| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stonehill | +0.5 — | O 48.5 — | — | — |
Hampshire | -0.5 — | U 48.5 — | 100% | 100% Polymarket |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stonehill | +0.5 — | O 48.5 — | — | — |
New Hampshire | -0.5 — | U 48.5 — | 100% | 100% Polymarket |
New Hampshire hosts Stonehill at 6:00 PM ET on Friday, September 12, 2026 at Wildcat Stadium in Durham, and the board makes the 0-2 Wildcats a heavy favorite over the 1-1 Skyhawks. The support for that is history rather than money: New Hampshire won the two prior meetings 51-17 in 2023 and 45-6 in 2024, while this board carries roughly $908 in lifetime volume and no recorded volume on either moneyline leg. The live board above has the current prices on every rung.
New Hampshire hosts Stonehill at 6:00 PM ET on Friday, September 12, 2026 at Wildcat Stadium in Durham, and the board prices the Wildcats at 82% to win outright against 18% for the Skyhawks. That number rests on very little: lifetime volume across every rung of this board is about $908, and the two moneyline legs carry no recorded volume of their own. Treat the 82% as a marked quote rather than a verdict from traders. The durable support for it is history and scoreboard, not flow. New Hampshire has played Stonehill twice since the Skyhawks joined Division I, winning 51-17 on September 2, 2023 and 45-6 on September 14, 2024.
The favorite is 0-2. New Hampshire opened the season with a 28-14 loss at UAlbany on August 28 and then took a 66-3 loss at Syracuse on September 5, a paid trip to an ACC stadium that is worth discounting in any power rating. Strip that game out and the Wildcats still have one result to defend, and it was a two-touchdown conference loss. ESPN lists them 11th in the CAA. This is their home opener, and their 2025 season is the reason the market still respects them: 8-5 and an FCS Championship first-round berth, which ended 41-3 at South Dakota State on November 29.
The offense has been the problem. New Hampshire has scored 17 points in two games. Through those two games ESPN lists Brooks Bentley as the passing leader at 30 of 45 for 305 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, Joquez Smith as the rushing leader with 13 carries for 86 yards, and Ja'Carree Kelly as the receiving leader with 9 catches for 149 yards and a touchdown. That is a team leaning on a handful of throws to one target, with no back carrying a workload yet.
Stonehill is 1-1 and arrives with the better recent film. The Skyhawks lost 24-6 at home to Bryant on August 29, then won 21-3 at New Haven on September 5 to open Northeast Conference play at 1-0. Their defense has allowed 27 points in two games, 3 of them last week. The offense has scored 27 points across the same span, so the profile is a low-event team that keeps games in the 20s and rarely wins a shootout. Stonehill went 4-8 in 2025. Neither of these teams has shown a scoring offense, and that is the single most useful fact on the page for anyone reading the total.
The moneyline is the only leg here that reads as a real opinion. Across the roughly 20 hours of snapshots the board has captured, from 5:23 PM ET on September 10 to 1:01 PM ET on September 11, New Hampshire has traded in an 81% to 83% band and sits at 82%. Stonehill has held between 17% and 19%. That is a line that has not moved, on a board that has not traded.
The spread and total rungs are a different story and should not be read as prices at all. The ladder does not sort: New Hampshire at minus 8.5 is quoted below New Hampshire at minus 12.5, and on the totals side the over at 30.5 is quoted above the over at 34.5 while the over at 46.5 is quoted above the over at 44.5. A coherent book cannot do that. Those are marks sitting at or near a midpoint with nothing behind them, and several rungs that did move overnight moved toward 50% rather than away from it, which is decay, not discovery.
For game shape, the sportsbook consensus published in ESPN's odds feed is the better anchor: New Hampshire minus 13.5 with a total of 43.5. That is consistent with an 82% moneyline and with two prior meetings decided by 34 and 39 points. It is not consistent with the alternate rungs on this board, so do not build a position off one of them.
The honest read: New Hampshire is the right side of this game and the market has that right, but a two-touchdown number is a real ask for an offense averaging 8.5 points per game against a defense that just held an opponent to 3. The result the numbers point to is a Wildcats win that lands closer to the number than the 2023 and 2024 blowouts did.
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game at Wildcat Stadium on Friday, September 12, 2026, with a scheduled 6:00 PM ET kickoff and a FloSports stream listed as the home broadcast. Spread rungs settle against the final margin and total rungs against combined final points, including overtime, once the game is official. Contracts on the winning side pay out in full and every other contract on that leg settles at zero. A postponement moves settlement to the rescheduled completion; a cancellation voids per each platform's published rules. Expect resolution the same night the game goes final, with the board carrying live prices on the NCAA football hub until then.
New Hampshire's season sits inside the CAA, so the neighboring boards matter: Elon vs Rhode Island features two teams the Wildcats host later this fall, Elon on October 3 and Rhode Island on November 7. UAlbany vs Long Island pairs the team that beat New Hampshire 28-14 in the opener with a Northeast Conference opponent Stonehill visits on October 24. New Haven vs South Dakota State connects both threads, matching the team Stonehill beat 21-3 last week against the team that ended New Hampshire's 2025 season 41-3 in the FCS playoffs. Every FCS and FBS board for the date is on the NCAA football markets hub.
Resolves to the team that wins the game at Wildcat Stadium in Durham, New Hampshire on Friday, September 12, 2026, scheduled for a 6:00 PM ET kickoff. Spread contracts settle against the final margin and total contracts against combined final points, including any overtime, once the game is official. Winning contracts pay in full and all other contracts on the same leg settle at zero. If the game is postponed, settlement follows the rescheduled completion; if it is canceled outright, contracts void under each platform's published rules. Settlement normally posts the same night the final score is confirmed.
As of September 11, 2026, the board prices New Hampshire at 82% to win outright and Stonehill at 18%. Those legs have no recorded volume behind them, so read them as marked quotes and check the live board above for the current numbers.
Kickoff is 6:00 PM ET on Friday, September 12, 2026 at Wildcat Stadium in Durham, New Hampshire. ESPN lists a FloSports stream as the home broadcast.
Prediction Genius aggregates Kalshi and Polymarket pricing, and the live board above shows every rung currently quoted on this game, including the moneyline, the spread ladder and the full-game total.
New Hampshire, at 82% implied on the board as of September 11, 2026. The sportsbook consensus in ESPN's odds feed has the Wildcats at minus 13.5 with a total of 43.5, which lines up with an 82% moneyline.
New Hampshire's scoring. The Wildcats have 17 points in two games and Stonehill held New Haven to 3 in a 21-3 win on September 5, so the 13.5-point number is the live question even though the winner is not. Watch for any move off 82% as kickoff approaches.