| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
State | +4.5 — | O 32.5 — | — | — |
Illinois | -4.5 — | U 32.5 — | 100% | 100% Polymarket |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Southeast Missouri State | +4.5 — | O 32.5 — | — | — |
Southern Illinois | -4.5 — | U 32.5 — | 100% | 100% Polymarket |
Southern Illinois opens its home schedule against Southeast Missouri State at Saluki Stadium on September 12, 2026, kickoff 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+, with both teams 1-1 and both having played their first two games on the road. The board has the Salukis at 75% as of September 11 against a posted sportsbook line of -7.5 and a total of 53.5. The whole game carries about $334 in lifetime volume, so the live board above is quoting marked prices rather than a traded consensus.
Southern Illinois hosts Southeast Missouri State at Saluki Stadium in Carbondale on Saturday, September 12, 2026, with kickoff at 7:00 PM ET and the stream on ESPN+. Both teams show up 1-1 and both have played every snap of the season away from home, so this is the first home date of the year for the Salukis. The board has Southern Illinois at 75% and Southeast Missouri State at 26% as of September 11, and the entire game carries about $334 in lifetime volume. That number matters more than the price itself: at that size these are marked quotes, not the product of real two-way trading, so treat them as a starting reference rather than a market read.
Southern Illinois opened the season with a 34-31 loss at West Florida on August 27, then went to Samford on September 3 and won 22-18. Two road games, a three-point loss and a four-point win, and a team that has yet to play in front of its own crowd. Southeast Missouri State followed the same pattern in reverse order of result: a 23-21 win at Indiana State on August 29, then a 38-10 loss at Iowa State on September 5 in a clear step up in class. Neither 1-1 record carries much signal on its own. Three of the four games these two have played in 2026 were one-score results, and the fourth was the Iowa State trip, which is the one outcome on either resume that should be discounted heavily.
The board's spread ladder is the most useful part of the page. Southern Illinois at -5.5 and at -6.5 both price at 57%, and Southern Illinois at -8.5 drops to 49%. That puts the board's coin flip right around eight points, and it lines up closely with the sportsbook number ESPN carries: DraftKings lists Southern Illinois -7.5 with a total of 53.5 as of September 11. The moneyline agrees too. DraftKings at -355 on the home side implies roughly 78%, and the board sits at 75%. Two thin price sources landing within three points of each other is confirmation that the number is in the right neighborhood, not evidence of an edge on either side.
The total is the cleanest read on the board. Over 52.5 prices at 51% and over 54.5 at 48%, which brackets a market total of about 53.5, the exact number the sportsbook posts. Pair that with a 7.5-point spread and the implied scoreline is roughly 30 to 23. That is a normal Missouri Valley and Ohio Valley non-conference score, and it is not a game the market expects to be decided by a single possession or blown open.
Line movement on our own board is a blank. The board reports zero total ticks across every line, and the dedicated price-history endpoint returns nothing for this game, so there is no snapshot series to read and no flat line to report. The movement that does exist is on the sportsbook side, where DraftKings opened Southern Illinois -7 and has since gone to -7.5, with the moneyline moving from -236 at open to -355. That is a drift of about eight points of implied probability toward the home team since the line went up, and it is the only directional information available on this matchup right now.
The quarterback contrast is the reason to watch. Braylen Ragland has been the more accurate passer by a wide margin for Southeast Missouri State, completing 43 of 58 for 416 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception, a 74.1% completion rate over two games. Jake Curry has thrown for 306 yards for Southern Illinois on 26 of 58, a 44.8% rate, with 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Curry is the more volatile arm and the bigger scoring threat, and the Salukis have leaned on the ground instead: Chandler Chapman has 34 carries for 207 yards, 6.1 per attempt, against Khyair Spain's 33 carries for 138 yards and a touchdown for the Redhawks. If Southern Illinois covers a number near a touchdown, Chapman's yards per carry is the most likely reason. If Southeast Missouri State keeps this inside the number, it will be because Ragland's completion rate travels and John Anthony Jr., who has 7 catches for 128 yards and a score, wins the matchup that Kyle Thomas (5 catches, 67 yards, 2 touchdowns) has been winning for the Salukis.
One piece of forward context sits on the schedule. Southern Illinois visits Illinois on September 19, one week after this game, which makes the Carbondale opener the last home rep before a long trip north. That does not change the number, but it is the kind of scheduling detail that shows up in how a staff manages a second half if the game is already decided.
The market resolves on the final score of the September 12, 2026 game at Saluki Stadium. The moneyline pays the winner of the game outright, the spread legs settle against the final margin (Southern Illinois -7.5 needs an eight-point win or better), and the total legs settle on combined points including overtime. Resolution follows the official final from the game, and the platforms carrying the contracts settle after that final is posted, typically within hours of the game ending on the scheduled date. A postponement moves settlement to the rescheduled date rather than voiding the contracts, and a cancellation voids per each platform's published rules.
Southeast Missouri State's only win came at Indiana State, and the Sycamores are back on the board this week in Indiana State vs Eastern Illinois, which is the most direct common-opponent reference point on the slate. Southern Illinois hosts Youngstown State on October 3, and the Penguins play Duquesne vs Youngstown State the same night. For the rest of the conference picture, Drake vs Northern Iowa carries a Missouri Valley home opener and Morehead State vs Austin Peay is the deepest Ohio Valley board on the date by volume. Every NCAA football game trading on the site is listed on the NCAA football hub.
Resolves on the final score of the Southeast Missouri State at Southern Illinois game played September 12, 2026 at Saluki Stadium in Carbondale, Illinois, with a scheduled 7:00 PM ET kickoff. The moneyline legs pay the outright winner of the game. The spread legs settle against the final margin, so Southern Illinois -7.5 requires an eight-point win or better. The total legs settle on combined points scored by both teams including overtime. Settlement follows the official final score and the platforms carrying the contracts settle after that final is posted, generally within hours of the game ending. If the game is postponed, settlement moves to the rescheduled date rather than voiding; if it is canceled outright, contracts void according to each platform's published rules.
As of September 11, 2026 the board prices Southern Illinois at 75% and Southeast Missouri State at 26% on the moneyline, with Southern Illinois -5.5 and -6.5 both at 57% and the over 52.5 at 51%. Lifetime volume on the whole board is about $334, so these are marked quotes rather than heavily traded prices. The live board above carries the current numbers.
It resolves on the final score of the September 12, 2026 game at Saluki Stadium, which kicks off at 7:00 PM ET. Settlement follows the official final and generally lands within hours of the game ending.
Prediction Genius aggregates prediction market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket into one board, and the live board above shows the venue price behind each moneyline, spread and total leg for this game.
Southern Illinois is the home favorite at 75% on the board as of September 11, and DraftKings lists the Salukis at -7.5 with a moneyline of -355, which implies roughly 78%. The two sources agree within about three points of implied probability.
DraftKings posts Southern Illinois -7.5 with a total of 53.5 as of September 11, having opened at -7. The board's own ladder brackets the same range, with -8.5 pricing at 49% and the over 52.5 at 51%, which implies a scoreline near 30 to 23.
Watch whether Braylen Ragland's 74.1% completion rate holds on the road after a 38-10 loss at Iowa State, and whether Chandler Chapman keeps averaging 6.1 yards per carry for Southern Illinois. Those two lines decide whether a touchdown-sized number is the right one.