Pacers vs Grizzlies Prediction Market Odds, November 4, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Pacers | — | — | 27%27% | 27% Kalshi |
▶Grizzlies | — | — | 74%74% | 74% Kalshi |
No player props available for this game.
No spread lines available.
No total (o/u) lines available.
Memphis is a heavy favorite in Pacers vs Grizzlies: as of November 3 the Grizzlies trade at 74c on both Kalshi and Polymarket, after spiking above 80c overnight while five Pacers were listed day-to-day. Memphis (6-1) is 4-0 on the road and Indiana (2-6) has lost five straight. Tip-off is 8:00 PM ET on November 4, 2026, at FedExForum.
Pacers vs Grizzlies carries the widest price among Wednesday's three 8:00 PM ET tips: Memphis (6-1) hosts an Indiana team that has lost five straight, and the board makes the Grizzlies roughly 3-to-1 favorites at FedExForum. It is also the busiest of these boards, with about $35.5K in volume as of November 3.
Pacers vs Grizzlies Odds and Market Context
As of November 3 the moneyline reads Grizzlies 74c and Pacers 27c on both Kalshi and Polymarket, so the two venues are in full agreement. The route to that price was volatile. In the captures we hold, which run from about 11:00 AM ET Monday to 11:00 AM ET Tuesday, Memphis traded at 64c to 68c through Monday. Overnight it spiked: Polymarket reached 81c at about 1:13 AM ET Tuesday and Kalshi reached 82c at about 1:49 AM ET. ESPN logged day-to-day designations for five Pacers at about 12:50 AM ET. By late Tuesday morning the price had given back about 8c and settled at 74c on both venues. Net, Memphis is up 8c on Kalshi and 10c on Polymarket from Monday's level. On Polymarket's daily history the Grizzlies closed October 29 at 53c, on very thin volume, so the price has climbed about 21c in a week.
ESPN's matchup predictor gives Memphis 74.7%, in line with the market's 74c, so the model and the market agree on this one. The board lists no spread or total contracts for this game as of November 3, so the moneyline is the only priced market.
Pacers vs Grizzlies Form and Injuries
Memphis is 6-1 (2-1 at home, 4-0 on the road) per ESPN. It won its first six, including 136-105 over Sacramento, before a 135-134 overtime home loss to New Orleans on Monday. Indiana is 2-6 (0-4 at home, 2-2 on the road) and has lost five straight, most recently 108-104 at home to Atlanta on Monday after a 98-90 home loss to Brooklyn. This is the first meeting of the season. Both teams had Tuesday off.
The Indiana injury report is the swing factor. ESPN lists Pascal Siakam (rest), Aaron Nesmith (rest), Andrew Nembhard (neck), Kelly Oubre Jr. (knee) and Larry Nance Jr. (illness) as day-to-day as of November 3. Siakam leads the Pacers at 21.4 points and 7.4 rebounds per game and Nembhard at 7.3 assists, so a confirmed absence for either one is worth watching on the price. For Memphis, ESPN lists Quinten Post (ankle) and Scotty Pippen Jr. (back) as day-to-day. Ty Jerome leads the Grizzlies at 28.2 points and 5.7 assists per game, and Cameron Boozer at 10.3 rebounds. Eight games is a small sample, but a perfect 4-0 road record and an 0-4 home record for Indiana point the same way as the 74c price.
When the Pacers vs Grizzlies Market Resolves
The moneyline settles on the official winner of the Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies game scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at FedExForum, with overtime included, once the game goes final.
Key Pacers vs Grizzlies Catalysts
- Overnight spike: Memphis jumped from the mid-60s to 81c to 82c early Tuesday, then settled at 74c on both venues.
- Pacers status: Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Andrew Nembhard, Kelly Oubre Jr. and Larry Nance Jr. are listed day-to-day, per ESPN as of November 3.
- Form gap: Memphis is 6-1 with a 4-0 road record; Indiana is 2-6 and has lost five straight.
- Bounce spot: the Grizzlies come off their first loss, 135-134 in overtime to New Orleans.
- Model check: ESPN's predictor has Memphis at 74.7%, matching the market.
Related Pacers vs Grizzlies Markets
Memphis's start has moved the Western Conference futures, and Indiana's slide has done the same in the East. Follow the Grizzlies playoff odds, the Pacers playoff odds and the Western Conference champion market. The Memphis Grizzlies hub and Indiana Pacers hub collect every live market for each team, and the NBA hub lists the rest of Wednesday's slate.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies game scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on November 4, 2026, at FedExForum in Memphis, including overtime, and pays $1 per winning share on Kalshi and Polymarket. The contract settles on the official final result once the game goes final. If the game is postponed or canceled, each venue settles under its own posted contract rules.
Key Factors
- Memphis spiked to 82c on Kalshi and 81c on Polymarket early Tuesday, then settled at 74c on both
- Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Andrew Nembhard, Kelly Oubre Jr. and Larry Nance Jr. listed day-to-day, per ESPN as of November 3
- Memphis is 6-1 and 4-0 on the road; Indiana is 2-6 and 0-4 at home
- The Grizzlies come off a 135-134 overtime loss to New Orleans, their first of the season
- ESPN's matchup predictor has Memphis at 74.7%, matching the market
What are the Pacers vs Grizzlies odds?
As of November 3, 2026, Memphis is 74c and Indiana 27c on both Kalshi and Polymarket, about a 74% implied chance of a Grizzlies win.
What time does Pacers vs Grizzlies tip off?
Tip-off is 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at FedExForum in Memphis, per the ESPN scoreboard.
Where can I trade the Pacers vs Grizzlies game?
The moneyline trades on both Kalshi and Polymarket. As of November 3 the board lists no spread or total contracts for this game.
Why did the Grizzlies price jump overnight?
Memphis rose from the mid-60s to 82c on Kalshi early on November 3, around the time ESPN listed five Pacers day-to-day, including Pascal Siakam and Andrew Nembhard. It has since settled at 74c.
What should I watch before Pacers vs Grizzlies settles?
Watch whether Pascal Siakam and Andrew Nembhard are cleared to play, since both were day-to-day as of November 3. The market settles when the game goes final on November 4, 2026.