Saints vs Ravens Prediction Market Odds, September 20, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Saints | +8.5 51%50% | O 47.5 47%47% | 22%21% | 22% Kalshi |
â–¶Ravens | -8.5 49%50% | U 47.5 53%53% | 79%80% | 80% Polymarket |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶New Orleans Saints | +8.5 | O 47.5 | 22% Kalshi | |
â–¶Baltimore Ravens | -8.5 | U 47.5 | 80% Polymarket |
No player props available for this game.
The Baltimore Ravens are a 79.5% moneyline favorite over the New Orleans Saints (79% on Kalshi, 80% on Polymarket) for their Week 2 game at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, September 20, with New Orleans at 22% on Kalshi and 21% on Polymarket. Baltimore enters 1-0 after a 41-23 win at Indianapolis, New Orleans 0-1 after a 31-30 overtime loss at Detroit, and the spread ladder centers the game near Baltimore by 8 with the full-game total priced near 46.5 points. The two venues sit within a point of each other on every main line, so this board is consensus, not disagreement.
Week 1 form
Baltimore (1-0) opened with a 41-23 road win at Indianapolis, an 18-point margin and 41 points scored. New Orleans (0-1) lost 31-30 in overtime at Detroit, a one-point road loss after scoring 30. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on CBS in the Sunday early window, and it is Baltimore's first home game of the season after the Week 1 trip. Season-long markets for both clubs live on the Baltimore Ravens hub and the New Orleans Saints hub, with preseason win total analysis in the Ravens win total breakdown and the Saints win total breakdown. The rest of the Week 2 slate is on today's NFL board.
Moneyline
As of the evening of September 16, Baltimore is 79% on Kalshi and 80% on Polymarket, an implied 79.5% average, with New Orleans at 22% on Kalshi and 21% on Polymarket. A one-point gap on each side is inside normal venue noise, so there is no cross-platform value spot on the winner market. The price treats the Saints' close Week 1 loss as less informative than Baltimore's 18-point road win plus home field.
Spread
The spread ladder puts the market's median margin right around Baltimore by 8. Baltimore -7.5 trades at 52% on Kalshi and 51% on Polymarket, while Baltimore -8.5 is 49% on Kalshi and Baltimore -9.5 is 47% on both venues. Further out, Baltimore -10.5 is 43% on Kalshi and 42% on Polymarket, and Baltimore -14.5 is 34% on Kalshi and 33% on Polymarket, roughly a one-in-three chance of a two-touchdown home win. Baltimore -3.5 sits at 66% on Kalshi and 67% on Polymarket. On the other side, New Orleans winning by 2 or more is 22% on Kalshi and 21% on Polymarket, level with the Saints moneyline.
Total and team totals
The full-game total is pinned between 46.5 and 47.5 points. Over 46.5 is 51% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, over 45.5 is 55% on Kalshi and 54% on Polymarket, and over 47.5 is 47% on both. Team totals split that number roughly 28 to 19. Kalshi prices Baltimore over 24.5 at 66% and over 28.5 at 48%, and New Orleans over 19.5 is 50% on Kalshi and 49% on Polymarket, with New Orleans over 17.5 at 55% on Kalshi. A 28-19 split is a 9-point margin, in line with the spread ladder.
Line movement
Across the captures we hold, from late on September 15 through the evening of September 16 ET, the moneyline did not move: Baltimore printed 79% on Kalshi and 80% on Polymarket on every snapshot, and New Orleans printed 22% and 21%. The Polymarket leg of Baltimore -8.5 firmed from 48% in the early morning of September 16 to 51% in the early afternoon, then settled at 50% by late afternoon. Over 47.5 drifted the other way on Polymarket, from 49% in the morning to 47% by midday, while Kalshi held between 47% and 48%. Those are one- to three-point moves, not a repricing.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline market resolves Yes for the team that wins the New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens game scheduled for Sunday, September 20, 2026 at M&T Bank Stadium, based on the official final score including overtime. Spread markets resolve on the final margin: Baltimore -7.5 resolves Yes only if Baltimore wins by 8 or more points, and New Orleans -1.5 resolves Yes only if New Orleans wins by 2 or more. Total markets resolve on the combined final score of both teams, so over 46.5 resolves Yes at 47 or more combined points. Team total markets resolve on that team's final points. Kalshi and Polymarket settle each contract under their own posted rules once the game is final.
Key Factors
- Week 1 split: Baltimore won 41-23 at Indianapolis, while New Orleans lost 31-30 in overtime at Detroit, and the 79.5% Baltimore moneyline leans on that gap plus home field
- The spread centers near Baltimore by 8: -7.5 trades at 52% on Kalshi and 51% on Polymarket, and -8.5 is 49% on Kalshi
- The total sits between 46.5 and 47.5 points: over 46.5 is 51% on both venues and over 47.5 is 47% on both
- Team totals imply roughly Baltimore 28, New Orleans 19: Baltimore over 28.5 is 48% on Kalshi and New Orleans over 19.5 is 50% on Kalshi
- No cross-platform edge on the winner market: Kalshi and Polymarket are within one point on both sides (79% vs 80% Baltimore, 22% vs 21% New Orleans)
- The moneyline held flat through every capture from late September 15 to the evening of September 16, with Polymarket's Baltimore -8.5 the main mover at 48% to 50%
What are the current Saints vs Ravens odds?
As of the evening of September 16, 2026, Baltimore is priced at 79% on Kalshi and 80% on Polymarket to beat New Orleans, an implied 79.5% average. New Orleans is 22% on Kalshi and 21% on Polymarket.
When and where is Saints vs Ravens?
The New Orleans Saints play the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, September 20, 2026, with kickoff at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. It is an NFL Week 2 game in the Sunday early window.
What is the spread for Saints vs Ravens?
The prediction market spread ladder centers near Baltimore by 8. As of September 16, Baltimore -7.5 was 52% on Kalshi and 51% on Polymarket, and Baltimore -8.5 was 49% on Kalshi.
What is the over/under for Saints vs Ravens?
The full-game total sits between 46.5 and 47.5 points. As of September 16, over 46.5 was 51% and over 47.5 was 47% on both Kalshi and Polymarket.
Where can I trade Saints vs Ravens?
The game trades on both Kalshi and Polymarket, with moneyline, spread, full-game total, team total and first-half markets. Prediction Genius shows both venues side by side on this page.
How do the Saints vs Ravens markets resolve?
The moneyline resolves for the team that wins the game, including overtime. Spread and total markets resolve on the official final score once the game is final on September 20, 2026.