| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Duquesne | +21.5 — | O 64.5 — | 0% | — |
State | -21.5 — | U 64.5 — | 100% | 100% Polymarket |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Duquesne | +21.5 — | O 64.5 — | 0% | — |
Youngstown State | -21.5 — | U 64.5 — | 100% | 100% Polymarket |
Youngstown State is the clear side on the Duquesne vs Youngstown State board, and the spread rather than the moneyline is where the real market sits. The Penguins are 1-1 after a 43-10 win over Mercyhurst and a 45-13 loss at Kentucky; Duquesne is 0-1 and was shut out 34-0 at Air Force with 107 total yards. Kickoff is 2:00 PM ET on ESPN+ at Stambaugh Stadium, the board carries roughly $2.9K in lifetime volume, and the live board above has the current cross-platform prices.
Duquesne arrives at Stambaugh Stadium on Saturday, September 12, 2026 with a 0-1 record and 107 total yards of offense on its 2026 ledger, which is most of the case for a spread this wide. Youngstown State is 1-1, coming off a 45-13 loss at Kentucky that followed a 43-10 home win over Mercyhurst, and it is the side the Duquesne vs Youngstown State odds have been built around since the board opened. Kickoff is 2:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The board has drawn roughly $2.9K in lifetime volume across the moneyline, spread, and total, which is thin even by FCS nonconference standards.
As of September 11, 2026 the moneyline has Youngstown State near 92% and Duquesne near 8.5%, with the two prices on the Duquesne leg landing at 9% and 8%. This is a lopsided board and the honest read is that it deserves to be. The detail worth flagging is where the money sits: the Duquesne leg has absorbed about $1.2K in lifetime volume against roughly $123 on the Youngstown State side, roughly a ten-to-one split on a leg priced under 10%. That is lottery-ticket buying on a long-shot payout, not informed money, and it should not be read as a signal that the underdog is live.
The spread is the market that actually matters here. Youngstown State at -17.5 prices near 64%, at -21.5 near 54%, at -22.5 near 52%, and at -24.5 near 47%, which puts the coin-flip number right around 23 points. DraftKings has the same game at Youngstown State -22.5 with a total of 53.5, so the prediction-market rungs and the sportsbook number are sitting on top of each other rather than offering a gap. The choice on the spread is between a Penguins team that has scored 56 points in two games and a Duquesne offense that has scored none.
The total is priced tighter. Over 48.5 trades near 66%, Over 52.5 near 50%, and Over 56.5 near 42%, putting the market number in the 52.5 to 53 range. The under case is that Duquesne managed 107 total yards, eight first downs, and 19:10 of possession at Air Force, and an offense that cannot stay on the field also cannot force a favorite to keep its starters in during the fourth quarter. The honest caveat is that Air Force is a triple-option team that rushed for 431 yards on 40:50 of possession, so Duquesne's time-of-possession number is partly a function of the scheme it faced, not purely a verdict on the Dukes.
Beau Brungard is the matchup. Youngstown State's quarterback went 20-of-29 for 232 yards and three touchdowns against Mercyhurst while adding 119 rushing yards and two more scores, then threw for 243 yards at Kentucky in a game where every Penguins runner other than Brungard combined for 30 yards. Lynn Wyche-El caught seven passes for 111 yards and a touchdown in that Kentucky game, which is the closest thing either team has to a proven perimeter weapon. Duquesne's answer at Air Force was Carson Camp at 7-of-18 for 42 yards with two interceptions. One FBS road game is a narrow sample, and the Duquesne result at Air Force is not a clean read on how the Dukes defend an FCS offense. It is still the only 2026 evidence that exists, and the market has priced it accordingly.
Context on the favorite matters for the spread rungs. Youngstown State went 8-5 in 2025 and lost 43-42 to Yale at Stambaugh Stadium in the first round of the FCS Championship, then opened 2026 with the Mercyhurst win before the trip to Kentucky. Missouri Valley Football Conference play starts the following week at South Dakota State, so the Penguins have a real incentive to bank this result and cap Brungard's carries once it is decided. That argues for the under and against the deepest Youngstown State spread rungs at the same time, because garbage time in a controlled blowout tends to be run-heavy and clock-friendly.
One reporting note on movement. The board carries no snapshot history for this game: the intraday coverage block reports zero ticks and the per-line price endpoint returns no series at all. There is no open-to-now move to report on the Duquesne vs Youngstown State odds, and nothing above should be read as a line that has held flat.
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game at Stambaugh Stadium on September 12, 2026, with the winning team's contract paying $1 per share and the losing team's settling at $0. The spread rungs settle against the final margin, so a Youngstown State contract at a given number pays only if the Penguins win by more than that number; a push is not possible on the half-point lines the board carries. The total settles on combined points scored by both teams, including overtime. Settlement happens on the platforms once the game is declared final, typically within a day of the final whistle, and a canceled or postponed game is handled under each platform's own void rules rather than being pushed to a new date automatically.
The rest of the Week 2 FCS card gives this game its context. Air Force, the team that shut Duquesne out, hosts North Dakota State in the NDSU at Air Force market, which is the cleanest available read on how a Missouri Valley program handles that same triple-option offense. South Dakota State, Youngstown State's next opponent, is home for the New Haven at South Dakota State market. Two more Missouri Valley boards worth tracking alongside this one are Drake at Northern Iowa and, on the Northeast Conference side, Robert Morris at Akron, the league rival Duquesne beat 20-17 to close 2025. The full slate of boards is on the NCAA football hub.
Resolves to the team that wins the Duquesne at Youngstown State game played at Stambaugh Stadium in Youngstown, Ohio on September 12, 2026, with a 2:00 PM ET scheduled kickoff. The moneyline contract for the winning team pays $1 per share and the losing team's contract settles at $0. Spread contracts settle against the final margin of victory, and because every spread rung on this board carries a half point, a push is not possible. Total contracts settle on combined points scored by both teams with overtime included. The platforms settle once the game is officially declared final, generally within a day of the final whistle. If the game is canceled, postponed beyond the platform's stated resolution window, or otherwise voided, each platform applies its own void or refund rules rather than automatically rolling the contract to a rescheduled date.
As of September 11, 2026 the board prices Youngstown State near 92% on the moneyline and Duquesne near 8.5%, with the Duquesne leg quoting 9% and 8% across the prices the board carries. The live board above has the current numbers.
Youngstown State, and heavily. The spread rungs put the market's coin-flip margin right around 23 points, and DraftKings has the same game at Youngstown State -22.5 with a total of 53.5.
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET at Stambaugh Stadium in Youngstown, Ohio, with national coverage on ESPN+. It is a nonconference game between Duquesne of the Northeast Conference and Youngstown State of the Missouri Valley Football Conference.
The moneyline resolves to the game winner, spread contracts settle against the final margin with no push possible on the half-point rungs, and the total settles on combined points including overtime. Settlement follows the official final, usually within a day.
Watch whether Youngstown State pulls Beau Brungard early, since he produced five touchdowns against Mercyhurst and his snap count drives both the margin and the total. Also watch whether Duquesne shows anything on offense after being held to 107 yards and shut out 34-0 at Air Force.