Dodgers vs Tigers Prediction Market Odds, August 28, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Dodgers | — | O 1 50%46% | 66%63% | 66% Kalshi |
▶Tigers | — | U 1 50%54% | 38%38% | 38% Kalshi |
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Los Angeles (80-53) is the 64.5c moneyline favorite at Detroit (62-71) on August 28, 2026, and the two books disagree only on the favorite: Kalshi has the Dodgers at 66c against 63c on Polymarket, while both price Detroit at 38c. Tarik Skubal (8-7, 2.91 ERA) makes his first start against the club he opened the season with, opposite Drew Anderson (4-5, 4.09 ERA). First pitch is 6:40 PM ET at Comerica Park, and the live board above carries the current cross-platform quotes.
Los Angeles (80-53) opens a three-game set at Comerica Park on Friday, August 28, 2026, first pitch 6:40 PM ET, and the board treats it as one of the cleaner mismatches on the MLB slate. The Dodgers are the 64.5c moneyline favorite (66c Kalshi, 63c Polymarket) against a Detroit club sitting 62-71 and 2-8 across its last 10 games. The pitching matchup carries the page: Tarik Skubal, who made 16 starts for Detroit before moving to Los Angeles at the deadline, takes the ball against the organization he opened the season with.
Dodgers vs Tigers Market Context
Los Angeles is 80-53 (.602) and leads the NL West by 8.5 games over San Diego (72-62), and travels well at 40-27, a road mark within three games of its 40-26 home record. The recent form is softer than the record: the Dodgers dropped 4-3 and 6-5 decisions in Atlanta on August 25 and August 26 and carry a two-game losing streak into Detroit. Right-hander Roki Sasaki is headed to the injured list after leaving his August 26 start with a blister on his middle finger, which thins an already worked rotation for the final five weeks.
Detroit is 62-71 (.466), fourth in the AL Central and 8 games behind Chicago (70-63), which is the practical end of its division case. The Tigers are 33-33 at Comerica Park and 2-8 in their last 10, a stretch that included a three-game sweep in Kansas City on August 22 and August 23 and a 3-0 shutout loss to Tampa Bay on August 26. Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene and Matt Vierling are all on the 10-day injured list, which strips the middle of the order against a left-hander.
Skubal is 8-7 with a 2.91 ERA and has been sharper since the move than the season line suggests: 30 strikeouts in 24.0 August innings at a 3.38 ERA, following a 41-strikeout July at a 2.03 ERA. His last Detroit start came July 29 against Baltimore and his first Los Angeles start came August 5 at Chicago, so this is his first look at his former club. Detroit counters with Drew Anderson (4-5, 4.09 ERA), a swingman with 44 appearances and 2 saves who has been the more reliable version of himself lately, posting a 3.32 ERA and 15 strikeouts over 19.0 innings in August with his last outing on August 22 at Kansas City.
The cross-platform read is where the board gets interesting. Kalshi prices Los Angeles at 66c and Detroit at 38c, a two-sided 104 that carries the usual exchange vig. Polymarket has Los Angeles at 63c and Detroit at 38c, a tighter 101. Both books agree exactly on Detroit, so the entire disagreement lives on the favorite, and Polymarket is the cheaper entry for anyone taking Los Angeles. ESPN's own matchup predictor puts the Dodgers at 60.7%, which sits below both books and below the 64.5c cross-platform average.
Treat the size with respect. The board carries roughly $1.8K in lifetime volume across both platforms, about $1.5K of it on the moneyline, so quotes here move on modest order flow rather than on genuine disagreement about the baseball. Kalshi opened Los Angeles at 64c on the morning of August 26 and has traded a 63c to 66c band since, closing the observed window at 66c. Polymarket has not moved off 63c since its first capture that same day. The 3c spread is Kalshi drifting up, not Polymarket repricing down.
The more active line has been the first-inning run market. Both books opened at 56c on August 26 and it now reads 50c on Kalshi and 46c on Polymarket, a 6c to 10c drift toward no first-inning scoring that tracks the Skubal start. Note what the board does not carry: there is no run line and no game total posted on either platform for this game, so the moneyline and the first-inning run question are the only two typed markets available. The Detroit Tigers hub carries the rest of the club's active board.
