Jaguars vs Broncos Prediction Market Odds, September 20, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Jaguars | +2.5 46%46% | O 44.5 51%53% | 42%42% | 42% Kalshi |
â–¶Broncos | -2.5 54%54% | U 44.5 49%47% | 59%59% | 59% Kalshi |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Jacksonville Jaguars | +2.5 | O 44.5 | 42% Kalshi | |
â–¶Denver Broncos | -2.5 | U 44.5 | 59% Kalshi |
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Jaguars vs Broncos prediction market odds for NFL Week 2, kickoff 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, September 20, 2026 at Empower Field at Mile High on CBS. The Denver Broncos (0-1) are a modest home favorite at 59% on both Kalshi and Polymarket against the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0), the spread ladders center near Broncos by 3, and the game total sits around 45 points. The board carries roughly $382K in lifetime volume.
The market is backing the home team despite the two openers pointing the other way. The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Cleveland Browns 34-10 at EverBank Stadium on September 13, while the Denver Broncos lost 31-10 to the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on September 14. Denver is still priced as the favorite, which tells you the books are weighting home field and preseason expectations more heavily than one week of results.
Jaguars vs Broncos Moneyline
As of September 16, Kalshi and Polymarket both priced the Denver Broncos at 59% and the Jacksonville Jaguars at 42%. The two books match to the point on both sides, so there is no cross-platform price edge on the moneyline right now. A 59% favorite is roughly a field goal favorite in NFL terms, which is exactly what the spread ladder shows.
The board carries no snapshot history for this game yet (the price series reports zero captured ticks), so this page makes no claim about how the line has moved since it opened.
What the Spread and Total Imply
The spread ladder puts the fair number near Broncos by 3. Broncos -2.5 trades at 54% on both books, and Broncos -3.5 drops to 44% on both, so the key number of 3 sits right between them. Broncos -1.5 is 56%, close to the 59% moneyline. On the Jacksonville side, Jaguars -1.5 (a Jacksonville win by 2 or more) is 40% on Kalshi and 39% on Polymarket, and Jaguars -3.5 is 30% on both.
The game total centers around 45 points. Over 44.5 trades at 51% on Kalshi and 53% on Polymarket, Kalshi prices over 45.5 at 49%, and over 46.5 is 47% on Kalshi and 46% on Polymarket. Further out, over 40.5 is 64% on both books and over 49.5 is 38% on both. Read together, the spread and total describe a game in the neighborhood of Broncos 24, Jaguars 21.
Kalshi also lists team totals. It prices Denver over 17.5 points at 78% and Jacksonville over 17.5 at 68%, with Jacksonville over 14.5 at 81%. Those rungs are Kalshi-only on this board, so they are a single-book read.
Jaguars vs Broncos Matchup Factors
The Week 1 margins are the tension in this price. Jacksonville won by 24 and allowed 10 points, and Denver lost by 21 and scored 10. Denver also played the Monday night game on September 14, so it turns around in six days for a Sunday home game, while Jacksonville had its opener on Sunday, September 13. The market is still paying 59% for Denver at Empower Field at Mile High, so a bettor who trusts the openers is getting the Jaguars at 42%, and a bettor who trusts the preseason view is paying a premium for the Broncos at home.
For longer-horizon context, see the Jaguars win total analysis and the Broncos win total analysis, plus Denver's Week 1 board at Broncos vs Chiefs.
When the Jaguars vs Broncos Market Resolves
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game played on Sunday, September 20, 2026 at Empower Field at Mile High, including overtime. Spread and total markets settle on the official final score, and team totals settle on each club's final point count. Kalshi and Polymarket settle each contract once the game is official, under each platform's own rules for postponements and cancellations.
Related Jaguars vs Broncos Markets
Follow both clubs on the Jacksonville Jaguars hub and the Denver Broncos hub. The full Week 2 slate is on today's NFL games, including the Thursday opener at Lions vs Bills, and every league board is under NFL markets.
Resolution Criteria
The Jaguars vs Broncos moneyline resolves Yes for the team that wins the NFL Week 2 game scheduled for 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, September 20, 2026 at Empower Field at Mile High, with overtime counting toward the result. Spread contracts settle on the final margin (for example, Broncos -2.5 requires Denver to win by 3 or more), total contracts settle on combined final points, and team total contracts settle on each team's final score. Each platform settles after the game is official and applies its own rules if the game is postponed, suspended, or canceled.
Key Factors
- Moneyline as of September 16: Broncos 59%, Jaguars 42%, identical on Kalshi and Polymarket
- Spread ladder centers near Broncos by 3: -2.5 at 54% and -3.5 at 44% on both books
- Game total near 45: over 44.5 at 51% Kalshi and 53% Polymarket, over 46.5 at 47% and 46%
- Week 1 split: Jaguars beat the Browns 34-10, Broncos lost 31-10 at Kansas City
- Denver turns around six days after its September 14 Monday night game for a home kickoff
- Kalshi-only team totals: Denver over 17.5 at 78%, Jacksonville over 17.5 at 68%
What are the Jaguars vs Broncos odds for September 20, 2026?
As of September 16, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket both priced the Denver Broncos at 59% and the Jacksonville Jaguars at 42% to win. The live board on this page shows the current price.
Who is favored in Jaguars vs Broncos?
Denver is the favorite at home. The 59% price implies close to a three-in-five chance of a Broncos win, and the spread ladder centers near Broncos by 3 points.
What time does Jaguars vs Broncos start and where can I watch it?
Kickoff is 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, September 20, 2026 at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. The game airs on CBS.
What is the total for Jaguars vs Broncos?
The total centers around 45 points. As of September 16, over 44.5 was 51% on Kalshi and 53% on Polymarket, and over 46.5 was 47% on Kalshi and 46% on Polymarket.
How did the Jaguars and Broncos do in Week 1?
The Jaguars beat the Cleveland Browns 34-10 at EverBank Stadium to start 1-0. The Broncos lost 31-10 to the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium to start 0-1.
Where can I trade Jaguars vs Broncos?
The game trades on Kalshi and Polymarket, which both list the moneyline, spread, and total. Contracts settle once the game is official.