Economics6 ThresholdsFutures

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Current Leader

greater than 3.0%65%

between 2.5% and 3.0% at 16%(+49pt lead)

$295K volume6 thresholdsPolymarket19d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Market line3· the 50% crossing

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board6 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

>1.5Kalshi

94%94%6%

>2.0Kalshi

93%93%7%

>2.5Kalshi

80%80%20%

>3.0lineKalshi

65%65%35%

>3.5Kalshi

35%35%65%

>4.0Kalshi

28%28%72%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Oct 12

We Are Here

Oct 12

Resolution

Oct 30

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$295K

Candidates7

PlatformsPolymarket

Days Left19

Leadergreater than 3.0%

Leader Spread49pt

ResolutionOctober 30, 2026

Resolves In

DAYS

HRS

MIN

October 30, 2026

Top Movers7D

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: Will real GDP increase by more than 2.5% in Q3 2026?: Above 2.5%

87% → 80%

↓ -7%

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: Will real GDP increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2026?: Above 4.0%

23% → 28%

↑ +5%

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: Will real GDP increase by more than 3.0% in Q3 2026?: Above 3.0%

69% → 65%

↓ -4%

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: Will real GDP increase by more than 3.5% in Q3 2026?: Above 3.5%

38% → 35%

↓ -3%

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?

13% → 16%

↑ +3%

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?

67% → 65%

↓ -2%

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Current Leader

greater than 3.0%65%

between 2.5% and 3.0% at 16%(+49pt lead)

$295K volume6 thresholdsPolymarket19d until resolution

Market ForecastChance by threshold

Market line3· the 50% crossing

Chance of reaching each threshold · the curve crosses 50% at the market's central line

Threshold Board6 thresholds

ThresholdChanceYesNo

>1.5Kalshi

94%94%6%

>2.0Kalshi

93%93%7%

>2.5Kalshi

80%80%20%

>3.0lineKalshi

65%65%35%

>3.5Kalshi

35%35%65%

>4.0Kalshi

28%28%72%

Analysis

Analysis content will be generated by the pipeline.

Timeline

Market Created

Oct 12

We Are Here

Oct 12

Resolution

Oct 30

⚠Informational content only. Not financial or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss.

Market Overview

Total Volume$295K

Candidates7

PlatformsPolymarket

Days Left19

Leadergreater than 3.0%

Leader Spread49pt

ResolutionOctober 30, 2026

Resolves In

DAYS

HRS

MIN

October 30, 2026

Top Movers7D

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: Will real GDP increase by more than 2.5% in Q3 2026?: Above 2.5%

87% → 80%

↓ -7%

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: Will real GDP increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2026?: Above 4.0%

23% → 28%

↑ +5%

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: Will real GDP increase by more than 3.0% in Q3 2026?: Above 3.0%

69% → 65%

↓ -4%

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: Will real GDP increase by more than 3.5% in Q3 2026?: Above 3.5%

38% → 35%

↓ -3%

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?

13% → 16%

↑ +3%

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?

67% → 65%

↓ -2%