Politics9 ThresholdsFutures

2026 Israel Election

Current Leader

177%

Gadi Eizenkot at 58%(+19pt lead)

$625K volume9 thresholdsPolymarket, Kalshi64d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Market line25· the 50% crossing

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board9 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

>5Polymarket

0%0%100%

>17Kalshi

94%94%6%

<20Polymarket

18%18%82%

>20Kalshi

89%89%11%

>23Kalshi

70%70%30%

>26lineKalshi

43%43%57%

>29Kalshi

24%24%76%

>32Kalshi

12%12%88%

>35Kalshi

15%15%85%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Aug 25

We Are Here

Aug 25

Resolution

Oct 27

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Politics9 ThresholdsFutures

2026 Israel Election

Current Leader

177%

Gadi Eizenkot at 58%(+19pt lead)

$625K volume9 thresholdsPolymarket, Kalshi64d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Market line25· the 50% crossing

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board9 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

>5Polymarket

0%0%100%

>17Kalshi

94%94%6%

<20Polymarket

18%18%82%

>20Kalshi

89%89%11%

>23Kalshi

70%70%30%

>26lineKalshi

43%43%57%

>29Kalshi

24%24%76%

>32Kalshi

12%12%88%

>35Kalshi

15%15%85%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Aug 25

We Are Here

Aug 25

Resolution

Oct 27

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.