Mammoth vs Canadiens Prediction Market Odds, November 5, 2026
| Spread | Total | ML | Main ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
â–¶Mammoth | -1.5 32%31% | O 6.5 51%52% | 53%53% | 53% Kalshi |
â–¶Canadiens | +1.5 68%69% | U 6.5 49%48% | 48%48% | 48% Kalshi |
Mammoth vs Canadiens is a near coin flip with a slight road lean: as of the morning of November 5, Utah is 53c on Kalshi and 53c to 54c on Polymarket, and Montreal is 46c to 47c. That is a reversal, since Montreal was the favorite on both venues through November 3 before the board flipped on November 4. Montreal (9-3-3) sits second in the Atlantic and Utah (10-6-0) second in the Central. Puck drop is 7:00 PM ET at the Bell Centre.
The Mammoth vs Canadiens board prices two division runners-up almost evenly, with Utah a 53% road favorite. Montreal has 21 points from 15 games and Utah 20 from 16, per NHL standings as of November 5, and this is the first of two meetings this season.
Mammoth vs Canadiens Odds and Market Context
As of Thursday morning, Kalshi has Utah at 53c and Montreal at 47c, and Polymarket has Utah at 53c bid and 54c ask with Montreal near 46.5c. The venues agree within a cent, so there is no cross-platform edge on either side. DraftKings lists Utah at -122 on ESPN, about 55% before the vig, a touch richer on the Mammoth than either exchange.
The price history is the story. Polymarket's daily series had Montreal at 56c from October 28 through October 30, and Kalshi had the Canadiens at 55c on October 30 and 31. On November 4 both venues moved: Montreal closed the day at 48c on each, down from 53c to 54c at the open, after a 5-4 overtime loss to Winnipeg on November 3 while Utah won 3-2 at Toronto the same night. In the captures since Wednesday morning, Utah has held between 52c and 54c on both venues.
The form lines diverge from the standings. Montreal is 7-1-2 in its last 10 and won four straight (2-1 at Winnipeg, 2-0 at St. Louis, 5-2 at Dallas, 5-4 over Pittsburgh) before the Jets loss, with 52 goals for and 47 against. Utah is 6-4-0 in its last 10 with a plus-three differential (57 for, 54 against) and a 6-4-0 road record, alternating wins and losses over its last five games.
The puck line and total point to an open game. Utah -1.5 trades at 32c to 33c on both Kalshi and Polymarket, and Montreal -1.5 at 26c to 27c on Kalshi and 25.5c on Polymarket. Over 6.5 goals sits at 50c on Kalshi and over 5.5 at 61c on both venues, which puts the median total near 6.5; DraftKings also sets the total at 6.5, per ESPN.
Mammoth vs Canadiens Goaltending and Injuries
ESPN lists Jacob Fowler as Montreal's expected starter and Karel Vejmelka for Utah as of November 5. Fowler is 7-1-1 with a 2.17 GAA and .925 save percentage in nine games, per NHL stats, while Vejmelka is 6-5-0 with a 3.31 GAA and .872 in 12. That is the widest gap on the board and the clearest case for Montreal at 47c, since Sam Montembeault is on injured reserve (lower body) and Jakub Dobes is at .853.
Montreal's skater list is the counterweight. ESPN lists Ivan Demidov on injured reserve (ankle), Mike Matheson out (lower body), and Nick Suzuki (hand) and Kirby Dach (illness) day-to-day as of November 5. Utah lists Kailer Yamamoto day-to-day (upper body) and John Marino and Maveric Lamoureux on injured reserve. Cole Caufield leads Montreal with 10 goals and 14 points and Lane Hutson has 11 assists; Clayton Keller leads Utah with 21 points (17 assists) and Logan Cooley has eight goals.
When the Mammoth vs Canadiens Market Resolves
The moneyline settles on the official winner of the Utah Mammoth at Montreal Canadiens game scheduled for 7:00 PM ET on November 5, 2026, with overtime and shootouts included on both Kalshi and Polymarket. Puck line and total contracts settle on the official final score once the game goes final.
Key Mammoth vs Canadiens Catalysts
- Favorite flip: Montreal fell from 53c to 54c to 48c on November 4 on both venues, handing Utah the favorite tag.
- Crease gap: Fowler (.925) against Vejmelka (.872), both listed as expected starters by ESPN as of November 5.
- Suzuki status: Nick Suzuki is day-to-day with a hand injury, alongside Kirby Dach (illness).
- Montreal form: 7-1-2 in its last 10 despite the Jets loss.
- Total at 6.5: over 6.5 goals at 50c on Kalshi matches the DraftKings number.
Related Mammoth vs Canadiens Markets
Montreal's Atlantic position feeds the Eastern Conference champion market, and both clubs trade on the Stanley Cup 2026-27 odds. The Utah Mammoth hub and Montreal Canadiens hub carry every live market for each club. The previous boards for both teams are Mammoth vs Maple Leafs and Jets vs Canadiens from November 3, and the NHL hub lists the rest of Thursday's slate.
Resolution Criteria
The moneyline resolves to the team that wins the Utah Mammoth at Montreal Canadiens game scheduled for 7:00 PM ET on November 5, 2026, at the Bell Centre in Montreal, including overtime and shootouts, and pays $1 per winning share on Kalshi and Polymarket. Puck line (spread) and total goals contracts settle on the official final score, with a shootout counted as one goal for the winning team. If the game is postponed or cancelled, each venue applies its own published rules for delayed or voided games.
Key Factors
- Montreal fell from 53c to 54c to 48c on November 4 on both venues, flipping the favorite to Utah
- Jacob Fowler (7-1-1, .925) vs Karel Vejmelka (6-5-0, .872), both expected starters per ESPN as of November 5
- Nick Suzuki (hand) and Kirby Dach (illness) day-to-day for Montreal as of November 5
- Montreal 7-1-2 in its last 10; Utah 6-4-0 with a 6-4-0 road record
- Over 6.5 goals at 50c on Kalshi, matching the DraftKings total of 6.5
What are the Mammoth vs Canadiens odds?
As of the morning of November 5, 2026, Utah is 53c on Kalshi and 53c to 54c on Polymarket, and Montreal is 46c to 47c, about a 53% implied chance of a Mammoth win.
What time does Mammoth vs Canadiens start?
Puck drop is 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, November 5, 2026, at the Bell Centre in Montreal, per ESPN and the NHL schedule.
Where can I trade the Mammoth vs Canadiens game?
The moneyline, puck line and total goals trade on Kalshi and Polymarket, with Utah -1.5 near 32c to 33c and over 6.5 goals near 50c as of November 5.
Why did Utah become the favorite?
Montreal traded 55c to 56c in late October and stayed the favorite through November 3, then fell to 48c on both venues on November 4, after a 5-4 overtime loss to Winnipeg on November 3 and with Nick Suzuki listed day-to-day.
Who is starting in goal for Mammoth vs Canadiens?
ESPN lists Jacob Fowler for Montreal and Karel Vejmelka for Utah as expected starters as of November 5, 2026; Sam Montembeault is on injured reserve.
What should I watch before Mammoth vs Canadiens settles?
Watch Nick Suzuki's status at morning skate and whether the 53c Utah price holds before the 7:00 PM ET puck drop. The market settles when the game goes final on November 5, 2026.