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2026 New Zealand Election — Live Odds | Prediction Genius
Home
/
Markets
/
2026 New Zealand Election
Politics
6 Candidates
Futures
2026 New Zealand Election
Current Leader
New Zealand First Party
30%
Labour Party at 13%
(+17pt lead)
$176K volume
6 candidates
Polymarket
26d until resolution
Chart
Leaderboard
Analysis
Timeline
%
US
DEC
¢
Price History
Top candidates over time
Leaderboard
6 candidates
#
Candidate
Polymarket
Best
1
New Zealand First Party
30%
30%
▸
2
Labour Party
13%
13%
▸
3
ACT New Zealand
8%
8%
▸
4
National Party
0%
0%
▸
5
Te Pāti Māori
0%
0%
▸
Show All 6 Candidates
Analysis
Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.
Timeline
Market Created
Oct 12
We Are Here
Oct 12
Resolution
Nov 7
⚠
Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.
Market Overview
Total Volume
$176K
Candidates
6
Platforms
Polymarket
Days Left
26
Leader
New Zealand First Party
Leader Spread
17pt
Resolution
November 7, 2026
Resolves In
25
DAYS
20
HRS
48
MIN
November 7, 2026
Top Movers
7D
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
45% → 67%
↑ +22%
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
49% → 30%
↓ -19%
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?
3% → 20%
↑ +17%
Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
47% → 31%
↓ -16%
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
20% → 6%
↓ -14%
Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
8% → 21%
↑ +13%
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