Patriots vs Seahawks Odds: Super Bowl LX Rematch
| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
▶Patriots | — | — | 35% | 35% Kalshi |
▶Seahawks | — | — | 68% | 68% Kalshi |
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Seattle is the moneyline favorite in the Week 1 rematch of Super Bowl LX, priced at 66c on Kalshi to New England's 39c as of July 2, 2026 (about a 66% implied win probability for the Seahawks). Both teams finished the 2025 regular season at 14-3 and met in the Super Bowl, where Seattle won 29-13 for its second title. The game trades on a single Kalshi moneyline and settles on the September 9, 2026 result; the live board above carries the current price.
The September 9, 2026 opener in Seattle is a rematch of Super Bowl LX, the game Seattle won 29-13 over New England. Both clubs arrived at that title game at 14-3, so the Kalshi moneyline that installs the Seahawks at 66c and the Patriots at 39c prices the reigning champion as the favorite on home turf, not a runaway.
Patriots vs Seahawks Market Context
Seattle finished 2025 at 14-3, won the NFC West for the first time since 2020, and secured the conference's No. 1 seed before winning Super Bowl LX. Sam Darnold completed 67.7% of his passes for 4,048 yards and 25 touchdowns in his first season with the Seahawks, though his 20 giveaways led the league during the regular season. Seattle protected the ball in the playoffs and did not commit a single turnover on its title run.
New England matched Seattle at 14-3 in Mike Vrabel's first year as head coach, a 10-win jump from back-to-back 4-13 seasons that earned Vrabel AP Coach of the Year. Drake Maye finished as the MVP runner-up after throwing for 4,394 yards with 31 touchdowns against 8 interceptions and an NFL-best 72% completion rate. The Patriots reached the Super Bowl as the AFC's No. 2 seed before losing to Seattle.
The Patriots vs Seahawks market is single-platform: it trades on Kalshi only, with no Polymarket line open, so the 66c Seattle price has no cross-exchange check on it. At 66c the Seahawks carry roughly a 66% implied win probability and New England roughly 39% at 39c, a two-way split that sums above 100 on Kalshi's standard vig. There is no spread or total posted on this board yet, only the moneyline.
When the Patriots vs Seahawks Market Resolves
The Patriots vs Seahawks moneyline resolves to the team that wins the game in Seattle on September 9, 2026. The winning side pays $1 per share and the losing side settles at $0, with the market finalizing on Kalshi once the game goes final. A postponement, cancellation, or void follows Kalshi's platform-specific rules.
Key Patriots vs Seahawks Factors
Darnold's turnover profile: Sam Darnold's 20 regular-season giveaways led the NFL in 2025, the swing variable against a Patriots defense that reached the Super Bowl.
Maye's efficiency: Drake Maye's 72% completion rate, 31 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions in 2025 made him the MVP runner-up entering his second season under Mike Vrabel.
Home field: Seattle hosts the opener as the reigning Super Bowl LX champion, part of what the 66c moneyline reflects.
Single-platform pricing: the Kalshi line has no Polymarket counterpart, so there is no cross-exchange divergence to trade off of yet.
Week 1 uncertainty: neither team has a 2026 result, so the 66c price is built on 2025 form and roster continuity rather than in-season data.
Related Patriots vs Seahawks Markets
Track both sides of this matchup on the Seahawks and Patriots team hubs, browse the rest of the Week 1 slate on the NFL hub, and see more prediction-market coverage from Genius Staff. For current pricing, use the live board above.
Resolution Criteria
Resolves to the team that wins the game in Seattle on September 9, 2026. The winning team's moneyline contract pays $1 per share and the losing side settles at $0. Settlement occurs on Kalshi once the game is final. If the game is postponed past the resolution window, canceled, or otherwise voided, the market resolves per Kalshi's platform-specific rules.
Key Factors
- Sam Darnold's turnover rate (20 giveaways led the NFL in 2025) against a Patriots defense that reached the Super Bowl
- Drake Maye's efficiency (72% completions, 31 TD to 8 INT in 2025, MVP runner-up) in his second season under Mike Vrabel
- Seattle's home-field edge as the reigning Super Bowl LX champion hosting the opener
- Single-platform pricing: the Kalshi moneyline has no Polymarket counterpart, so no cross-exchange check on the 66c line
- Week 1 uncertainty: neither 14-3 club has a 2026 result, so the 66c price rests on 2025 form and roster continuity
What are the current Patriots vs Seahawks odds?
As of July 2, 2026, Seattle is the moneyline favorite at 66c on Kalshi and New England is 39c, implying roughly a 66% win probability for the Seahawks. The live board above shows the current price.
Where can I trade the Patriots vs Seahawks market?
The moneyline trades on Kalshi only. There is no Polymarket line open on this game yet, so it is a single-platform market with no cross-exchange price to compare against.
Who is favored in Patriots vs Seahawks?
Seattle is favored at 66c (about 66% implied) to New England's 39c on Kalshi as of July 2, 2026. The Seahawks beat the Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl LX.
When does the Patriots vs Seahawks market resolve?
It resolves on the final result of the game in Seattle on September 9, 2026, paying $1 per share to the winning side and settling on Kalshi once the game is final.
What should I watch before Patriots vs Seahawks resolves?
Watch whether a Polymarket line opens to create a cross-platform check, how the Kalshi moneyline moves toward kickoff, and Week 1 injury and roster news for both 14-3 clubs.