Economics8 ThresholdsFutures

Fed Funds Rate After Dec 2026 Meeting

$105K volume8 thresholds119d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Market line4· the 50% crossing

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board8 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

>3.00Kalshi

98%98%2%

>3.25Kalshi

98%98%2%

>3.50Kalshi

84%84%16%

>3.75lineKalshi

59%59%41%

>4.00Kalshi

28%28%72%

>4.25Kalshi

7%7%93%

>4.50Kalshi

3%3%97%

>4.75Kalshi

2%2%98%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Aug 12

We Are Here

Aug 12

Resolution

Dec 9

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$105K

Candidates0

Platforms

Days Left119

ResolutionDecember 9, 2026

Resolves In

118

DAYS

HRS

MIN

December 9, 2026

Top Movers7D

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

73% → 59%

↓ -14%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

90% → 84%

↓ -6%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

33% → 28%

↓ -5%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

9% → 7%

↓ -2%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

98% → 98%

· 0%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

3% → 3%

· 0%

Fed Funds Rate After Dec 2026 Meeting

$105K volume8 thresholds119d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Market line4· the 50% crossing

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board8 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

>3.00Kalshi

98%98%2%

>3.25Kalshi

98%98%2%

>3.50Kalshi

84%84%16%

>3.75lineKalshi

59%59%41%

>4.00Kalshi

28%28%72%

>4.25Kalshi

7%7%93%

>4.50Kalshi

3%3%97%

>4.75Kalshi

2%2%98%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Aug 12

We Are Here

Aug 12

Resolution

Dec 9

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$105K

Candidates0

Platforms

Days Left119

ResolutionDecember 9, 2026

Resolves In

118

DAYS

HRS

MIN

December 9, 2026

Top Movers7D

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

73% → 59%

↓ -14%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

90% → 84%

↓ -6%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

33% → 28%

↓ -5%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

9% → 7%

↓ -2%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

98% → 98%

· 0%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

3% → 3%

· 0%