combination of real-time pricing and verifiable resolution is the draw.
Coverage spans four tech subcategories totaling 327 active contracts as of June 5, 2026: AI capability and AGI-timeline markets (166), biotech approval and clinical-trial markets (91), space launch and mission markets (39), and big-tech platform, product, and antitrust markets (31).
AI is the deepest tech subcategory by market count, anchored by model-release, benchmark, and AGI-timeline contracts. Biotech FDA-approval markets and space launch milestones carry the next-largest share. The live board above shows current pricing and volume across each subcategory.
Each contract settles on a verifiable event: an AI model shipping or a benchmark score being published, an FDA approval or trial readout, a confirmed rocket launch or mission outcome, or a shipped product, executive change, or court ruling. Resolution is auditable, not opinion-based.
As of June 5, 2026, AI capability and AGI-timeline contracts are the highest-activity tech markets on the board. For the current single largest contract, its exact price on each platform, and live volume, see the top-markets widget above, which refreshes continuously.
Many tech questions trade on more than one platform, and prices diverge when resolution wording differs or one platform carries a deeper book. AI and biotech contracts tend to show the widest cross-platform spreads. The live board above shows current spread sizes across major prediction market platforms.