| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
GC | — | — | 0% | — |
BUT | — | — | 100% | 100% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
GC | — | — | 0% | — |
BUT | — | — | 100% | 100% Kalshi |
Butler is the 87c favorite over Georgetown College on Kalshi for the 1:00 PM ET Week 1 opener on Saturday, August 29, 2026, at the Bud and Jackie Sellick Bowl in Indianapolis. Georgetown sits at 16c after drifting up from 12c overnight, and the board is one-sided in a way the price is not: $20.1K of its $22.8K lifetime volume is on the underdog leg. Butler went 6-6 in 2025 and 4-4 in the Pioneer Football League; Georgetown is an NAIA Mid-South Conference program with three national titles. Kalshi is the only book listing the game.
Butler opens its 2026 season as the 87c home favorite against Georgetown College, and the Kalshi board has already taken $22.8K in lifetime volume on a Pioneer Football League opener with no national profile. The split is the tell: $20.1K of that volume sits on the Georgetown side at 16c, so roughly 88% of the money on this board has gone to the team that is not favored. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, August 29, 2026, at the Bud and Jackie Sellick Bowl in Indianapolis, streaming on ESPN+, with a forecast of 80F and no precipitation.
Butler finished 2025 at 6-6 overall and 4-4 in the Pioneer Football League, and the shape of that record matters more than the number. The Bulldogs sat 5-3 after beating Dayton 23-17 on October 18, then lost three of their last four, including a 31-30 defeat at Morehead State and a 29-7 loss at San Diego, before closing with a 27-20 win over Valparaiso. Their two scholarship-FCS tests both went badly: 38-14 at Northern Iowa in the 2025 opener and 38-24 at Weber State in late September. Butler is a non-scholarship FCS program that beats its own tier and loses to the tier above it, which is the exact profile a 87c home price is built on.
Georgetown College sits in a different classification. The Tigers play NAIA football in the Mid-South Conference (Bluegrass Division) and own three NAIA national championships, in 1991, 2000 and 2001, which makes them a stronger non-conference opponent than the classification label alone suggests. ESPN carries no 2025 result set for the program in its Division I data, so there is no sourced current-form read to offer on the Tigers, and the board is not pricing one either. What the 87c to 16c line prices is structural: an FCS host against an NAIA visitor in a Week 1 body-of-work game.
The useful comparison is the rest of the Pioneer League's Week 1 slate, because three of its members drew the same kind of opponent on the same day. Valparaiso is 96c against Lawrence Tech on the Lawrence Tech at Valparaiso board, and Dayton is 90c against Fairmont State on the Fairmont State at Dayton board. Butler at 87c is the cheapest favorite of the three, and Georgetown at 16c is the most expensive visiting underdog. That ordering is the market's opinion that Georgetown College is the best of the three non-Division-I teams on the Pioneer League's opening weekend, not a pricing error. The contrast case is Stetson at South Dakota State, where a Pioneer League team on the road against a scholarship FCS power trades at 1c into a 100c favorite on a $755K board.
This is a single-book market. Only Kalshi lists the game, there is no Polymarket leg, and the board reports a platform count of 1, so every price on the page is a Kalshi quote and there is no cross-platform comparison to make.
The snapshot series carries 76 ticks across the two moneyline legs, spanning roughly 8:00 PM ET Friday through 10:55 AM ET Saturday morning. Georgetown opened that window at 12c, spent the overnight session pinned at 15c, and printed 17c on the final capture, with the live quote sitting at 16c. That is a 4c drift toward the underdog inside 15 hours, on a leg that already holds the large majority of the board's volume. Butler held 87c across the entire series apart from two 88c prints just after 10:00 AM ET, so the favorite side has not moved at all. Anyone reading the two legs together should note they sum to 103c, meaning the board carries 3c of two-sided vig; normalized, Butler is an 84% favorite and Georgetown a 16% underdog rather than the 87 and 16 the raw quotes show.
The series only reaches back to Friday evening, so the honest statement is that the line has been stable since the board started capturing, not that it has been stable since it opened. There is no earlier history on this market to read.
The market resolves on the final score of the Georgetown College at Butler game on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Kalshi lists one contract per team; the winning team's contract settles at $1 per share and the losing team's contract settles at $0. Butler is the home team at the Bud and Jackie Sellick Bowl and the game is scheduled for a 1:00 PM ET kickoff, so under normal conditions settlement lands the same afternoon once the result is final. Only a moneyline market is listed on this board. There is no spread and no total, so there is no alternate line to trade around the winner question.
Two of Butler's Pioneer League rivals drew comparable Week 1 opponents, and both boards are live: Lawrence Tech at Valparaiso and Fairmont State at Dayton. For the other end of the Pioneer League's Week 1 range, Stetson at South Dakota State shows what the board does when the classification gap runs the other way. The season-long market is the College Football Playoff National Championship, and every live college board on the slate is indexed on the NCAA football hub.
The market resolves on the outcome of the Georgetown College at Butler football game played Saturday, August 29, 2026, at the Bud and Jackie Sellick Bowl in Indianapolis with a scheduled 1:00 PM ET kickoff. Kalshi lists one contract per team: the contract for the team that wins the game settles at $1 per share and the other settles at $0. There is no spread or total listed on this board, so the winner question is the only market. If the game is canceled, postponed beyond the scheduled resolution window, or abandoned before it becomes official, Kalshi settles under its published rules for that series, which void or roll the market rather than paying either side on an incomplete result.
As of the morning of August 29, 2026, Butler is 87c and Georgetown College is 16c on Kalshi. The two legs sum to 103c, so after removing the 3c of two-sided vig Butler is an 84% implied favorite.
Kalshi only. The board reports a platform count of 1 and there is no Polymarket contract on this game, so all $22.8K of lifetime volume is Kalshi volume.
Butler is favored at 87c, an implied 84% win probability once the 103c two-sided book is normalized. Butler is the home team and finished 2025 at 6-6 overall and 4-4 in the Pioneer Football League.
On the final score of the game, which kicks off at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, August 29, 2026 at the Bud and Jackie Sellick Bowl in Indianapolis. Settlement normally follows the same afternoon.
Georgetown moved from 12c to 16c across the 76 snapshots captured between Friday evening and Saturday morning, while Butler held 87c apart from two 88c prints just after 10:00 AM ET. The board carries no snapshot history before Friday evening, so nothing can be said about where the line opened.