| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶CUWV | — | — | 18% | 18% Kalshi |
▶DAV | — | — | 87% | 87% Kalshi |
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Davidson is the 88c favorite on Kalshi against Concord at 22c on the only board quoting Thursday's 7:00 PM ET opener at Richardson Stadium, and that price is a division read rather than a form read. Davidson plays FCS football in the Pioneer Football League and went 2-10 in 2025 while allowing 39.6 points per game. Concord is a Division II Mountain East program that went 4-7 and scored 29.0 points per game. Kalshi carries $1.1K of lifetime volume on the game with $20 of it on the Concord contract, so the live board above is thin and quotes wide.
Davidson opens its 2026 season at home against Concord on Thursday, August 27, at 7:00 PM ET at Richardson Stadium in Davidson, North Carolina, with ESPN+ carrying the broadcast. Kalshi is the only exchange with a market on it, and the board has Davidson at 88c and Concord at 22c. The gap is priced off classification, not off last season. Davidson is an FCS program in the Pioneer Football League and Concord is a Division II program in the Mountain East Conference, and by division that ordering is conventional. By 2025 results it is inverted.
Davidson finished 2025 at 2-10, including 1-7 in Pioneer Football League play. The Wildcats scored 218 points and allowed 475 across 12 games, 18.2 per game against 39.6. Both wins were narrow in one case and lopsided in the other: 48-0 over Division III Greensboro College on September 20 and 14-13 over Presbyterian on November 8. The losses were not close. Georgetown won the 2025 opener 51-14, Elon won 55-7, Tennessee Tech won 72-14, Drake shut Davidson out 45-0, and Dayton closed the year with a 42-14 win.
Concord finished 2025 at 4-7 with 319 points scored and 341 allowed, 29.0 per game against 31.0. The Mountain Lions opened with a 37-29 win at UVA Wise, beat West Liberty 44-21, beat West Virginia Wesleyan 31-21, and closed the season with a 56-34 win at Ferrum. Four of the seven losses came by 12 points or fewer, including 26-21 at Wheeling and 28-21 to West Virginia State. The one blowout was 33-7 at Frostburg State.
So the team the board prices at 22c outscored the team it prices at 88c by 10.8 points per game last year and gave up 8.6 fewer. That does not make Concord the right side, because a Division II schedule is a materially different bar than a Pioneer Football League schedule, and Davidson's roster turnover across an offseason is not something the 2025 numbers capture. It does mean the 88c quote is carrying more confidence than either program's 2025 body of work supports on its own. Neither team has played a 2026 game, so every record on this page is a 2025 final and ESPN lists both sides at 0-0 entering the week.
The board opened at 50c on both legs at 9:10 PM ET on August 25 with zero volume behind it, and it held between 49c and 50c through 8:00 AM ET on August 26 with nothing traded. The first $50 printed by 8:42 AM ET and the Davidson leg jumped straight to 81c. By 9:16 AM ET the Davidson contract had taken $901 and was quoting 87c, and it reached 88c by 9:25 AM ET. That is a 38c move on the first $900 that touched the book, which is what an untraded placeholder quote looks like when a real order finally arrives, not a market changing its mind.
The two legs currently quote to 110c combined, so the normalized read is closer to an 80% Davidson favorite and 20% for Concord than the raw cents suggest. That overround is the signature of a wide book on a small-school Week 1 game. Lifetime volume on the game is $1.1K, and all but $20 of it sits on the Davidson contract. There is no Polymarket leg, so there is no second price to check the Kalshi quote against and no cross-platform comparison to make on this game.
The market resolves to the team that wins the game on Thursday, August 27, 2026, at Richardson Stadium. Each contract pays $1 per share if that team wins and $0 if it does not, and the two legs are mutually exclusive. Kalshi's contracts carry a settlement timestamp of 10:00 PM ET on August 27, so the market closes out the same night the game goes final rather than carrying into the weekend. If the game is postponed or canceled, Kalshi settles under its own game-market rules for the event ticker KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG27CUWVDAV.
Two other boards on the same Thursday card share this one's exact shape and its cast. UVA Wise at Presbyterian links both programs directly: Concord beat UVA Wise 37-29 in its 2025 opener, and Presbyterian is the team Davidson beat 14-13 for its only FCS win last season. Glenville State at Elon is the same Division II visitor against an FCS host, and both hosts have a 2025 result against these teams: Glenville State beat Concord 42-30, and Elon beat Davidson 55-7. South Dakota Mines at Drake is the Pioneer Football League version of the same setup, and Drake is the team that shut Davidson out 45-0 in October. Lafayette at Georgetown puts a price on the Georgetown team that opened 2025 by beating Davidson 51-14. The full opening-weekend slate is on the NCAA football hub.
The market resolves to the team that wins the Concord at Davidson college football game played Thursday, August 27, 2026, at Richardson Stadium in Davidson, North Carolina. Kalshi lists two mutually exclusive moneyline contracts under event ticker KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG27CUWVDAV, one for each team, and each pays $1 per share if that team wins the game and $0 otherwise. There is no draw outcome in college football because overtime rules produce a winner. The contracts carry a settlement timestamp of 10:00 PM ET on August 27, 2026, so the market settles the same night once the final score is official. If the game is postponed past that window or canceled outright, Kalshi settles the event under its own game-market rules rather than paying either side.
As of August 26, 2026, Kalshi has Davidson at 88c and Concord at 22c on the moneyline. Those legs sum to 110c, so the normalized read is roughly 80% Davidson and 20% Concord. The live board above carries the current prices.
Davidson is the favorite at 88c on Kalshi, which normalizes to about an 80% implied probability. The price reflects Davidson playing FCS football in the Pioneer Football League against a Division II Mountain East opponent, not 2025 form, where Concord went 4-7 and Davidson went 2-10.
Kalshi is the only exchange quoting this game, under event ticker KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG27CUWVDAV. There is no Polymarket contract on it as of August 26, 2026, so this is a single-book board with no cross-platform price to compare.
It resolves to the winner of the game played Thursday, August 27, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET at Richardson Stadium. The Kalshi contracts carry a settlement timestamp of 10:00 PM ET that same night, so the market closes out within hours of the final whistle.
Watch whether the $20 sitting on the Concord contract grows, because the Davidson leg already moved 38c on its first $900 of volume and a thin book reprices fast. Also watch for a Polymarket leg to appear, which would give the 88c Kalshi quote a second price to be checked against.