| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
STNH | — | — | 100% | 100% Kalshi |
NHC | — | — | 0% | — |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
STNH | — | — | 100% | 100% Kalshi |
NHC | — | — | 0% | — |
New Haven is the home favorite in this Northeast Conference opener, priced at 73c on Kalshi as of September 2, 2026, with Stonehill at 28c. The Chargers are 1-0 after a 22-21 home win over Marist on August 28, and Stonehill is 0-1 after losing 24-6 at home to Bryant on August 29. Kickoff is 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, September 5, 2026 at Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium in West Haven, Connecticut, and the board is Kalshi-only, carrying roughly $1.6K of lifetime volume across two moneyline legs.
New Haven hosts Stonehill at noon Eastern on Saturday, September 5, 2026, and the market reads it as a clear home favorite rather than a formality. The Chargers are 1-0 after beating Marist 22-21 on August 28. Stonehill is 0-1 after a 24-6 home loss to Bryant on August 29. Both teams sit at 0-0 in league play, so this is the Northeast Conference opener for each of them. The board is Kalshi-only, carries roughly $1.6K of lifetime volume, and prices moneyline contracts on the two teams with no spread and no total posted.
As of September 2, 2026 the two moneyline legs price New Haven at 73c and Stonehill at 28c. Those sum to 101c, so the book carries one cent of overround and the normalized read on New Haven is about 72%. This is a single-venue price: Polymarket lists no market on this game, so there is no cross-platform comparison to make and no second book to check the number against. Treat 73c as one exchange's opinion, not a consensus.
The snapshot history on this board runs about 24 hours, with the first captures landing late on September 1. Over that window New Haven moved from 69c to 73c, trading in a 68c to 73c band and finishing at the top of it. Stonehill's 34 captures ran from 35c down to 27c and settled at 28c. The direction is small but consistent, and it is favorite money: of the roughly $1.6K in lifetime volume, about $1.5K sits on the New Haven leg and only about $120 on Stonehill. On a book this thin a single order moves the quote several cents, so read the drift as a trend rather than a signal from sharp size.
The 2025 records are where the price gets interesting. New Haven finished 5-5 and Stonehill finished 4-8, which flatters the home team on the surface. Split those records by opponent level and the gap narrows. Three of New Haven's five 2025 wins came against non-Division I opponents (Saginaw Valley State 35-28, Pace 28-14, Western Connecticut State 69-0), leaving the Chargers 2-5 against Division I opposition in their first season at the level. Stonehill played a full Division I schedule for its 4-8, including road wins at Maine 13-10 and at Mercyhurst 22-15, plus a 10-3 home win over Long Island. Stonehill's four wins against Division I teams are twice New Haven's two.
Week one gave both offenses a clear identity. New Haven quarterback AJ Duffy went 22 of 37 for 311 yards with 2 touchdowns and an interception against Marist, and Issac Glaudin caught 7 passes for 99 yards and a score. The run game did nothing: Zaon Laney carried 17 times for 45 yards, 2.6 per attempt. Stonehill quarterback Jack O'Connell was efficient in volume but scoreless, 19 of 30 for 202 yards with no touchdowns in the loss to Bryant, and Shane Eason led the ground game with 9 carries for 50 yards. Both offenses are pass-first by necessity, and neither has shown it can close a drive on the ground.
The case for 73c is home field, the 1-0 start, and a passing attack that produced 311 yards in the opener. The case against it is that New Haven beat Marist by one point and needed all of that yardage to do it, and that Stonehill has more Division I wins on its résumé than the team it is laying almost three-to-one against. New Haven is in its second Division I season after playing a Northeast-10 Division II schedule in 2024, and Stonehill has been at the level since 2022. That experience gap is the reason a 28c underdog on a two-team board is worth a look, and it is also why the number sits at 73c rather than 85c. Stonehill's 2025 season included a 42-26 loss to Lafayette, who is on the same September 5 slate in the Lafayette vs UConn market.
Each moneyline contract resolves to the winner of the game at Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium on Saturday, September 5, 2026, scheduled for 12:00 PM ET and streamed on NEC Front Row. The winning team's contract pays $1 per share and the losing team's settles at $0. Kalshi settles once the game is final and the result is official, normally within hours of the last whistle. College football has no ties, so overtime decides the market rather than voiding it. A cancellation or a postponement past the platform's stated window is handled under Kalshi's own rules for the series rather than by the scheduled date alone.
Opponent-adjusted 2025 records: New Haven was 2-5 against Division I teams last season while Stonehill went 4-8 against an all-Division I schedule.
One-book pricing: the board trades on Kalshi only, so the 73c favorite price has no second venue to check it against and no cross-platform spread to read.
Thin liquidity: about $1.5K of the $1.6K lifetime volume sits on the New Haven leg, so a single order can move the quote several cents.
Passing volume versus finishing: AJ Duffy threw for 311 yards and 2 scores in week one while Jack O'Connell threw for 202 yards and none, and neither team ran the ball effectively.
Program stage: New Haven is in year two of its Division I transition after a Northeast-10 Division II schedule in 2024, while Stonehill has played at the level since 2022.
Both teams face the rest of the Northeast Conference over the next two months, and several of those opponents are on the same September 5 board. Duquesne, which beat New Haven 44-18 and Stonehill 34-14 in 2025, travels to a service academy in the Duquesne vs Air Force market, and Mercyhurst, which Stonehill beat 22-15 on the road last season, plays in the Mercyhurst vs New Mexico State market. Sacred Heart, a 35-20 winner over New Haven in 2025 and a Stonehill opponent again on October 10, appears in the Sacred Heart vs Monmouth market. The rest of the September 5 college board sits on the NCAA football hub.
Resolves to the team that wins the game at Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium in West Haven, Connecticut on Saturday, September 5, 2026, scheduled for 12:00 PM ET. The winning team's moneyline contract pays $1 per share and the losing team's contract settles at $0. Settlement follows the official final score as posted by the conference and the NCAA, and Kalshi normally settles within hours of the game going final. College football games cannot end in a tie, so overtime produces a winner and the market resolves normally. If the game is canceled, abandoned before it becomes official, or postponed beyond the platform's stated window, Kalshi applies its own series rules for the KXNCAAFGAME market rather than settling on the scheduled date.
As of September 2, 2026 Kalshi prices New Haven at 73c and Stonehill at 28c on the moneyline. The two legs sum to 101c, so the normalized read on New Haven is about 72%. The live board above carries the current prices.
It resolves on the result of the game on Saturday, September 5, 2026, scheduled for 12:00 PM ET at Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium in West Haven, Connecticut. Kalshi normally settles within hours of the final whistle.
Kalshi only. This game trades under the KXNCAAFGAME series with one contract per team, and Polymarket has no market on it, so there is no cross-platform price to compare.
New Haven, at an implied probability of about 72% after removing the one cent of overround on the two-sided book. The Chargers are 1-0 after a 22-21 win over Marist, and Stonehill is 0-1 after a 24-6 loss to Bryant.
No. The board carries only the two moneyline contracts, with no spread and no total posted, and about $1.6K of lifetime volume in total.
Whether either team can run the ball, since New Haven averaged 2.6 yards per carry against Marist and Stonehill's lead back gained 50 yards against Bryant. Also watch the New Haven leg for late movement, because roughly $1.5K of the board's volume sits there and small orders shift the quote.