| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶LAF | — | — | 76% | 76% Kalshi |
▶GTWN | — | — | 25% | 25% Kalshi |
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Lafayette is the 76c favorite on Kalshi at Georgetown in a Patriot League opener that kicks at 7:00 PM ET on August 27, 2026, at Cooper Field. The Leopards went 8-4 and 6-1 in league play in 2025 with a plus-58 point differential; the Hoyas went 6-6 and 3-4 and were outscored 320 to 253. Lafayette won last year's meeting at this venue 42-37. The board is Kalshi-only, with roughly $2.5K in lifetime volume across the two legs, so read the live board above for current prices.
Lafayette opens the 2026 season as a 76c favorite on Kalshi at Georgetown, and the Leopards earned that number with an 8-4 season in 2025 that included a 6-1 Patriot League record and a plus-58 point differential. Georgetown finished 6-6 and 3-4 in league play, scoring 21.1 points per game while allowing 26.7. The two met at Cooper Field on September 13, 2025, and Lafayette won 42-37. Kickoff is 7:00 PM ET Thursday, August 27, 2026, at Cooper Field in Washington, DC, on ESPN+. The board carries roughly $2.5K in lifetime volume across two Kalshi legs, with no Polymarket counterpart listed.
Lafayette scored 403 points across 12 games in 2025, 33.6 per game, and allowed 345, or 28.8 per game. The offense produced the two largest scores in the Patriot League slate, 62 on Bucknell and 59 on Colgate, and the Leopards won at Holy Cross 21-13 and at Richmond 35-28. The four losses tell the other half of the story: 26-7 at Bowling Green in the opener, 38-28 to Princeton, 45-13 at Oregon State, and 42-32 to Lehigh in the November finale. That is a team that beat everyone it was supposed to beat inside the league and lost every game where the opponent could match its scoring pace.
Georgetown's 2025 numbers run the other direction. The Hoyas were outscored 320 to 253 across 12 games and were shut out twice, 46-0 at Brown and 41-0 at Lehigh, then closed the year losing 42-7 to Holy Cross. The season was not uniformly bad. Georgetown won at Bucknell 31-24, beat Colgate 21-17, and shut out Fordham 14-0 at home, and the Hoyas went 4-2 at Cooper Field. The pattern in 2025 was a defense that held up against average offenses and an attack that disappeared entirely against the league's best.
The 76c price also sits slightly below the sportsbook read. DraftKings has Lafayette at -9.5 with a 51.5 total and a -372 moneyline, which implies about 78.8%, while Georgetown's +277 implies roughly 26.5%. Kalshi's 76c is about three points softer on the favorite than that moneyline, and its 25c on Georgetown is close to the sportsbook number. Both head coaches return for 2026, John Troxell at Lafayette and Rob Sgarlata at Georgetown, so there is no staff turnover to discount the 2025 sample with. Neither team has played a 2026 game, so there is no current record or standings position to read here; everything on this board is priced off last season and the offseason.
The board's snapshot series begins August 25, 2026, so the observable window is roughly the last day of trading rather than the full offseason. Inside it, Lafayette opened at 80c and traded down to 76c by midday on August 26. Georgetown moved the other way over the same window, from 21c to 25c. That is a 4c drift toward the home underdog across about 26 captures on the Lafayette leg and 19 on the Georgetown leg.
Treat the size of that move with the size of the book in mind. The Lafayette contract carries about $1.4K in lifetime volume and the Georgetown contract about $1.1K, so individual fills move the quote here in a way they would not on a Power Four board. The two legs sum to 101c, which is the ordinary two-sided spread on a Kalshi game market and not a pricing fault. A thin book is a normal condition for an FCS Week 1 game, and the read to take from it is that the 4c move is worth watching rather than acting on until it holds through Thursday.
Each contract resolves to the team that wins the game at Cooper Field on August 27, 2026. The winning side pays $1 per share and the losing side settles at $0. Kalshi settles off the official final score once the game is complete, which for a 7:00 PM ET kickoff means the board closes the same night. Overtime counts toward the final result. If the game is postponed to a later date, the contracts follow the rescheduled game under Kalshi's game-market rules; if it is canceled outright with no makeup, the market voids rather than paying either side.
Point differential gap: Lafayette was plus-58 in 2025 and Georgetown was minus-67, the widest split in this matchup's inputs.
Last year's result at this venue: Lafayette won 42-37 at Cooper Field on September 13, 2025, a one-score game that argues for a tighter price than 76c.
Georgetown's offensive floor: the Hoyas were shut out twice in 2025 and scored 7 in their finale, which is the tail risk in the 51.5 total.
Single-book pricing: the board is Kalshi-only, so there is no Polymarket quote to cross-check the 76c against.
Thin liquidity: about $2.5K in lifetime volume across both legs means the quote moves on small fills and the 80c to 76c drift is low-confidence.
Week 1 conference stakes: this is a Patriot League game in the season's first week, so the loser starts league play 0-1 with no margin banked.
The rest of the opening FCS slate trades on the same night. Eastern Illinois at Murray State and Gardner-Webb at Austin Peay are the closest comparables in book size, and Chattanooga at West Georgia carries a bigger favorite. For season-long exposure, the college football national champion board holds the bulk of the sport's futures volume, though it prices the FBS title rather than the FCS bracket these two are chasing. Every college football game and futures market we track sits on the college football hub.
Resolves to the team that wins the Lafayette at Georgetown game at Cooper Field in Washington, DC, on August 27, 2026. The winning team's contract pays $1 per share and the losing team's contract settles at $0. Kalshi settles off the official final score once the game is complete, and overtime counts toward that final result. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+, so the board is expected to close the same night. If the game is postponed, the contracts follow the rescheduled date under Kalshi's game-market rules; if it is canceled with no makeup date, the market voids rather than paying either side. There is no Polymarket listing on this game, so Kalshi is the only settlement venue.
As of August 26, 2026, Kalshi has Lafayette at 76c and Georgetown at 25c on the moneyline. Lafayette opened the observable snapshot window at 80c on August 25 and has drifted down 4c since. Check the live board above for the current quote.
Kalshi lists both sides of this game under the KXNCAAFGAME series. There is no Polymarket market on this game, so the board is single-book with about $2.5K in lifetime volume across the two legs.
Lafayette is favored at 76c, an implied 76% win probability. DraftKings has the Leopards at -9.5 with a -372 moneyline, implying about 78.8%, so the Kalshi price is roughly three points softer on the favorite.
It resolves on the final score of the August 27, 2026 game at Cooper Field, which kicks at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. Settlement follows the same night once the game goes final, with overtime included.
Watch whether the 4c drift toward Georgetown holds into Thursday evening, since a book this thin moves on single fills. Georgetown was 4-2 at home in 2025 and lost last year's meeting with Lafayette by 5 points at this same venue.