| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶AUSC | — | — | 7% | 7% Kalshi |
▶FUR | — | — | 95% | 95% Kalshi |
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Furman is a 95c favorite on Kalshi to beat Anderson (SC) in its 2026 opener, with the Trojans at 7c, and the price is a division gap rather than a form read: Furman is FCS Southern Conference at 6-6 in 2025, Anderson is NCAA Division II South Atlantic Conference at 5-6. This is a single-book market with no Polymarket counterpart and roughly $1.3K in lifetime volume, so the quote is thin and moves on small orders. Kickoff is 7:00 PM ET Thursday, August 27, 2026 at Paladin Stadium in Greenville, South Carolina.
Furman opens its 2026 season at home against Anderson (SC), a South Atlantic Conference program from NCAA Division II, and the Kalshi board prices the gap accordingly. The Paladins trade at 95c, the Trojans at 7c, on a single-book market that has taken roughly $1.3K in lifetime volume across both legs. Furman went 6-6 in 2025 and 4-2 at Paladin Stadium; Anderson went 5-6 against a Division II schedule. Kickoff is 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, August 27, 2026, at Paladin Stadium in Greenville, South Carolina, on ESPN+.
The structural read is a division gap, not a form gap. Furman plays in the Southern Conference at the FCS level and finished 2025 at 6-6 overall, 4-4 in league play, with wins over William & Mary (23-21), Samford (31-13), The Citadel (24-14) and VMI (32-14). Clay Hendrix has been the listed head coach every season from 2023 through 2026, so this is continuity rather than a first-year installation. The Paladins closed 2025 with a 45-10 loss at Clemson, which is the standard FBS money-game result and carries little signal for a Week 1 home opener.
Anderson (SC) finished 5-6 and 3-6 in the South Atlantic Conference. The Trojans scored in bunches against the bottom of their schedule, beating Shorter 34-7, Erskine 35-7, Tusculum 30-0 and UVA Wise 50-7, and beat Lenoir-Rhyne 35-28. Against the better defenses on the slate they stalled: 30-3 at home to Wingate, 28-6 to Carson-Newman, 44-20 at Catawba, 42-13 at Emory and Henry. That split is the case for a price this lopsided. Anderson has beaten teams that could not stop it and lost decisively to teams that could.
ESPN carries a schedule and roster link for Anderson (SC) but no team statistics page and no coaching record, so there is no verifiable returning-production or personnel picture on the visitor side beyond the 2025 results. Both teams enter 0-0. This is Week 1 and no 2026 result exists for either program, so anything framed as current form or a standings position would be invented.
The one real counterargument to 95c sits in Furman's own 2025 log. The Paladins lost 39-38 at home to Presbyterian in September 2025, a non-scholarship FCS opponent, and dropped 52-7 at Western Carolina and 52-28 at home to Mercer. A team that has already lost a home game it was heavily favored in is not a clean 95% proposition, and 95c pays 5c on a winning contract. The board is expressing near-certainty on a program that produced two blowout home-and-road losses and one upset loss inside twelve months.
The market listed late Tuesday evening ET with no real two-sided book, so the first captures sit at a 50c placeholder on both legs rather than a genuine opinion. Real quotes arrived overnight: Furman printed 90c by roughly 2:00 AM ET Wednesday, eased back to 79c near 8:20 AM ET, then repriced to 92c by 9:06 AM ET and 95c by midday Wednesday. Anderson tracked the mirror path, sitting near 48c through the placeholder window before falling to 18c, then 15c, then 7c.
The 79c print is the only spot on the series where the board offered anything other than heavy chalk, and it lasted under an hour. Note that the two legs summed to 107 earlier in the session and 102 at the latest capture, which is the bid-ask width on a book this size rather than a pricing error. On about $1.3K of total volume, a single order of any size moves the quote several cents, so treat any individual print here as a thin quote and not a settled consensus.
The market resolves to the team that wins the game as scheduled for Thursday, August 27, 2026. Each winning contract pays $1 and the losing side pays $0. Kalshi's stated rule closes and expires the market once a winner is declared, with a latest expiration of August 29, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the market stays open and settles on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or has not started within 48 hours, the market settles at a fair price rather than paying either side in full. There is no spread or total listed on this board, so the moneyline is the only settlement question.
Furman's Southern Conference schedule starts later, and Chattanooga vs West Georgia prices a league rival that beat the Paladins 45-28 in November 2025. Central Arkansas vs UT Martin is another opening-weekend FCS board trading the same day. Season-long context sits on the college football national champion market and the conference champion board. Every college game trading across Kalshi and Polymarket is listed on the NCAA football hub.
Resolves to the team that wins the Anderson (SC) Trojans at Furman Paladins college football game originally scheduled for Thursday, August 27, 2026 at Paladin Stadium in Greenville, South Carolina. Each winning team contract pays $1 per share and the losing side pays $0. Kalshi closes and expires the market once a winner is declared, with a latest expiration of August 29, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its original scheduled start, the market remains open and settles on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or has not started within 48 hours of its original scheduled start, the market settles at a fair price rather than paying either side in full. No spread or total is listed on this board, so the moneyline is the only settlement question.
As of midday August 26, 2026, Furman trades at 95c and Anderson (SC) at 7c on Kalshi. The board is single-book with no Polymarket counterpart and roughly $1.3K in lifetime volume, so the quote is thin and can move several cents on a single order.
Furman, at 95c, which implies about a 95% chance of winning. Anderson (SC) at 7c implies about 7%. The two legs sum above 100 because of the bid-ask width on a small book.
Kalshi is the only platform carrying this game, under the event ticker KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG27AUSCFUR. Polymarket has no matching market, so there is no cross-platform price to compare.
It resolves once a winner is declared in the game scheduled for 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, August 27, 2026, with a latest expiration of August 29, 2026. A postponement that starts within 48 hours keeps the market open.
Whether the 95c price holds into kickoff. The line touched 79c around 8:20 AM ET on August 26 before repricing, and on a book this thin a single order can reopen that range. Furman's 39-38 home loss to Presbyterian in September 2025 is the historical reason the last few cents are not free.