Jazz vs Pelicans Prediction Market Odds, November 4, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Jazz | — | — | 33%33% | 33% Kalshi |
▶Pelicans | — | — | 70%68% | 70% Kalshi |
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No spread lines available.
No total (o/u) lines available.
New Orleans is the clear favorite in Jazz vs Pelicans: as of November 3 the Pelicans trade at 70c on Kalshi and 68c on Polymarket, up about 4c over the past day. The Pelicans (3-4) have won three straight, including Monday's overtime win at Memphis, while Utah (1-6) has lost five straight. Tip-off is 8:00 PM ET on November 4, 2026, at Smoothie King Center.
Jazz vs Pelicans puts a 1-6 Utah team on the road against a New Orleans side that has won three straight, and the prediction market prices the Pelicans as clear home favorites at Smoothie King Center. The board carries about $4.9K in volume as of November 3, all of it on the moneyline.
Jazz vs Pelicans Odds and Market Context
As of November 3 the moneyline reads Pelicans 70c on Kalshi and 68c on Polymarket (69c average), with the Jazz at 33c on both venues. The 2c gap on New Orleans is too small to call a cross-platform edge, though Polymarket is the slightly cheaper place to back the Pelicans. In the captures we hold, which run from about 11:00 AM ET Monday to 11:00 AM ET Tuesday, Kalshi held New Orleans at 65c to 67c until it ticked to 70c late Tuesday morning, and Polymarket climbed from 64c to 68c. Utah drifted from 38c to 39c on Kalshi Monday to 33c Tuesday. The direction is one way: the market has added about 4c to the Pelicans over the past day.
ESPN's matchup predictor gives New Orleans 56.3%, about 13 points below the market's 69c average, so the market is leaning much harder on the Pelicans than ESPN's model does. The board lists no spread or total contracts for this game as of November 3, so the moneyline is the only priced market.
Jazz vs Pelicans Form and Injuries
New Orleans is 3-4 (2-2 at home, 1-2 on the road) per ESPN and has won three straight: 132-120 over Sacramento, 121-99 over Atlanta and 135-134 in overtime at Memphis on Monday, which handed the Grizzlies their first loss. Utah is 1-6 (1-4 at home, 0-2 on the road) and has lost five straight, most recently 119-97 at San Antonio on Monday. The one Jazz win came against New Orleans, which is why ESPN shows Utah leading the season series 1-0. Both teams had Tuesday off.
Availability cuts into both rosters. ESPN lists Dejounte Murray (personal), Jordan Poole (ankle) and Yves Missi (knee) out for New Orleans, and Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee), Jusuf Nurkic (foot) and Trey Alexander (knee) out for Utah, as of November 3. ESPN's projected return date for Jackson is mid-December. Zion Williamson leads the Pelicans at 21.3 points per game, Jeremiah Fears at 4.9 assists and Derik Queen at 7.7 rebounds. Keyonte George leads Utah at 19.6 points and 5.4 assists, and Ace Bailey at 7.6 rebounds. Seven games is a small sample, but a 0-2 road record and a five-game slide are what the 33c Jazz price reflects.
When the Jazz vs Pelicans Market Resolves
The moneyline settles on the official winner of the Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans game scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at Smoothie King Center, with overtime included, once the game goes final.
Key Jazz vs Pelicans Catalysts
- One-way drift: the Pelicans rose from 64c to 68c on Polymarket and to 70c on Kalshi over the past day.
- Streaks: New Orleans has won three straight; Utah has lost five straight.
- Pelicans absences: Dejounte Murray, Jordan Poole and Yves Missi are listed out, per ESPN as of November 3.
- Jazz frontcourt: Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic are both listed out for Utah.
- Model gap: ESPN's predictor has New Orleans at 56.3%, well under the market's 69c average.
Related Jazz vs Pelicans Markets
Early-season results like this one feed the playoff futures for both clubs. Follow the Pelicans playoff odds, the Jazz playoff odds and the Western Conference champion market. The New Orleans Pelicans hub and Utah Jazz hub collect every live market for each team, and the NBA hub lists the rest of Wednesday's slate.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans game scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on November 4, 2026, at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, including overtime, and pays $1 per winning share on Kalshi and Polymarket. The contract settles on the official final result once the game goes final. If the game is postponed or canceled, each venue settles under its own posted contract rules.
Key Factors
- The Pelicans rose from 64c to 68c on Polymarket and to 70c on Kalshi in the day before November 3
- New Orleans has won three straight, including 135-134 in overtime at Memphis on Monday
- Utah (1-6) has lost five straight and is 0-2 on the road
- Dejounte Murray, Jordan Poole and Yves Missi listed out for New Orleans, per ESPN as of November 3
- Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic listed out for Utah, per ESPN as of November 3
What are the Jazz vs Pelicans odds?
As of November 3, 2026, New Orleans is 70c on Kalshi and 68c on Polymarket, about a 69% implied chance of a Pelicans win. Utah is 33c on both venues.
What time does Jazz vs Pelicans tip off?
Tip-off is 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, per the ESPN scoreboard.
Where can I trade the Jazz vs Pelicans game?
The moneyline trades on both Kalshi and Polymarket. As of November 3 the board lists no spread or total contracts for this game.
Who is favored in Jazz vs Pelicans?
New Orleans is favored at a 69c average as of November 3, well above ESPN's 56.3% matchup projection. The Pelicans have won three straight and Utah has lost five straight.
What should I watch before Jazz vs Pelicans settles?
Watch the status of Dejounte Murray and Jordan Poole, both listed out for New Orleans as of November 3. The market settles when the game goes final on November 4, 2026.