| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SHU | — | — | 0% | — |
MONM | — | — | 100% | 100% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SHU | — | — | 0% | — |
MONM | — | — | 100% | 100% Kalshi |
Sacred Heart vs Monmouth opens CAA Football play for both programs at Kessler Stadium in West Long Branch, New Jersey, with a 2:00 PM ET kickoff on September 5, 2026 streaming on FloSports. Monmouth went 9-3 in 2025 and averaged 40.0 points per game, but the Hawks opened 2026 with a 38-14 loss at Tennessee Tech and are priced accordingly: as of September 2, 2026 the Kalshi board has Monmouth at 85c and Sacred Heart, 8-4 a year ago, at 17c. The board is Kalshi-only, carries roughly $1.7K in lifetime volume, and has not moved outside a 3c band since our captures began.
Monmouth is the home favorite in a CAA opener that is closer on the field than the moneyline suggests. The Hawks went 9-3 in 2025 and scored 40.0 points per game, the best mark of any team on this board, but they were beaten 38-14 at Tennessee Tech on August 29 in their 2026 opener and lost the possession battle 37:55 to 22:05. Sacred Heart went 8-4 in 2025 and has not played yet in 2026, so the market is pricing a 9-3 team off one bad Saturday against an 8-4 team with no 2026 data at all. As of September 2, 2026, Monmouth trades at 85c and Sacred Heart at 17c on Kalshi, the only platform carrying this game.
The moneyline is the whole board. There is no spread market and no total on Sacred Heart vs Monmouth, just two Kalshi legs that sum to 102c, which is a normal two-sided book with vig. Normalized, that is about 83% Monmouth and 17% Sacred Heart. Polymarket has not listed the game, so every price on this page is a single-venue quote rather than a cross-platform consensus, and there is no second book to check it against.
Volume is the more interesting number. The board holds roughly $1.7K in lifetime volume, and about $1.6K of that sits on the Sacred Heart leg against about $145 on Monmouth. On a board this thin that split is not a signal of sharp underdog money so much as evidence that the only real trading interest has been on the cheap side, where a small stake buys a large notional payout. Treat the 85c as a thin quote on a low-liquidity market, not as a heavily traded consensus.
Price history backs that up. Across the captures we hold, running from the early hours of September 2, 2026 through late that evening, Monmouth opened the window at 84c, drifted to 82c through the afternoon, and finished at 85c. Sacred Heart mirrored it, opening at 17c, touching 20c in the afternoon, and settling back to 17c. That is a 3c band over roughly 17 hours of observations. This board carries no snapshot history before September 2, so there is no open-to-now story to tell, only a line that has held.
On the field, the case for Monmouth is the 2025 body of work: 9-3 with 480 points scored and 333 allowed across 12 games, including wins over Villanova, Towson, Stony Brook, and North Carolina A&T. The case against is the tape from August 29. Monmouth managed 304 total yards to Tennessee Tech's 395, turned it over twice, took nine penalties for 75 yards, and quarterback Frankie Weaver went 20 of 41 for 179 yards with an interception. Running back Elijah Jennings was the one bright spot with 12 carries for 78 yards and a touchdown. Our board for that game, the Monmouth vs Tennessee Tech market, settled Tennessee Tech at 100c on about $88.0K in volume, so the market did not mistake that result for a fluke.
Sacred Heart is the harder team to price because nobody has 2026 data on them. The Pioneers went 8-4 in 2025 with a much flatter profile than Monmouth's: 28.6 points per game scored, 26.3 allowed, and a schedule of Northeast Conference opposition that included wins over Delaware State, Howard, New Hampshire, and Merrimack alongside losses to Lehigh, Central Connecticut in overtime, Montana, and Villanova. The two blowout losses in that set, 43-21 at Montana and 34-10 at Villanova, came against the best teams they faced. Monmouth at full strength belongs in that tier. Monmouth after the Tennessee Tech performance is a question the market has answered at 85c without a second data point.
The structural note worth carrying into the fall: both schools are CAA Football members for 2026 and both entered September 5 at 0-0 in conference play, so this is a league game with standings weight, not a September buy game. Sacred Heart's 2026 slate carries no Northeast Conference opponents at all, and the Pioneers follow this with trips to UMass on September 12 and Elon on September 19. Monmouth's next three are all on the road: Western Michigan, UAlbany, and Dartmouth.
The market resolves to the team that wins the game at Kessler Stadium on September 5, 2026, scheduled for 2:00 PM ET. Each team contract pays $1 per share if that team wins and $0 if it loses, and Kalshi settles on the official final score once the game goes final. There is no draw outcome in college football, so overtime decides any tie and the winner of the overtime period settles the market. If the game is canceled, postponed beyond the platform's settlement window, or abandoned before it is official, Kalshi voids and refunds under its published rules rather than settling on a partial score.
The rest of the CAA is on the same September 5 slate and prices out very differently against FBS opposition. Towson at Navy and New Hampshire at Syracuse are the two big money-game boards, Bryant at Army is a third, and Elon at Davidson is the other in-league team playing an FCS opponent that day. Monmouth's settled opener at Tennessee Tech is the single most useful comparison for anyone pricing this game. The full board of college games is at NCAA Football prediction markets.
Resolves to the team that wins the Sacred Heart at Monmouth game at Kessler Stadium in West Long Branch, New Jersey on September 5, 2026, scheduled for a 2:00 PM ET kickoff. Each team contract pays $1 per share if that team wins the game and $0 if it does not, settled by Kalshi on the official final score once the game is final. College football has no draw, so overtime decides any tie and the winner after overtime settles the market. If the game is canceled, postponed beyond the platform's settlement window, or ended before it becomes an official game, Kalshi voids and refunds the contracts under its published rules rather than settling on a partial score. Polymarket has not listed this game, so Kalshi is the only settlement venue.
As of September 2, 2026, Kalshi has Monmouth at 85c and Sacred Heart at 17c on the moneyline. The two legs sum to 102c, which normalizes to about 83% Monmouth and 17% Sacred Heart.
Kalshi only. Polymarket has not listed this game, so the board carries a single venue and roughly $1.7K in lifetime volume, with about $1.6K of that on the Sacred Heart leg.
Monmouth, at an implied probability near 83% after normalizing the Kalshi book. The Hawks went 9-3 in 2025 and averaged 40.0 points per game, but they opened 2026 with a 38-14 loss at Tennessee Tech.
It resolves on the final score of the September 5, 2026 game at Kessler Stadium, kickoff 2:00 PM ET on FloSports. Kalshi settles the winning team's contract at $1 per share once the game goes final.
Not meaningfully. Across the captures held from September 2, 2026, Monmouth traded in an 82c to 85c band and Sacred Heart in a 16c to 20c band, closing the window where it started. Watch whether Monmouth's price holds after the Tennessee Tech film gets priced in.
Monmouth's quarterback situation after Frankie Weaver's 20 of 41, 179-yard opener, and any late move on a board where roughly $1.7K in lifetime volume means small orders shift the 85c quote.