When the Dodgers vs Tigers Market Resolves
The moneyline resolves to the winner of the game at Comerica Park on August 28, 2026, scheduled for 6:40 PM ET and carried on MLB.TV nationally, SportsNet LA in Los Angeles and Tigers.TV in Detroit. Contracts settle once the game is official and the final score is posted, typically within hours of the last out. The first-inning run market resolves yes if either team scores in the top or bottom of the first inning. A postponement moves settlement to the completed makeup date under both platforms' rules; a suspended game settles on the score at the point the game is declared official.
Key Dodgers vs Tigers Catalysts
Skubal against his former club: the left-hander is 8-7 with a 2.91 ERA and struck out 30 in 24.0 August innings, and this is his first start against Detroit since the deadline move.
Detroit's depleted lineup: Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene and Matt Vierling are all on the 10-day injured list, which matters more than usual against a left-handed starter.
The 3c platform gap: Kalshi has Los Angeles at 66c against 63c on Polymarket while both books agree on Detroit at 38c, so the cheaper side of the favorite is on Polymarket.
Anderson's August form: Detroit's starter has a 3.32 ERA and 15 strikeouts over 19.0 innings this month against a 4.09 season mark, which is the strongest argument for the 38c side.
Thin book, real drift: roughly $1.8K in lifetime volume means the quote moves on small orders, and the first-inning run line has already slid from 56c to the high 40s since August 26.
Related Dodgers vs Tigers Markets
The season-long picture behind this game trades on its own boards. The Los Angeles Dodgers 2026 win total is the market that actually prices the 80-53 pace, while the Detroit Tigers 2026 win total has spent August absorbing a 2-8 stretch. Detroit's postseason case trades separately on Tigers playoff odds, where the 8-game division deficit does the work. For the rest of the slate, the Los Angeles Dodgers hub and the MLB hub list every active game and futures board across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Resolution Criteria
Resolves to the team that wins the game at Comerica Park in Detroit on August 28, 2026, scheduled for 6:40 PM ET. Each team contract pays $1 per share if that team wins and $0 otherwise, settled by both Kalshi and Polymarket once the game is official and the final score is posted. The separate first-inning run market resolves yes if either team scores a run in the first inning. If the game is postponed, settlement moves to the completed makeup date under each platform's rules; if the game is suspended after becoming official, it settles on the score at the point play is halted and the result is declared final.
Key Factors
- Tarik Skubal (8-7, 2.91 ERA) starts against Detroit for the first time since moving to Los Angeles at the deadline
- Drew Anderson (4-5, 4.09 ERA) has a 3.32 ERA and 15 strikeouts over 19.0 August innings for Detroit
- Detroit is 2-8 in its last 10 and 33-33 at Comerica Park; Los Angeles is 40-27 on the road
- Kalshi has Los Angeles 3c above Polymarket (66c vs 63c) while both books agree on Detroit at 38c
- Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene and Matt Vierling are on Detroit's 10-day injured list against a left-hander
- The first-inning run market has drifted from 56c on August 26 to 50c Kalshi and 46c Polymarket
What are the current Dodgers vs Tigers odds?
As of August 27, 2026, Los Angeles is the 64.5c cross-platform moneyline favorite, priced at 66c on Kalshi and 63c on Polymarket. Detroit trades at 38c on both books.
Who is favored in Dodgers vs Tigers on August 28, 2026?
Los Angeles is favored at an implied 64.5% across the two platforms. ESPN's matchup predictor is more conservative at 60.7% for the Dodgers, so the market is pricing Los Angeles about four points stronger than the model.
Where can I trade the Dodgers vs Tigers market?
Both Kalshi and Polymarket list the moneyline, and both also list a first-inning run market at 50c and 46c respectively. Neither platform has posted a run line or a game total for this matchup.
When does the Dodgers vs Tigers market resolve?
It resolves on the final score of the August 28, 2026 game at Comerica Park, first pitch 6:40 PM ET. Settlement follows within hours of the last out on both platforms.
What should I watch before Dodgers vs Tigers resolves?
Watch Detroit's lineup card, since Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene and Matt Vierling are all on the 10-day injured list, and watch whether Polymarket closes the 3c gap to Kalshi's 66c. The board holds only about $1.8K in lifetime volume, so late order flow can move the quote several cents.