| Spread | Total | ML | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Seahawks | -2.5 59%59% | O 56.5 11% | 56%66% | 66% Polymarket |
â–¶Titans | +2.5 41%41% | U 56.5 89% | 31%66% | 66% Polymarket |
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | Best ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Seattle Seahawks | -2.5 | O 56.5 | 66% Polymarket | |
â–¶Tennessee Titans | +2.5 | U 56.5 | 66% Polymarket |
No player props available for this game.
Tennessee is the 66.5c moneyline favorite (67c Kalshi, 66c Polymarket) over a Seattle team that won the Super Bowl in February, and the reason is playing time rather than talent. The Titans gave Cam Ward and the starting offense three drives in their preseason opener, while Mike Macdonald held Seattle's established starters out of the Cowboys game and rotated Drew Lock and Jalen Milroe. This is preseason game two of three, 8 p.m. ET Sunday, August 23 at Nissan Stadium, on FOX nationally.
Tennessee is a 66.5c moneyline favorite over the defending Super Bowl champion, and that inversion is the whole story of this board. It is not a talent read. Preseason prices are playing-time prices. Seattle head coach Mike Macdonald held his established starters out of the Cowboys game in full, while Tennessee put Cam Ward and the first-team offense on the field for three drives against San Francisco. Until both staffs say who dresses, the exchange is pricing depth charts, not rosters. The live board above carries the current cross-platform numbers on the moneyline, the spread ladder and the total.
Tennessee opened its exhibition schedule with a 19-13 win over San Francisco on August 13. Ward worked the first three drives and finished 5 of 12 for 57 yards with no touchdowns and no interceptions, a 56.6 passer rating. Will Levis followed at 3 of 8 for 42 yards and took three sacks. Mitchell Trubisky (2 of 3, 23 yards) and Hendon Hooker (2 of 3, 17 yards) closed it out. Four quarterbacks took snaps, which is the normal shape of a Robert Saleh preseason game and the reason the Titans fourth quarter is a roster-bubble quarter.
Seattle's opener looked nothing like that. Macdonald said before kickoff that his established starters would not play, and Sam Darnold did not take a snap in the 17-7 loss to Dallas. Drew Lock (9 of 13, 40 yards, one touchdown) and Jalen Milroe (5 of 8, 36 yards passing, 36 rushing yards, three sacks taken) rotated series. Seattle's leading rusher was George Holani at 12 carries for 42 yards. A 17-7 scoreline produced by backups against Dallas backups says close to nothing about the Seahawks roster that won the title in February, and the market is not treating it as if it does.
The unresolved input is Friday. Tennessee hosts Seattle for a joint practice on August 21 at the Titans' facility in Nashville, a session running 10:30 a.m. to 12:30 p.m. CT. Joint practices routinely absorb the controlled work a staff wants for its starters, and a team that gets a full session against another roster often shortens starter usage in the game that follows. Neither club has announced participation as of August 19. Darnold has two exhibitions left, this one and the August 28 trip to Kansas City, which is a real argument for him seeing a series in Nashville. It is an argument, not an announcement, and any price that claims to already know is guessing.
The spread ladder is more informative than the moneyline. Kalshi prices Tennessee -1.5 at 65c, -2.5 at 59c, -3.5 at 55c and -4.5 at 50c, with -6.5 at 46c and -7.5 at 40c. Polymarket sits on the same ladder, matching -2.5 exactly at 59c and landing within a cent at -1.5 and -3.5. The coinflip rung is Tennessee -4.5, which is precisely where the posted sportsbook spread now sits after opening at Tennessee -1.5. The exchange has already absorbed that three-point move rather than lagging it.
Tennessee -2.5 is the most-traded single line on the board at $12.4K lifetime, out of $72.7K across the two platforms. The conviction is on the ladder, not the moneyline.
The moneyline itself has been inert. Kalshi's Titans contract printed 67c on 22 consecutive snapshots through August 19, a full day without a tick. Flat is information: no participation news has landed, so nothing has moved.
The total is the softest number here. Over 38.5 trades at 48c (49c Kalshi, 47c Polymarket), and the posted total is also 38.5, unchanged from its open. A 38.5 preseason total assumes a second half played by men competing for the last roster spots against a two-deep nobody game-planned for. ESPN's kickoff forecast is 82 degrees with no precipitation and gusts to 10 mph, so weather is not an argument for the under.
One pricing note worth naming: Kalshi's two moneyline sides sum to 103c and Polymarket's sum to 101c. Polymarket is the cheaper round trip on this board today. That is a book-and-fee observation, not free money, and the two contracts settle under separate platform rules.
All three market types settle on the final score at Nissan Stadium on Sunday, August 23, 2026. The moneyline pays the team that wins the game, the spread settles against the final margin, and the total settles against combined points. Every posted spread and total rung is a half point, so there are no pushes. The edge case that matters in August: NFL preseason games have had no overtime since 2021, so a tie is a live outcome, and each platform applies its own published rule for a tied game. Read the contract rules before taking either moneyline side.
Preseason results do not carry into the season-long boards, and nothing that happens Sunday settles or moves them. Treat them as separate context: the Tennessee Titans win total and the Seattle Seahawks win total price 17 regular-season games that do not begin until September, the Seahawks playoff market prices a January outcome, and the Super Bowl LXI champion board is the largest NFL futures market we track. For everything trading on either roster, the Tennessee Titans hub and the Seattle Seahawks hub carry the full set, and the rest of the exhibition slate sits on NFL games today.
Resolves on the final score of the Seahawks at Titans preseason game at Nissan Stadium in Nashville on Sunday, August 23, 2026, scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. The moneyline contract pays $1 per share for the team that wins the game; the spread contracts settle against the final margin and the total contracts against combined points scored. Every listed spread and total rung is a half point, so no line can push. NFL preseason games have not used overtime since 2021, so a tie is a live outcome and each platform applies its own published rule for a tied game. If the game is postponed or canceled, each platform settles or voids per its own event rules.
As of August 19, 2026, Tennessee is the moneyline favorite at 66.5c (67c on Kalshi, 66c on Polymarket) and Seattle trades at 35.5c (36c Kalshi, 35c Polymarket). Tennessee -2.5 is the most-traded spread rung at 59c on both platforms.
Kickoff is 8 p.m. ET (7 p.m. CT, 5 p.m. PT) on Sunday, August 23, 2026 at Nissan Stadium in Nashville. FOX carries the game nationally.
Neither staff has announced participation as of August 19, 2026. Tennessee played Cam Ward and the first-team offense for three drives in the preseason opener, while Seattle held its established starters out entirely and Sam Darnold did not take a snap against Dallas. The two teams hold a joint practice in Nashville on August 21, which often reduces starter snaps in the game that follows.
Both Kalshi and Polymarket list this game. Kalshi carries the moneyline, a spread ladder from Tennessee -1.5 through -16.5, and totals from 17.5 to 59.5; Polymarket lists the moneyline and a shorter spread set. Lifetime volume across both platforms is about $72.7K.
It settles on the final score on August 23, 2026. The moneyline pays the winning team, spreads settle against the final margin, and totals against combined points. NFL preseason games have no overtime, so a tie is possible and each platform applies its own tied-game rule.
Watch for participation reporting out of the August 21 joint practice, specifically whether Sam Darnold is scheduled for a series and how long Cam Ward is set to play. Kalshi's Titans moneyline has been flat at 67c for 22 straight snapshots, so the first real move should come from a playing-time announcement rather than from injury news.